Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 0.6 ETH at 2706.3$ per unit. Take profit: 2733.0351 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 2692.9325 (0.49 %)
Long Trade on ETH (CatchTheWave)
With 0.6 ETH at 2706.3$ per unit. Take profit: 2733.0351 (0.99 %) & Stop Loss: 2692.9325 (0.49 %)
Position
Entry 2706.3$
Qty 0.5985 ETH
Size 1619.6238$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 2733.0351 (+0.99%)
TP $ 16$
SL 2692.9325 (-0.49%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6008
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.69×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_medium (+1) 02/10 09:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.861133 15m : 0.87413 |
1H_regime : bull_medium 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 35.5% |
| 1h | 12.9% |
| 4h | 43.6% |
| 24h | 90.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 38.7% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 56.5% | -0.13% |
| 24h | 59.7% | +3.31% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6960 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.74% · r3d: 0.64% · ema21_slope: 0.4600% · dist_ema21: 3.215% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4932 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.73% · rs_3d: -1.01% · beta_24h: 0.970 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2903 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: -0.306 · trend: -9.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7572 | ADX: 42.4 (trend) · Chop: 50.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8873 | ATR%: 3.338% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5367 | r1h: -0.377% · r4h: -0.102% · r1d: 1.73% · r3d: 0.63% · ema21_slope: 0.0907% · dist_ema21: 0.621% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4545 | rs_1h: -0.077% · rs_4h: -0.336% · rs_1d: -1.38% · rs_3d: -2.16% · beta_24h: 0.781 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8413 | rvol_20: 2.81× · zscore_50: 1.973 · trend: 55.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7374 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 42.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.715% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5606 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.292% · r1d: 1.46% · r3d: 0.49% · ema21_slope: 0.0476% · dist_ema21: 1.701% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4556 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.082% · rs_1d: -1.55% · rs_3d: -1.98% · beta_24h: 1.267 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3264 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.038 · trend: -0.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5950 | ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 53.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.289% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -0.514% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -0.713% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.227% | 2.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.6× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.91 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.21 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.84 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.09 | 02/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.86 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.50% | -0.03 | 02/10 09:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_medium |
35%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.89 | range_low | +0.45% | -0.04 | 02/10 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197477
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.632 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 16b 0.9ATR | — | — | 0.86 | 65% | ↔ -0.13 | value | +0.98 | — | #105766 | 0.91 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.21 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:15
|
|
4h
#202340
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.716 | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 13b 1.3ATR | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.86 | 58% | ↔ -0.06 | above_value | +3.13 | — | #107865 | 0.84 | bull_high | +4.41% | -0.09 |
02/10 04:00
upd 02/10 08:11
|
|
1h
anchor #203181
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.563 | expansion | bull_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 3b 0.8ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 2.81 | 97% | ↑ +0.53 | above_value | +2.86 | — | #108247 | 0.86 | bull_medium_confirmed | +2.50% | -0.03 |
02/10 09:00
upd 02/10 10:09
|
|
15m
#203417
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.615 | expansion | range_medium |
35%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 4b -1.3ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 1.59 | 88% | ↑ +0.82 | above_value | +2.86 | — | #108247 | 0.89 | range_low | +0.45% | -0.04 |
02/10 10:30
upd 02/10 10:45
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 3.874×ATR | p18 | +0.904×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.524×ATR | p18 | +1.303×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 0.428×ATR | p2 | +0.823×ATR | p56 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 3.633×ATR | p77 | -1.33×ATR | p75 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
86329.5
-0.00848517
85597
0.861133
85521.2
0.00534122
85978
0.87413
84318
0.0194968
85962
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2770.2
198
0.6536
0.5272
0.3803
0.2167
0.5142
0.782
0.4193
0.5106
0.6996
0.6911
0.6099
0.6273
0.082
0.0631
0.6667
-0.1761
0.5926
0.6
0.4
1
6
1
0.5665
0.4064
3.3591
0.6
0.782
1.728
0.5926
0.753
0.265
0.82
-0.0013
0.4502
0.5617
0.9309
0.6273
-2.5037
4.2146
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:56 | 2706.30000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:09 | 2706.30000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 11:20 | 2702.80000000 | -0.129% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 10:20:00 | 2737.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 10:40:00 | 2754.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 11:00:00 | 2742.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 11:30:00 | 2746.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 11:35:00 | 2752.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 12:00:00 | 2741.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 12:30:00 | 2766.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 12:40:00 | 2740 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 13:35:00 | 2770.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:55:00 | 2700 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 21:30:00 | 2689 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 00:15:00 | 2709 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 01:15:00 | 2696 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 04:30:00 | 2749.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 05:30:00 | 2712.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 08:15:00 | 2779.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 10:15:00 | 2737.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 12:30:00 | 2740 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 13:30:00 | 2770.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:30:00 | 2720.4 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 06:00:00 | 2657.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 12:00:00 | 2739 | ↑ High |
| 2026-09-30 14:00:00 | 2668.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-09-30 19:00:00 | 2668.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 06:00:00 | 2723 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 08:00:00 | 2673.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 15:00:00 | 2673.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 18:00:00 | 2715.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 08:00:00 | 2779.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 14:00:00 | 2724 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2706.3 | 2692.9325 | 2733.0351 | 2 | 1931.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2692.9325 - 2706.3 = -13.3675
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2706.3 - 2733.0351 = -26.7351
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -26.7351 / -13.3675 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1619.6238 | 100 | 0.5985 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -13.3675 = -0.6
Taille de position USD = -0.6 x 2706.3 = -1623.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -0.6 avec un stoploss a 2692.9325
Avec un position size USD de -1623.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -0.6 x -13.3675 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -0.6 x -26.7351 = 16.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.99 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5136 % | 103.99 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2706.3 | 2692.9325 | 2733.0351 | 2 | 1931.6 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2692.9325 - 2706.3 = -13.3675
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2706.3 - 2733.0351 = -26.7351
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -26.7351 / -13.3675 = 2
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[stop_loss] => 2690.259
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 16:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2733.0351
[entry_price] => 2706.3
[stop_loss] => 2688.92225
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 16:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2733.0351
[entry_price] => 2706.3
[stop_loss] => 2686.24875
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 17:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -0.514% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -0.713% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.255% | 0.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.227% | 2.5R | -2.043% | 4.1R | 0.6× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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