Short Trade on 2Z

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02 Oct 2026 at 12:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2182.91 2Z at 0.0534$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05211 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05711 (6.87 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 12:15 → 12:30 · 14 minutes

Position

Entry 0.05344$

Qty 2182.9057 2Z

Size 116.6588$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05211 (+2.49%)

TP $ 2.9$

SL 0.05711 (-6.87%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.36

Status win PnL +2.49% / +2.9$ MAE -0.00% MFE +16.54% 2.4R expires 02 Oct 18:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172437)

#64 / 78

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1582

Quality Score

0.487

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#64 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-4

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.87 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#64 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.87 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.23×ATR
4h	near	0.20×ATR
1d	clear	1.29×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-4

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-0.38

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

7.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 12:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 10:00 Score : +4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

02/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 10:00

Score : +4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4665

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.90	early_expansion -1
Tactical	bull 0.90	expansion -1
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -4

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 50.0%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	53.2%
1h	41.9%
4h	33.9%
24h	79.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	61.3%	+0.00%
4h	71.0%	-0.38%
24h	58.1%	+2.35%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.159

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 12:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5577

Score SMA

0.6675

Rank

#34 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5658

Rank Norm SMA

0.6571

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5863	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.46% · r3d: -16.52% · ema21_slope: 1.4239% · dist_ema21: -0.799%
Force Relative	25%	0.2793	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.93% · rs_3d: -18.17% · beta_24h: 1.006
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 3.71× · zscore_50: 3.624 · trend: 212.58%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7463	ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.004% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4865

Score SMA

0.5411

Rank

#64 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1582

Rank Norm SMA

0.4878

Calculé le

02/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1834	r1h: -4.912% · r4h: -7.022% · r1d: -4.39% · r3d: -19.90% · ema21_slope: 0.0484% · dist_ema21: -6.113%
Force Relative	25%	0.0572	rs_1h: -4.502% · rs_4h: -5.771% · rs_1d: -5.80% · rs_3d: -22.63% · beta_24h: 1.920
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 8.61× · zscore_50: 5.559 · trend: 312.18%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7149	ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 22.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.695% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4479

Score SMA

0.5880

Rank

#70 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0590

Rank Norm SMA

0.5893

Calculé le

02/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1324	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -7.022% · r1d: -4.39% · r3d: -19.90% · ema21_slope: -0.6613% · dist_ema21: -9.664%
Force Relative	25%	0.1362	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -5.771% · rs_1d: -5.80% · rs_3d: -22.63% · beta_24h: 2.343
Volume	20%	1.0000	rvol_20: 5.63× · zscore_50: 5.196 · trend: 170.95%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7089	ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 40.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.1766	ATR%: 5.470% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.868% (0.0037)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+16.544%	2.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+16.544%	2.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+16.544%	2.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+16.544%	2.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+16.912%	2.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+16.916%	2.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144
24h	+17.012%	2.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	288
48h	+17.012%	2.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	576
72h	+20.483%	3.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	864

⏱ MFE in 749 min MAE in min

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 40

ML Pullback Score: 0.96

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	explosive	volatile_reversal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.55	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.74	30/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 46%	early	near 0.2ATR	—	0.35	bull_high	+4.41%	-0.95	02/10 04:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near 0.2ATR	—	0.32	bull_medium	+1.44%	-0.01	02/10 10:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 46%	late	near 0.0ATR	—	0.31	range_low	-0.22%	-0.59	02/10 11:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197705	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	explosive	0.773	volatile_reversal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 5b -0.1ATR	—	—	3.71	100%	↑ +0.96	below_value	-10.08	—	#105832	0.55	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.74	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:26
4h #202492	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.375	compression	range_high	34%	noisy_chop 46%	early 4b -1.0ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.47	80%	↑ +0.43	above_value	-0.35	—	#107930	0.35	bull_high	+4.41%	-0.95	02/10 04:00 upd 02/10 08:19
1h anchor #203639	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.352	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 7b -1.0ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	6.97	100%	↑ +0.24	value	-1.50	—	#108471	0.32	bull_medium	+1.44%	-0.01	02/10 10:00 upd 02/10 11:11
15m #203957	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.437	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	49%	noisy_chop 46%	late 2b -2.8ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.47	87%	↑ +0.94	value	-1.50	—	#108471	0.31	range_low	-0.22%	-0.59	02/10 11:45 upd 02/10 12:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	5b	—	4.011×ATR	p54	-0.069×ATR	p4
4h	↑ up	early	4b	—	1.691×ATR	p0	-0.971×ATR	p56
1h	↓ down	mid	7b	—	2.695×ATR	p55	-1.006×ATR	p53
15m	↑ up	late	2b	—	2.855×ATR	p41	-2.797×ATR	p94

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.05710684
tp_price: 0.05210595
atr: 0.00146593
expires_at: 2026-10-02T22:15:09+00:00

Details

rank: 79
total: 79
score: 0.2044
delta_2h: -0.2007
extension_atr: -2.61
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1695
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05344	0.05711	0.05211	0.36	0.01784

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05344
Stop Loss: 0.05711
Take Profit: 0.05211

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.05711 - 0.05344 = 0.00367
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05344 - 0.05211 = 0.00133
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00133 / 0.00367 = 0.3624

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
116.6588	100	2182.9057	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00367

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00367 = 2179.84

Taille de position USD = 2179.84 x 0.05344 = 116.49

Donc, tu peux acheter 2179.84 avec un stoploss a 0.05711

Avec un position size USD de 116.49$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2179.84 x 0.00367 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2179.84 x 0.00133 = 2.9

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.9$

Résumé

Taille de position 2179.84
Taille de position USD 116.49
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.9
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3624

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	2.9 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.87 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
2.9 $	2.49

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05344	0.05711	0.05211	0.36	0.01784

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05344
Stop Loss: 0.05711
Take Profit: 0.05211

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.05711 - 0.05344 = 0.00367
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05344 - 0.05211 = 0.00133
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00133 / 0.00367 = 0.3624

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.0461
            [stop_loss] => 0.05711
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-02 16:40:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.868% (0.0037)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+16.544%	2.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+16.544%	2.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+16.544%	2.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+16.544%	2.4R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+16.912%	2.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+16.916%	2.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144
24h	+17.012%	2.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	288
48h	+17.012%	2.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	576
72h	+20.483%	3.0R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	864

⏱ MFE in 749 min MAE in min

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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