Short Trade on APEX (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 553.1 APEX at 0.242$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2364 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.257 (5.98 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 15:15:06
hyperliquid
APEX
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 15:15
→ 21:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.2425$
Qty 553.0958 APEX
Size 134.1257$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2364 (+2.52%)
TP $ 3.37$
SL 0.257 (-5.98%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 0.42
Status
loss
PnL
-0.38%
/ -0.51$
MAE -1.09%
MFE +1.09%
0.2R
expires
02 Oct 21:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 172750)
#81 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 15:00
score du 02/10/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0065
Quality Score
0.334
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#81 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#81 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.52×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.83×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.94
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 15:02
02/10 15:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4677
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
early_expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.1%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 77.8% |
| 1h | 1.6% |
| 4h | 3.2% |
| 24h | 23.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 63.5% | +0.12% |
| 4h | 15.9% | -2.94% |
| 24h | 28.6% | -1.85% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.267
Universe :
63
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 15:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4844
Score SMA
0.5444
Rank
#59
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2368
Rank Norm SMA
0.4579
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5539 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -13.66% · r3d: -14.86% · ema21_slope: 0.8229% · dist_ema21: -1.716% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1690 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -15.13% · rs_3d: -16.51% · beta_24h: 1.043 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9277 | rvol_20: 3.07× · zscore_50: 1.916 · trend: 131.67% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6032 | ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 45.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.035% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3338
Score SMA
0.5121
Rank
#81
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0065
Rank Norm SMA
0.4557
Calculé le
02/10/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1780 | r1h: -2.759% · r4h: -2.968% · r1d: -9.83% · r3d: -10.48% · ema21_slope: -0.2613% · dist_ema21: -4.599% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1764 | rs_1h: -2.119% · rs_4h: -1.292% · rs_1d: -9.19% · rs_3d: -11.21% · beta_24h: 1.816 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4864 | rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 1.092 · trend: -15.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5372 | ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 58.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.522% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3792
Score SMA
0.5392
Rank
#76
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0261
Rank Norm SMA
0.5377
Calculé le
02/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4388 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.455% · r1d: -12.79% · r3d: -8.17% · ema21_slope: -0.1798% · dist_ema21: -6.386% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2931 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.706% · rs_1d: -14.21% · rs_3d: -10.90% · beta_24h: 0.508 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3596 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: 0.028 · trend: 40.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5994 | ADX: 24.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1249 | ATR%: 5.625% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.979%
(0.0145)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -0.883% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -0.883% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -0.883% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.093% | 0.2R | -1.089% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -1.089% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -1.476% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.330% | 1.4R | -1.476% | 0.3R | 5.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.330% | 1.4R | -1.476% | 0.3R | 5.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.330% | 1.4R | -4.165% | 0.7R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1179 min
MAE in 659 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.46
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.30 | bull_high | +3.04% | -0.93 | 02/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.34 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.34 | 02/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.22 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.32% | -0.18 | 02/10 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197702
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.667 | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 23b -0.1ATR | — | — | 3.07 | 98% | ↑ +0.78 | below_value | -4.62 | — | #105831 | 0.41 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#204136
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.436 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 9b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.73 | 90% | ↔ +0.08 | below_value | -5.80 | — | #108628 | 0.30 | bull_high | +3.04% | -0.93 |
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 12:19
|
|
1h
anchor #205281
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.626 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 13b -2.3ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 1.55 | 93% | ↓ -0.72 | below_value | -7.43 | — | #109181 | 0.34 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.34 |
02/10 14:00
upd 02/10 15:11
|
|
15m
#205202
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.725 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 11b -2.8ATR | — | — | 4.86 | 97% | ↑ +0.42 | below_value | -6.31 | — | #109023 | 0.22 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.32% | -0.18 |
02/10 14:45
upd 02/10 15:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 23b | — | 2.452×ATR | p0 | -0.143×ATR | p11 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.192×ATR | p35 | -1.183×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 2.952×ATR | p56 | -2.276×ATR | p87 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 11b | — | 3.879×ATR | p74 | -2.84×ATR | p92 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.25696404
- tp_price: 0.2364375
- atr: 0.00578562
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T01:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 79
- total: 82
- score: 0.2213
- delta_2h: -0.0578
- extension_atr: -1.89
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0065
- confidence: 0.963
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:15 | 0.24250000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:15 | 0.24249000 | -0.004% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2425 | 0.257 | 0.2364 | 0.42 | 0.14 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2425
- Stop Loss: 0.257
- Take Profit: 0.2364
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.257 - 0.2425 = 0.0145
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2425 - 0.2364 = 0.0061
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0061 / 0.0145 = 0.4207
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134.1257 | 100 | 553.0958 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0145
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0145 = 551.72
Taille de position USD = 551.72 x 0.2425 = 133.79
Donc, tu peux acheter 551.72 avec un stoploss a 0.257
Avec un position size USD de 133.79$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 551.72 x 0.0145 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 551.72 x 0.0061 = 3.37
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.37$
Résumé
- Taille de position 551.72
- Taille de position USD 133.79
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.37
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4207
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 3.37 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.98 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.51 $ | -0.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0887 % | 18.21 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2425 | 0.257 | 0.2364 | 0.42 | 0.14 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2425
- Stop Loss: 0.257
- Take Profit: 0.2364
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.257 - 0.2425 = 0.0145
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2425 - 0.2364 = 0.0061
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0061 / 0.0145 = 0.4207
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.979%
(0.0145)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -0.883% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -0.883% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -0.883% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.093% | 0.2R | -1.089% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -1.089% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.093% | 0.2R | -1.476% | 0.3R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.330% | 1.4R | -1.476% | 0.3R | 5.6× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.330% | 1.4R | -1.476% | 0.3R | 5.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.330% | 1.4R | -4.165% | 0.7R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1179 min
MAE in 659 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.