Short Trade on NEAR

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02 Oct 2026 at 15:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 30.13 NEAR at 4.645$ per unit. Take profit: 4.5286 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.9102 (5.72 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 15:15 → 21:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 4.6447$

Qty 30.1292 NEAR

Size 139.9412$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 4.5286 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.5$

SL 4.9102 (-5.72%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.44

Status loss PnL -1.63% / -2.28$ MAE -2.03% MFE +1.23% 0.2R expires 02 Oct 21:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172714)

#64 / 82

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0664

Quality Score

0.482

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#64 / 82

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.72 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#64 / 82

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

95 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.72 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.44×ATR
4h	near	-1.06×ATR
1d	clear	5.32×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-2.94

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

225.4M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 15:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4677

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.90	early_expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bear 0.90	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 10.1%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	77.8%
1h	1.6%
4h	3.2%
24h	23.8%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	63.5%	+0.12%
4h	15.9%	-2.94%
24h	28.6%	-1.85%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.267

Universe : 63 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 15:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6241

Score SMA

0.7543

Rank

#16 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8026

Rank Norm SMA

0.8685

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7261	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -9.97% · r3d: -0.27% · ema21_slope: 4.4661% · dist_ema21: 16.897%
Force Relative	25%	0.5099	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -11.44% · rs_3d: -1.92% · beta_24h: 1.339
Volume	20%	0.6441	rvol_20: 1.38× · zscore_50: 1.558 · trend: 114.02%
Qualité Tendance	15%	1.0000	ADX: 60.7 (trend) · Chop: 30.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.686% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 15:00

Score brut

0.4815

Score SMA

0.5523

Rank

#64 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0664

Rank Norm SMA

0.5658

Calculé le

02/10/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2436	r1h: -2.790% · r4h: -4.843% · r1d: -5.18% · r3d: -8.61% · ema21_slope: -0.1591% · dist_ema21: -4.883%
Force Relative	25%	0.2097	rs_1h: -2.151% · rs_4h: -3.167% · rs_1d: -4.55% · rs_3d: -9.34% · beta_24h: 1.718
Volume	20%	0.7976	rvol_20: 3.34× · zscore_50: 1.416 · trend: 27.40%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6430	ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 48.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.441% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4028

Score SMA

0.5590

Rank

#74 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0523

Rank Norm SMA

0.5500

Calculé le

02/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5469	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.510% · r1d: -2.06% · r3d: -3.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0075% · dist_ema21: -3.481%
Force Relative	25%	0.3777	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.741% · rs_1d: -3.48% · rs_3d: -5.77% · beta_24h: 0.819
Volume	20%	0.2023	rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -0.716 · trend: -27.45%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4943	ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.2974	ATR%: 5.108% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.716% (0.2655)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.225%	0.2R	-0.222%	0.0R	5.5×	12
2h	+1.225%	0.2R	-0.814%	0.1R	1.5×	24
4h	+1.225%	0.2R	-0.814%	0.1R	1.5×	48
6h ★	+1.225%	0.2R	-2.028%	0.4R	0.6×	72
8h	+1.225%	0.2R	-2.028%	0.4R	0.6×	96
12h	+1.225%	0.2R	-2.028%	0.4R	0.6×	144
24h	+1.225%	0.2R	-2.063%	0.4R	0.6×	288
48h	+1.225%	0.2R	-8.806%	1.5R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.225%	0.2R	-11.770%	2.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 59 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.53

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	—	—	0.52	bull_high	+13.92%	+1.00	30/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early	near -1.1ATR	—	0.39	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.02	02/10 08:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	normal	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 41%	late	near -1.4ATR	—	0.34	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.26	02/10 14:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	weak	fading	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	—	0.54	bear_low_confirmed	-1.32%	-0.26	02/10 14:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197607	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.730	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 18b 1.0ATR	—	—	1.38	97%	↑ +0.90	value	-0.84	—	#105794	0.52	bull_high	+13.92%	+1.00	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:21
4h #204032	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.539	compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early 8b -0.7ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.62	68%	↓ -0.25	above_value	-0.86	—	#108592	0.39	bull_high	+3.04%	-0.02	02/10 08:00 upd 02/10 12:14
1h anchor #205245	↓ down	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	0.574	normal	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 41%	late 5b -2.4ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	3.34	95%	↑ +0.28	below_value	-2.41	—	#109145	0.34	range_medium	-0.29%	-0.26	02/10 14:00 upd 02/10 15:10
15m #205172	↓ down	range	range	weak	fading	0.767	expansion_after_compression	bear_high_confirmed	55%	noisy_chop 40%	late 6b -2.4ATR	—	—	1.07	75%	↑ +0.49	below_value	-1.29	—	#108987	0.54	bear_low_confirmed	-1.32%	-0.26	02/10 14:45 upd 02/10 15:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	18b	—	4.947×ATR	p74	+1.045×ATR	p51
4h	↓ down	early	8b	—	2.89×ATR	p33	-0.709×ATR	p47
1h	↓ down	late	5b	—	3.085×ATR	p67	-2.399×ATR	p97
15m	↓ down	late	6b	—	3.806×ATR	p82	-2.411×ATR	p97

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 4.91022291
tp_price: 4.5285825
atr: 0.10620916
expires_at: 2026-10-03T01:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 78
total: 82
score: 0.2436
delta_2h: -0.1637
extension_atr: -1.97
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0818
confidence: 0.951

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.6447	4.9102	4.5286	0.44	3.0946

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.6447
Stop Loss: 4.9102
Take Profit: 4.5286

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.9102 - 4.6447 = 0.2655
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.6447 - 4.5286 = 0.1161
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1161 / 0.2655 = 0.4373

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
139.9412	100	30.1292	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.2655

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2655 = 30.13

Taille de position USD = 30.13 x 4.6447 = 139.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 30.13 avec un stoploss a 4.9102

Avec un position size USD de 139.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 30.13 x 0.2655 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 30.13 x 0.1161 = 3.5

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.5$

Résumé

Taille de position 30.13
Taille de position USD 139.94
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.5
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4373

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.5 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.72 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-2.28 $	-1.63

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.0281 %	35.48 %	16

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.6447	4.9102	4.5286	0.44	3.0946

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.6447
Stop Loss: 4.9102
Take Profit: 4.5286

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.9102 - 4.6447 = 0.2655
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.6447 - 4.5286 = 0.1161
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1161 / 0.2655 = 0.4373

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.716% (0.2655)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.225%	0.2R	-0.222%	0.0R	5.5×	12
2h	+1.225%	0.2R	-0.814%	0.1R	1.5×	24
4h	+1.225%	0.2R	-0.814%	0.1R	1.5×	48
6h ★	+1.225%	0.2R	-2.028%	0.4R	0.6×	72
8h	+1.225%	0.2R	-2.028%	0.4R	0.6×	96
12h	+1.225%	0.2R	-2.028%	0.4R	0.6×	144
24h	+1.225%	0.2R	-2.063%	0.4R	0.6×	288
48h	+1.225%	0.2R	-8.806%	1.5R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.225%	0.2R	-11.770%	2.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 59 min MAE in 1439 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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