Short Trade on TRUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 117.76 TRUMP at 1.997$ per unit. Take profit: 1.8272 (8.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0649 (3.4 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 117.76 TRUMP at 1.997$ per unit. Take profit: 1.8272 (8.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.0649 (3.4 %)
Position
Entry 1.997$
Qty 117.7563 TRUMP
Size 235.1593$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.8272 (+8.5%)
TP $ 20$
SL 2.0649 (-3.4%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6537
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.40×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.04×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.67×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
early_expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 28.1% |
| 1h | 59.4% |
| 4h | 1.6% |
| 24h | 20.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 28.1% | -0.23% |
| 4h | 10.9% | -4.40% |
| 24h | 23.4% | -3.16% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5143 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.30% · r3d: 2.43% · ema21_slope: -0.0217% · dist_ema21: -0.803% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4044 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.17% · rs_3d: 0.78% · beta_24h: 1.533 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4166 | rvol_20: 1.85× · zscore_50: -0.192 · trend: -39.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3554 | ADX: 18.1 (weak) · Chop: 74.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.784% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3883 | r1h: -3.707% · r4h: -6.636% · r1d: -3.14% · r3d: -2.34% · ema21_slope: 0.1108% · dist_ema21: -4.847% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2148 | rs_1h: -3.067% · rs_4h: -4.960% · rs_1d: -2.51% · rs_3d: -3.07% · beta_24h: 1.887 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8475 | rvol_20: 3.39× · zscore_50: 1.285 · trend: 71.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6827 | ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 22.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5841 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.285% · r1d: 4.50% · r3d: 4.40% · ema21_slope: 0.1025% · dist_ema21: 2.803% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5743 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.966% · rs_1d: 3.08% · rs_3d: 1.67% · beta_24h: 1.375 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5940 | rvol_20: 1.94× · zscore_50: 1.090 · trend: 18.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6111 | ADX: 28.6 (trend) · Chop: 54.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9247 | ATR%: 3.226% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -1.212% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -2.399% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -4.612% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.47 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.51 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.31 | bull_high | +3.04% | +0.39 | 02/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.52 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.22 | 02/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 47% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bear_low | -1.43% | -0.53 | 02/10 15:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197677
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.535 | compression | bull_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid 33b -0.1ATR | — | — | 1.85 | 86% | ↑ +0.29 | above_value | -0.46 | — | #105819 | 0.47 | bull_high | +13.92% | -0.51 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#204106
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.730 | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 7b 0.8ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 1.94 | 78% | ↑ +0.58 | above_value | +2.07 | — | #108618 | 0.31 | bull_high | +3.04% | +0.39 |
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 12:18
|
|
1h
anchor #205271
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.538 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 6b -2.6ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 3.39 | 94% | ↑ +0.80 | below_value | -1.84 | — | #109171 | 0.52 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.22 |
02/10 14:00
upd 02/10 15:11
|
|
15m
#205351
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.325 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
choppy 47% | late 22b -3.7ATR | — | — | 0.09 | 18% | ↑ +0.22 | below_value | -1.84 | — | #109171 | 0.43 | bear_low | -1.43% | -0.53 |
02/10 15:00
upd 02/10 15:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 33b | — | 5.582×ATR | p50 | -0.096×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 1.699×ATR | p0 | +0.777×ATR | p50 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 5.408×ATR | p95 | -2.606×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 8.22×ATR | p97 | -3.747×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
2.1091
2.0132
2.06115
1790701200
1790967600
2.5324
75
0.8248
1790964000
2.0132
0.8
1
0.4278
0
8
8
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:19 | 1.99700000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:29 | 1.99700000 | 0% |
| 3 | 15:40 | 2.00640000 | +0.471% |
| 4 | 15:51 | 2.00640000 | +0.471% |
| 5 | 16:02 | 2.00640000 | +0.471% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.997 | 2.0649 | 1.8272 | 2.5 | 0.9911 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0649 - 1.997 = 0.0679
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.997 - 1.8272 = 0.1698
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1698 / 0.0679 = 2.5007
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235.1593 | 100 | 117.7563 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0679 = 117.82
Taille de position USD = 117.82 x 1.997 = 235.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 117.82 avec un stoploss a 2.0649
Avec un position size USD de 235.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 117.82 x 0.0679 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 117.82 x 0.1698 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.5 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.4 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5003 % | 102.95 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.997 | 2.0649 | 1.8272 | 2.5 | 0.9911 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.0649 - 1.997 = 0.0679
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.997 - 1.8272 = 0.1698
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1698 / 0.0679 = 2.5007
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.8272
[entry_price] => 1.997
[stop_loss] => 2.07169
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 22:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.8272
[entry_price] => 1.997
[stop_loss] => 2.07848
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 23:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.8272
[entry_price] => 1.997
[stop_loss] => 2.08527
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 23:05:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.8272
[entry_price] => 1.997
[stop_loss] => 2.09885
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 23:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -1.212% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -2.399% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -4.612% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.846% | 0.3R | -6.635% | 2.0R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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