Short Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 921.67 FARTCOIN at 0.171$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1489 (12.72 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1793 (5.1 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 15:19:02
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 15:19
→ 20:15
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 0.1706$
Qty 921.6717 FARTCOIN
Size 157.2648$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1489 (+12.72%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.1793 (-5.1%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Status
loss
PnL
-5.10%
/ -8.02$
MAE -5.33%
MFE +0.72%
0.1R
expires
03 Oct 03:18
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 172738)
#45 / 82
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 15:00
score du 02/10/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7463
Quality Score
0.532
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 82
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 82
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.34×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.27×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
18.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 15:16
02/10 15:16
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 14:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4678
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.90 |
early_expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
6.8%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 28.1% |
| 1h | 59.4% |
| 4h | 1.6% |
| 24h | 20.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 28.1% | -0.23% |
| 4h | 10.9% | -4.40% |
| 24h | 23.4% | -3.16% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.223
Universe :
64
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 15:16
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4456
Score SMA
0.4857
Rank
#67
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1316
Rank Norm SMA
0.1322
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6100 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.29% · r3d: 5.37% · ema21_slope: 0.8991% · dist_ema21: 0.905% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4596 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.76% · rs_3d: 3.71% · beta_24h: 2.310 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2659 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.448 · trend: -12.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6302 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.156% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.5322
Score SMA
0.5153
Rank
#45
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7463
Rank Norm SMA
0.4303
Calculé le
02/10/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4001 | r1h: -5.917% · r4h: -8.276% · r1d: -2.46% · r3d: -5.76% · ema21_slope: 0.1487% · dist_ema21: -6.543% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1731 | rs_1h: -5.278% · rs_4h: -6.600% · rs_1d: -1.83% · rs_3d: -6.49% · beta_24h: 2.929 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.57× · zscore_50: 3.957 · trend: 136.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7226 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 28.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.599% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5746
Score SMA
0.4623
Rank
#29
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5550
Rank Norm SMA
0.2441
Calculé le
02/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5630 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.183% · r1d: 7.14% · r3d: 5.56% · ema21_slope: 0.0195% · dist_ema21: 2.913% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5973 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.068% · rs_1d: 5.72% · rs_3d: 2.83% · beta_24h: 2.069 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5810 | rvol_20: 1.93× · zscore_50: 1.174 · trend: 4.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4593 | ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 59.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7125 | ATR%: 3.863% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.100%
(0.0087)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -2.040% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -2.515% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -5.334% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.715% | 0.1R | -5.334% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -5.803% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -5.803% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -7.808% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -12.304% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 0 min
MAE in 1320 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.39
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.81 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.59 | bull_high | +3.04% | +0.60 | 02/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.58 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.27 | 02/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
choppy 48% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bear_low | -1.43% | -0.60 | 02/10 15:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197670
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.691 | normal | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 8b 0.1ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.79 | 47% | ↑ +0.59 | above_value | +0.32 | — | #105816 | 0.65 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.81 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#204097
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.410 | compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 6b 0.8ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 1.93 | 85% | ↓ -0.22 | value | +1.96 | — | #108615 | 0.59 | bull_high | +3.04% | +0.60 |
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 12:18
|
|
1h
anchor #205268
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | 0.462 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 5b -2.8ATR | — | — | 4.57 | 99% | ↑ +0.85 | value | -1.70 | — | #109168 | 0.58 | range_medium | -0.29% | -0.27 |
02/10 14:00
upd 02/10 15:11
|
|
15m
#205348
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.306 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
choppy 48% | late 23b -3.6ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 68% | ↑ +0.31 | value | -1.70 | — | #109168 | 0.67 | bear_low | -1.43% | -0.60 |
02/10 15:00
upd 02/10 15:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.355×ATR | p0 | +0.077×ATR | p5 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 2.049×ATR | p8 | +0.819×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.752×ATR | p95 | -2.763×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 23b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -3.632×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7134
- reason: down_bo width=2.04×ATR dur=62b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
- stop_price: 0.17930988
- tp_price: 0.14893029
- atr:
- score: 0.8133693804601
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T07:18:54.718907
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8133693804601
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2522
- obi_top10 : 0.2235
- micro_price : 0.16915485
- spread_pct : 0.05322
- mid_price : 0.169155
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.17
- ask_wall_size : 1673515.44
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2504
- obi_top5_std : 0.0017
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6989
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.18318
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.1746
- balance_zone_mid:
0.17889
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790748000
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790967600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.0434
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
62
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8134
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790964000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.1746
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6935
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.9455
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
13
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00419883 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
62
inside_close_ratio
0.6935
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9455
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:19 | 0.17063000 | +0.018% |
| 2 | 15:29 | 0.17063000 | +0.018% |
| 3 | 15:40 | 0.17196000 | +0.797% |
| 4 | 15:50 | 0.17196000 | +0.797% |
| 5 | 16:01 | 0.17196000 | +0.797% |
| 6 | 16:16 | 0.17223000 | +0.955% |
| 7 | 16:26 | 0.17223000 | +0.955% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6989ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
71%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.252
avg 0.250
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.224
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1692
Micro Price
0.1692
Spread
0.0532%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1700
Size
1,673,515.44
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1706 | 0.1793 | 0.1489 | 2.49 | 0.09695 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1706
- Stop Loss: 0.1793
- Take Profit: 0.1489
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1793 - 0.1706 = 0.0087
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1706 - 0.1489 = 0.0217
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0217 / 0.0087 = 2.4943
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 157.2648 | 100 | 921.6717 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0087
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0087 = 919.54
Taille de position USD = 919.54 x 0.1706 = 156.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 919.54 avec un stoploss a 0.1793
Avec un position size USD de 156.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 919.54 x 0.0087 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 919.54 x 0.0217 = 19.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$
Résumé
- Taille de position 919.54
- Taille de position USD 156.87
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.95
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4943
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.72 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.1 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -5.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.3341 % | 104.6 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1706 | 0.1793 | 0.1489 | 2.49 | 0.09695 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1706
- Stop Loss: 0.1793
- Take Profit: 0.1489
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1793 - 0.1706 = 0.0087
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1706 - 0.1489 = 0.0217
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0217 / 0.0087 = 2.4943
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.100%
(0.0087)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -1.331% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -2.040% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -2.515% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -5.334% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.715% | 0.1R | -5.334% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -5.803% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -5.803% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -7.808% | 1.5R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.715% | 0.1R | -12.304% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 0 min
MAE in 1320 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.