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Short Trade on GRASS

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02 Oct 2026 at 16:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on GRASS (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 165.28 GRASS at 0.665$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6487 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7137 (7.27 %)

GRASS SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 16:15 → 20:30 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.6653$

Qty 165.2783 GRASS

Size 109.9613$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.6487 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.74$

SL 0.7137 (-7.27%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.34

Status loss PnL -7.27% / -8$ MAE -9.85% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 22:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172814)
#74 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2764

Quality Score
0.416
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#74 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.18×ATR
4h clear 1.65×ATR
1d clear 2.36×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up late OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-4.97
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
6.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 16:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4681
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

early_expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bear

0.90

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 6.1%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 57.6%
1h 48.5%
4h 3.0%
24h 18.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.5% +0.04%
4h 9.1% -4.97%
24h 22.7% -3.36%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.260
Universe : 66 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 16:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7397
Score SMA
0.8132
Rank
#7 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9211
Rank Norm SMA
0.9355
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9311 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.18% · r3d: 16.48% · ema21_slope: 4.7638% · dist_ema21: 36.942%
Force Relative 25% 0.8574 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.29% · rs_3d: 14.82% · beta_24h: 1.335
Volume 20% 0.5810 rvol_20: 1.29× · zscore_50: 0.817 · trend: 184.55%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8652 ADX: 43.8 (trend) · Chop: 10.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.709% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4158
Score SMA
0.6142
Rank
#74 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2764
Rank Norm SMA
0.7019
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2299 r1h: -1.476% · r4h: -5.031% · r1d: -7.20% · r3d: -12.22% · ema21_slope: -0.1513% · dist_ema21: -4.437%
Force Relative 25% 0.1627 rs_1h: -1.534% · rs_4h: -3.817% · rs_1d: -6.79% · rs_3d: -13.08% · beta_24h: 1.639
Volume 20% 0.8889 rvol_20: 3.22× · zscore_50: 2.501 · trend: 41.59%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5560 ADX: 17.3 (weak) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.9510 ATR%: 3.147% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.3601
Score SMA
0.6680
Rank
#73 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2676
Rank Norm SMA
0.7986
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4792 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.031% · r1d: -7.20% · r3d: -12.22% · ema21_slope: 0.2920% · dist_ema21: -2.937%
Force Relative 25% 0.3508 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.817% · rs_1d: -6.79% · rs_3d: -13.08% · beta_24h: 1.964
Volume 20% 0.3003 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.093 · trend: -21.39%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5448 ADX: 38.4 (trend) · Chop: 72.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.953% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.275% (0.0484)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.385% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.385% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -7.093% 1.0R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -9.854% 1.4R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -10.089% 1.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -10.089% 1.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -15.425% 2.1R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -19.642% 2.7R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -19.642% 2.7R 0.0× 864

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.44 bull_high +13.92% +1.00 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.20 bull_high +3.04% -0.10 02/10 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.24 range_medium -0.29% -0.36 02/10 14:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 36% mid near -0.2ATR — 0.44 bear_low -1.15% -0.27 02/10 15:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197658
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.708 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 45% late 3b 2.1ATR — — 1.29 97% ↑ +0.96 above_value -0.42 — #105810 0.44 bull_high +13.92% +1.00
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:24
4h
#204073
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.736 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 34% early 16b 0.3ATR — — 0.36 79% ↓ -0.69 above_value -1.02 — #108607 0.20 bull_high +3.04% -0.10
02/10 08:00
upd 02/10 12:17
1h anchor
#205260
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.513 normal bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 39% mid 5b -1.3ATR — — 1.70 70% ↔ -0.09 value -1.40 — #109160 0.24 range_medium -0.29% -0.36
02/10 14:00
upd 02/10 15:11
15m
#205597
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.386 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
48%
noisy_chop 36% mid 7b -1.4ATR near -0.2ATR — 3.02 97% ↑ +0.80 value -1.40 — #109160 0.44 bear_low -1.15% -0.27
02/10 15:45
upd 02/10 16:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 3b — 2.148×ATR p0 +2.116×ATR p90
4h ↓ down early 16b — 2.672×ATR p28 +0.343×ATR p22
1h ↓ down mid 5b — 2.241×ATR p34 -1.31×ATR p68
15m ↓ down mid 7b — 2.754×ATR p64 -1.364×ATR p72

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.71371322
  2. tp_price: 0.64867725
  3. atr: 0.01936129
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-03T02:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 81
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.2303
  4. delta_2h: -0.2534
  5. extension_atr: -1.37
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2478
  9. confidence: 0.964

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6653 0.7137 0.6487 0.34 0.3928
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6653
  • Stop Loss: 0.7137
  • Take Profit: 0.6487

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7137 - 0.6653 = 0.0484

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6653 - 0.6487 = 0.0166

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0166 / 0.0484 = 0.343

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
109.9613 100 165.2783 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0484

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0484 = 165.29

Taille de position USD = 165.29 x 0.6653 = 109.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 165.29 avec un stoploss a 0.7137

Avec un position size USD de 109.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 165.29 x 0.0484 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 165.29 x 0.0166 = 2.74

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.74$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 165.29
  • Taille de position USD 109.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.74
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.343

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.74 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -7.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-7.332 % 100.78 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.6653 0.7137 0.6487 0.34 0.3928
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.6653
  • Stop Loss: 0.7137
  • Take Profit: 0.6487

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7137 - 0.6653 = 0.0484

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.6653 - 0.6487 = 0.0166

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0166 / 0.0484 = 0.343

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.6487
            [entry_price] => 0.6653
            [stop_loss] => 0.71854
            [rr_ratio] => 0.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.6487
            [entry_price] => 0.6653
            [stop_loss] => 0.72338
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 01:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.6487
            [entry_price] => 0.6653
            [stop_loss] => 0.72822
            [rr_ratio] => 0.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 02:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.275% (0.0484)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.385% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -3.385% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -7.093% 1.0R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -9.854% 1.4R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -10.089% 1.4R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -10.089% 1.4R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -15.425% 2.1R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -19.642% 2.7R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -19.642% 2.7R 0.0× 864

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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