Short Trade on CRV

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02 Oct 2026 at 17:15:12 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CRV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 530.58 CRV at 0.359$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3499 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.374 (4.21 %)

CRV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 17:15 → 22:40 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.3589$

Qty 530.5761 CRV

Size 190.4291$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3499 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.78$

SL 0.374 (-4.21%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.6

Status loss PnL -4.21% / -8.01$ MAE -4.63% MFE +1.09% 0.3R expires 02 Oct 23:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172944)

#78 / 84

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1774

Quality Score

0.391

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#78 / 84

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.21 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#78 / 84

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.21 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.63×ATR
4h	clear	1.66×ATR
1d	clear	1.17×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-4.02

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

11.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 17:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4685

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	early_expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bear 0.90	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 5.1%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.8%
1h	76.9%
4h	1.5%
24h	18.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.8%	+0.01%
4h	7.7%	-4.02%
24h	18.5%	-2.94%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.261

Universe : 65 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 17:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4618

Score SMA

0.5674

Rank

#63 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1842

Rank Norm SMA

0.3886

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6598	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.07% · r3d: -1.37% · ema21_slope: 0.4713% · dist_ema21: 5.155%
Force Relative	25%	0.4049	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.55% · rs_3d: -3.02% · beta_24h: 0.970
Volume	20%	0.3482	rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.216 · trend: 36.72%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6200	ADX: 30.3 (trend) · Chop: 54.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.371% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.3911

Score SMA

0.5612

Rank

#78 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1774

Rank Norm SMA

0.5400

Calculé le

02/10/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2438	r1h: -1.130% · r4h: -4.454% · r1d: -5.82% · r3d: -7.62% · ema21_slope: -0.1229% · dist_ema21: -4.382%
Force Relative	25%	0.2288	rs_1h: -1.297% · rs_4h: -3.597% · rs_1d: -5.63% · rs_3d: -8.62% · beta_24h: 0.975
Volume	20%	0.3146	rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.231 · trend: 20.44%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6524	ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 33.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.809% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4462

Score SMA

0.5537

Rank

#51 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3352

Rank Norm SMA

0.5100

Calculé le

02/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4153	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.151% · r1d: -4.93% · r3d: -5.90% · ema21_slope: 0.0524% · dist_ema21: -4.059%
Force Relative	25%	0.3575	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.937% · rs_1d: -4.52% · rs_3d: -6.75% · beta_24h: 0.584
Volume	20%	0.4043	rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.462 · trend: -2.39%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5418	ADX: 19.4 (weak) · Chop: 53.0 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.7011	ATR%: 3.897% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.207% (0.0151)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.087%	0.3R	-0.385%	0.1R	2.8×	12
2h	+1.087%	0.3R	-0.755%	0.2R	1.4×	24
4h	+1.087%	0.3R	-4.188%	1.0R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+1.087%	0.3R	-4.625%	1.1R	0.2×	72
8h	+1.087%	0.3R	-4.714%	1.1R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.087%	0.3R	-5.422%	1.3R	0.2×	144
24h	+1.087%	0.3R	-7.593%	1.8R	0.1×	288
48h	+1.087%	0.3R	-7.593%	1.8R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.087%	0.3R	-7.593%	1.8R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 1389 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 1.35

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	near -0.9ATR	0.65	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.15	30/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	—	—	0.42	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.66	02/10 12:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 39%	late	near -1.6ATR	—	0.43	range_medium	-0.06%	-0.41	02/10 16:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 46%	late	near -0.3ATR	—	0.56	bear_low	-0.89%	-0.41	02/10 16:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197527	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.727	expansion	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 39%	early 15b 0.6ATR	—	near -0.9ATR	0.79	85%	↑ +0.38	value	-2.98	—	#105776	0.65	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.15	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:18
4h #205657	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.535	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 14b -1.2ATR	—	—	1.19	86%	↓ -0.41	below_value	-2.76	—	#109290	0.42	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.66	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:13
1h anchor #206148	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.529	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	44%	noisy_chop 39%	late 12b -2.5ATR	near -1.6ATR	—	0.73	52%	↑ +0.24	below_value	-3.39	—	#109545	0.43	range_medium	-0.06%	-0.41	02/10 16:00 upd 02/10 17:09
15m #206067	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.759	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 46%	late 3b -2.0ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.13	6%	↔ +0.13	below_value	-2.76	—	#109290	0.56	bear_low	-0.89%	-0.41	02/10 16:45 upd 02/10 17:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	15b	—	2.355×ATR	p0	+0.569×ATR	p40
4h	↓ down	mid	14b	—	3.464×ATR	p65	-1.231×ATR	p75
1h	↓ down	late	12b	—	4.803×ATR	p94	-2.476×ATR	p98
15m	↓ down	late	3b	—	1.566×ATR	p3	-2.007×ATR	p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.37398795
tp_price: 0.34993725
atr: 0.00603118
expires_at: 2026-10-03T03:15:12+00:00

Details

rank: 79
total: 84
score: 0.2438
delta_2h: -0.0787
extension_atr: -2.43
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1759
confidence: 0.94

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	17:15	0.35891000	+0.003%
2	18:15	0.35920000	+0.084%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3589	0.374	0.3499	0.6	0.2022

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3589
Stop Loss: 0.374
Take Profit: 0.3499

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.374 - 0.3589 = 0.0151
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3589 - 0.3499 = 0.009
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0151 = 0.596

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
190.4291	100	530.5761	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0151

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0151 = 529.8

Taille de position USD = 529.8 x 0.3589 = 190.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 529.8 avec un stoploss a 0.374

Avec un position size USD de 190.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 529.8 x 0.0151 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 529.8 x 0.009 = 4.77

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.77$

Résumé

Taille de position 529.8
Taille de position USD 190.15
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.77
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.596

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	4.78 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.21 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
-8.01 $	-4.21

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.6252 %	109.93 %	10

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3589	0.374	0.3499	0.6	0.2022

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3589
Stop Loss: 0.374
Take Profit: 0.3499

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.374 - 0.3589 = 0.0151
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3589 - 0.3499 = 0.009
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.009 / 0.0151 = 0.596

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.207% (0.0151)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.087%	0.3R	-0.385%	0.1R	2.8×	12
2h	+1.087%	0.3R	-0.755%	0.2R	1.4×	24
4h	+1.087%	0.3R	-4.188%	1.0R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+1.087%	0.3R	-4.625%	1.1R	0.2×	72
8h	+1.087%	0.3R	-4.714%	1.1R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.087%	0.3R	-5.422%	1.3R	0.2×	144
24h	+1.087%	0.3R	-7.593%	1.8R	0.1×	288
48h	+1.087%	0.3R	-7.593%	1.8R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.087%	0.3R	-7.593%	1.8R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 14 min MAE in 1389 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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