Short Trade on LINK

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02 Oct 2026 at 17:15:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LINK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 16.15 LINK at 13.6$ per unit. Take profit: 13.26 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 14.0954 (3.64 %)

LINK SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 17:15 → 23:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 13.6$

Qty 16.1493 LINK

Size 219.6308$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 13.26 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.49$

SL 14.0954 (-3.64%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.69

Status loss PnL -2.42% / -5.31$ MAE -2.61% MFE +0.20% 0.1R expires 02 Oct 23:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172946)

#69 / 84

OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2384

Quality Score

0.426

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#69 / 84

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.64 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#69 / 84

OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

92 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.64 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.46×ATR
4h	near	-1.43×ATR
1d	clear	4.18×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-4.02

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

35.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 17:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4685

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	early_expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bear 0.90	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 5.1%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.8%
1h	76.9%
4h	1.5%
24h	18.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.8%	+0.01%
4h	7.7%	-4.02%
24h	18.5%	-2.94%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.261

Universe : 65 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 17:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6108

Score SMA

0.7075

Rank

#20 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.7500

Rank Norm SMA

0.7395

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7505	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.17% · r3d: -6.90% · ema21_slope: 1.2183% · dist_ema21: 8.799%
Force Relative	25%	0.5403	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.30% · rs_3d: -8.55% · beta_24h: 1.048
Volume	20%	0.5813	rvol_20: 1.41× · zscore_50: 0.857 · trend: 83.59%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8556	ADX: 42.7 (trend) · Chop: 32.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0601	ATR%: 5.820% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.4256

Score SMA

0.5505

Rank

#69 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2384

Rank Norm SMA

0.5376

Calculé le

02/10/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2637	r1h: -0.258% · r4h: -4.369% · r1d: -5.86% · r3d: -7.81% · ema21_slope: -0.1399% · dist_ema21: -4.216%
Force Relative	25%	0.2649	rs_1h: -0.425% · rs_4h: -3.511% · rs_1d: -5.67% · rs_3d: -8.81% · beta_24h: 1.403
Volume	20%	0.3550	rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.225 · trend: 74.14%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7283	ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 23.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.548% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.5298

Score SMA

0.6347

Rank

#25 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4204

Rank Norm SMA

0.7510

Calculé le

02/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3542	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.640% · r1d: -6.00% · r3d: -7.16% · ema21_slope: -0.0568% · dist_ema21: -5.048%
Force Relative	25%	0.2766	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.426% · rs_1d: -5.60% · rs_3d: -8.02% · beta_24h: 1.962
Volume	20%	0.8262	rvol_20: 3.09× · zscore_50: 1.629 · trend: 38.22%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6235	ADX: 24.3 (weak) · Chop: 47.9 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.9563	ATR%: 3.131% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.643% (0.4954)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.199%	0.1R	-0.662%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.199%	0.1R	-1.103%	0.3R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.199%	0.1R	-2.610%	0.7R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.199%	0.1R	-2.610%	0.7R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.199%	0.1R	-2.838%	0.8R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.199%	0.1R	-3.860%	1.1R	0.1×	144
24h	+0.199%	0.1R	-3.860%	1.1R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.199%	0.1R	-4.647%	1.3R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.199%	0.1R	-5.309%	1.5R	0.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 9 min MAE in 554 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.19

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.83	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.85	30/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	near -1.4ATR	—	0.62	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.84	02/10 12:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	45%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near 0.5ATR	—	0.63	range_medium	-0.06%	-0.44	02/10 16:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.68	bear_low	-0.89%	-0.38	02/10 16:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197537	↑ up	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.651	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	66%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 15b 1.2ATR	—	—	1.41	97%	↑ +0.79	above_value	+0.25	—	#105778	0.83	bull_high	+13.92%	+0.85	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:18
4h #205661	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.714	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 22b -1.8ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	3.09	99%	↔ -0.02	below_value	-3.70	—	#109292	0.62	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.84	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:13
1h anchor #206150	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.358	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	45%	noisy_chop 42%	late 2b -2.9ATR	near 0.5ATR	—	0.53	46%	↑ +0.49	below_value	-3.99	—	#109547	0.63	range_medium	-0.06%	-0.44	02/10 16:00 upd 02/10 17:09
15m #206069	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.490	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 43%	late 9b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.11	44%	↓ -0.48	below_value	-3.70	—	#109292	0.68	bear_low	-0.89%	-0.38	02/10 16:45 upd 02/10 17:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	15b	—	4.501×ATR	p53	+1.249×ATR	p67
4h	↓ down	mid	22b	—	5.153×ATR	p73	-1.821×ATR	p77
1h	↑ up	late	2b	—	1.711×ATR	p5	-2.856×ATR	p98
15m	↑ up	late	9b	—	3.108×ATR	p67	-1.867×ATR	p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 14.09537683
tp_price: 13.26
atr: 0.19815073
expires_at: 2026-10-03T03:15:13+00:00

Details

rank: 77
total: 84
score: 0.2637
delta_2h: -0.022
extension_atr: -2.45
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2249
confidence: 0.916

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
13.6	14.0954	13.26	0.69	8.8266

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 13.6
Stop Loss: 14.0954
Take Profit: 13.26

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 14.0954 - 13.6 = 0.4954
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 13.6 - 13.26 = 0.34
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.34 / 0.4954 = 0.6863

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
219.6308	100	16.1493	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.4954

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4954 = 16.15

Taille de position USD = 16.15 x 13.6 = 219.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.15 avec un stoploss a 14.0954

Avec un position size USD de 219.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.15 x 0.4954 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.15 x 0.34 = 5.49

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.49$

Résumé

Taille de position 16.15
Taille de position USD 219.64
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.49
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6863

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.49 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.64 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-5.31 $	-2.42

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.6103 %	71.66 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
13.6	14.0954	13.26	0.69	8.8266

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 13.6
Stop Loss: 14.0954
Take Profit: 13.26

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 14.0954 - 13.6 = 0.4954
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 13.6 - 13.26 = 0.34
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.34 / 0.4954 = 0.6863

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.643% (0.4954)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.199%	0.1R	-0.662%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.199%	0.1R	-1.103%	0.3R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.199%	0.1R	-2.610%	0.7R	0.1×	48
6h ★	+0.199%	0.1R	-2.610%	0.7R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.199%	0.1R	-2.838%	0.8R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.199%	0.1R	-3.860%	1.1R	0.1×	144
24h	+0.199%	0.1R	-3.860%	1.1R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.199%	0.1R	-4.647%	1.3R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.199%	0.1R	-5.309%	1.5R	0.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 9 min MAE in 554 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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