Short Trade on SEI

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02 Oct 2026 at 17:15:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on SEI (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3099.66 SEI at 0.0681$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06645 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07073 (3.79 %)

SEI SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 17:15 → 22:10 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.06815$

Qty 3099.6579 SEI

Size 211.2386$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06645 (+2.49%)

TP $ 5.27$

SL 0.07073 (-3.79%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.66

Status loss PnL -3.79% / -8$ MAE -4.91% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 02 Oct 23:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 172956)

#75 / 84

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1383

Quality Score

0.399

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#75 / 84

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

90 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.79 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#75 / 84

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

90 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.79 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.27×ATR
4h	clear	3.21×ATR
1d	clear	4.62×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-4.02

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 17:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4685

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	early_expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bear 0.90	transition

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 5.1%

Macro alt_capitulation

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.8%
1h	76.9%
4h	1.5%
24h	18.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.8%	+0.01%
4h	7.7%	-4.02%
24h	18.5%	-2.94%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.261

Universe : 65 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 1.00

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 17:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5576

Score SMA

0.7248

Rank

#35 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.5526

Rank Norm SMA

0.8080

Calculé le

01/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7088	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.26% · r3d: -8.85% · ema21_slope: 3.0607% · dist_ema21: 13.206%
Force Relative	25%	0.5426	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.74% · rs_3d: -10.50% · beta_24h: 1.369
Volume	20%	0.3779	rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: 0.056 · trend: 66.16%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8917	ADX: 47.0 (trend) · Chop: 12.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 7.514% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.3994

Score SMA

0.5504

Rank

#75 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1383

Rank Norm SMA

0.4973

Calculé le

02/10/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2641	r1h: -0.463% · r4h: -3.779% · r1d: -4.48% · r3d: -7.98% · ema21_slope: -0.1157% · dist_ema21: -3.521%
Force Relative	25%	0.2845	rs_1h: -0.630% · rs_4h: -2.922% · rs_1d: -4.29% · rs_3d: -8.98% · beta_24h: 1.543
Volume	20%	0.2073	rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.792 · trend: -4.87%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7173	ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 31.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.609% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4232

Score SMA

0.6218

Rank

#58 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2540

Rank Norm SMA

0.6852

Calculé le

02/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3943	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.707% · r1d: -4.24% · r3d: -6.89% · ema21_slope: -0.1901% · dist_ema21: -5.131%
Force Relative	25%	0.2987	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.492% · rs_1d: -3.84% · rs_3d: -7.75% · beta_24h: 1.574
Volume	20%	0.3305	rvol_20: 1.28× · zscore_50: -0.247 · trend: -33.02%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5505	ADX: 22.6 (weak) · Chop: 55.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.8152	ATR%: 3.555% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.786% (0.0026)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.375%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.375%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.751%	1.0R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.907%	1.3R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.162%	1.4R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.162%	1.4R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.413%	1.4R	0.0×	288
48h	+0.000%	0.0R	-11.376%	3.0R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.000%	0.0R	-11.376%	3.0R	0.0×	864

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	71%	noisy_chop 47%	early	—	—	0.64	bull_high	+13.92%	+1.00	30/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	—	0.52	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.77	02/10 12:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	49%	noisy_chop 41%	late	near -1.3ATR	—	0.35	range_medium	-0.06%	-0.26	02/10 16:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	normal	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 50%	late	—	—	0.65	bear_low	-0.89%	-0.31	02/10 16:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #197579	↑ up	range	range	strong	balanced	0.672	expansion_after_compression	bull_high_confirmed	71%	noisy_chop 47%	early 3b 1.2ATR	—	—	0.62	81%	↑ +0.84	below_value	-3.56	—	#105787	0.64	bull_high	+13.92%	+1.00	30/09 20:00 upd 01/10 20:20
4h #205681	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.594	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 40%	late 28b -1.8ATR	—	—	1.28	84%	↔ +0.07	below_value	-4.93	inside	#109302	0.52	bull_high	+1.76%	-0.77	02/10 12:00 upd 02/10 16:14
1h anchor #206160	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.519	volatile_reversal	bear_high	49%	noisy_chop 41%	late 2b -2.3ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	0.27	5%	↔ -0.13	below_value	-5.37	—	#109557	0.35	range_medium	-0.06%	-0.26	02/10 16:00 upd 02/10 17:10
15m #206079	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.543	normal	bear_high	63%	noisy_chop 50%	late 8b -1.7ATR	—	—	0.19	25%	↓ -0.26	below_value	-4.93	—	#109302	0.65	bear_low	-0.89%	-0.31	02/10 16:45 upd 02/10 17:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	3b	—	3.051×ATR	p6	+1.198×ATR	p54
4h	↓ down	late	28b	—	7.479×ATR	p94	-1.765×ATR	p73
1h	↑ up	late	2b	—	1.173×ATR	p2	-2.269×ATR	p88
15m	↑ up	late	8b	—	2.374×ATR	p32	-1.732×ATR	p87

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.07072993
tp_price: 0.06644527
atr: 0.00103237
expires_at: 2026-10-03T03:15:13+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 84
score: 0.2641
delta_2h: -0.0065
extension_atr: -2.12
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1383
confidence: 0.904

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.06815	0.07073	0.06645	0.66	0.03706

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.06815
Stop Loss: 0.07073
Take Profit: 0.06645

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.07073 - 0.06815 = 0.00258
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.06815 - 0.06645 = 0.0017
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0017 / 0.00258 = 0.6589

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
211.2386	100	3099.6579	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00258

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00258 = 3100.78

Taille de position USD = 3100.78 x 0.06815 = 211.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 3100.78 avec un stoploss a 0.07073

Avec un position size USD de 211.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3100.78 x 0.00258 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3100.78 x 0.0017 = 5.27

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.27$

Résumé

Taille de position 3100.78
Taille de position USD 211.32
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.27
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6589

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.49 %	5.27 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.79 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-3.79

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.0015 %	105.7 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.06815	0.07073	0.06645	0.66	0.03706

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.06815
Stop Loss: 0.07073
Take Profit: 0.06645

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.07073 - 0.06815 = 0.00258
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.06815 - 0.06645 = 0.0017
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0017 / 0.00258 = 0.6589

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06645
            [entry_price] => 0.06815
            [stop_loss] => 0.070988
            [rr_ratio] => 0.6
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 02:15:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.06645
            [entry_price] => 0.06815
            [stop_loss] => 0.071246
            [rr_ratio] => 0.55
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 03:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.786% (0.0026)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.375%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.375%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-3.751%	1.0R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.907%	1.3R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.162%	1.4R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.162%	1.4R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.413%	1.4R	0.0×	288
48h	+0.000%	0.0R	-11.376%	3.0R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.000%	0.0R	-11.376%	3.0R	0.0×	864

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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