Long Trade on APE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 715.95 APE at 0.164$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1682 (2.56 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1529 (6.77 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 18:15:05
hyperliquid
APE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 18:15
→ 20:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.164$
Qty 715.9535 APE
Size 117.4522$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1682 (+2.56%)
TP $ 3.01$
SL 0.1529 (-6.77%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 0.38
Status
win
PnL
+2.56%
/ +3.01$
MAE -0.78%
MFE +4.09%
0.6R
expires
03 Oct 00:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 173020)
#3 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 18:00
score du 02/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9621
Quality Score
0.680
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#3 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.63×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.84×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-3.59
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 18:00
02/10 18:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 02/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 17:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4689
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
3.6%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 69.2% |
| 1h | 75.4% |
| 4h | 3.1% |
| 24h | 21.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.6% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 3.1% | -3.59% |
| 24h | 23.1% | -2.19% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.283
Universe :
65
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 18:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6798
Score SMA
0.6316
Rank
#3
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9621
Rank Norm SMA
0.7663
Calculé le
02/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7436 | r1h: 1.410% · r4h: -0.849% · r1d: 11.61% · r3d: 10.33% · ema21_slope: 0.5495% · dist_ema21: 2.175% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7469 | rs_1h: 1.350% · rs_4h: -0.494% · rs_1d: 11.65% · rs_3d: 9.12% · beta_24h: 2.829 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3134 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: 0.044 · trend: 32.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8961 | ADX: 47.5 (trend) · Chop: 17.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.895% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7037
Score SMA
0.6638
Rank
#4
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9689
Rank Norm SMA
0.7541
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6227 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.002% · r1d: 9.98% · r3d: 9.53% · ema21_slope: 0.1615% · dist_ema21: 5.695% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6739 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.788% · rs_1d: 10.38% · rs_3d: 8.67% · beta_24h: 1.292 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9201 | rvol_20: 3.28× · zscore_50: 1.801 · trend: 239.39% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6669 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 16.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6439 | ATR%: 4.068% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.768%
(0.0111)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.220% | 0.0R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.872% | 0.4R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.031% | 0.5R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.085% | 0.6R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 5.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.085% | 0.6R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 5.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.085% | 0.6R | -1.433% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.085% | 0.6R | -1.835% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.085% | 0.6R | -1.835% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.927% | 0.7R | -1.835% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 319 min
MAE in 1199 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.25 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.51 | bull_high | +1.76% | +0.59 | 02/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.47 | range_medium | +0.00% | +0.75 | 02/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bear_low | -0.76% | -0.12 | 02/10 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#204911
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.650 | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 4b 0.2ATR | — | — | 0.45 | 34% | ↑ +0.72 | value | +3.25 | — | #108960 | 0.42 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.25 |
30/09 20:00
upd 02/10 14:16
|
|
4h
#205641
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.729 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
71%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 1b 1.4ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 3.28 | 99% | ↑ +0.55 | value | +2.65 | — | #109282 | 0.51 | bull_high | +1.76% | +0.59 |
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 16:12
|
|
1h
anchor #206560
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.685 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 8b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.49 | 86% | ↑ +0.93 | value | +3.17 | — | #109707 | 0.47 | range_medium | +0.00% | +0.75 |
02/10 17:00
upd 02/10 18:10
|
|
15m
#206393
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.658 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 11b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.00 | 1% | ↓ -0.77 | value | +2.59 | — | #109537 | 0.40 | bear_low | -0.76% | -0.12 |
02/10 17:30
upd 02/10 17:45
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.284×ATR | p0 | +0.2×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 4.033×ATR | p67 | +1.371×ATR | p75 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 5.276×ATR | p95 | +0.525×ATR | p30 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 11b | — | 1.544×ATR | p0 | -0.596×ATR | p26 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.15287609
- tp_price: 0.16815125
- atr: 0.00446956
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T04:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 4
- total: 84
- score: 0.7027
- delta_2h: 0.0186
- extension_atr: 0.53
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9621
- confidence: 0.964
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:15 | 0.16405000 | +0.03% |
| 2 | 19:15 | 0.16410000 | +0.061% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.164 | 0.1529 | 0.1682 | 0.38 | 0.07872 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.164
- Stop Loss: 0.1529
- Take Profit: 0.1682
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1529 - 0.164 = -0.0111
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.164 - 0.1682 = -0.0042
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0042 / -0.0111 = 0.3784
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 117.4522 | 100 | 715.9535 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0111
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0111 = -720.72
Taille de position USD = -720.72 x 0.164 = -118.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -720.72 avec un stoploss a 0.1529
Avec un position size USD de -118.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -720.72 x -0.0111 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -720.72 x -0.0042 = 3.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position -720.72
- Taille de position USD -118.2
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3784
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.56 % | 3.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.77 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.01 $ | 2.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7805 % | 11.53 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.164 | 0.1529 | 0.1682 | 0.38 | 0.07872 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.164
- Stop Loss: 0.1529
- Take Profit: 0.1682
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1529 - 0.164 = -0.0111
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.164 - 0.1682 = -0.0042
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0042 / -0.0111 = 0.3784
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.768%
(0.0111)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.220% | 0.0R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.872% | 0.4R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 3.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.031% | 0.5R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.085% | 0.6R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 5.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +4.085% | 0.6R | -0.781% | 0.1R | 5.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.085% | 0.6R | -1.433% | 0.2R | 2.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.085% | 0.6R | -1.835% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +4.085% | 0.6R | -1.835% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +4.927% | 0.7R | -1.835% | 0.3R | 2.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 319 min
MAE in 1199 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.