Short Trade on DASH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 4.58 DASH at 57.601$ per unit. Take profit: 53.2301 (7.59 %) & Stop Loss: 59.3494 (3.04 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 18:46:36
hyperliquid
DASH
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 18:46
→ 20:10
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 57.601$
Qty 4.5757 DASH
Size 263.5658$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 53.2301 (+7.59%)
TP $ 20$
SL 59.3494 (-3.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.04%
/ -8$
MAE -3.98%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
03 Oct 06:46
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 173097)
#47 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 18:00
score du 02/10/2026 18:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2551
Quality Score
0.471
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.93×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 18:32
02/10 18:32
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 02/10 17:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4692
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
early_expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
46.2%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 69.2% |
| 1h | 73.9% |
| 4h | 70.8% |
| 24h | 26.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 69.2% | +0.08% |
| 4h | 60.0% | +0.46% |
| 24h | 29.2% | -1.55% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.148
Universe :
65
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 18:46
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5025
Score SMA
0.6026
Rank
#65
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1467
Rank Norm SMA
0.3821
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7169 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.37% · r3d: -11.72% · ema21_slope: 1.0448% · dist_ema21: 0.634% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5640 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.35% · rs_3d: -10.73% · beta_24h: 1.415 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2123 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.514 · trend: -15.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6932 | ADX: 41.1 (trend) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.463% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.4713
Score SMA
0.5258
Rank
#47
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2551
Rank Norm SMA
0.4071
Calculé le
02/10/2026 18:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3453 | r1h: 1.206% · r4h: -3.078% · r1d: -1.94% · r3d: -6.33% · ema21_slope: -0.0988% · dist_ema21: -2.527% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4043 | rs_1h: 1.146% · rs_4h: -2.723% · rs_1d: -1.91% · rs_3d: -7.54% · beta_24h: 1.445 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2967 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.231 · trend: 34.09% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7155 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.636% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4017
Score SMA
0.5215
Rank
#69
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1298
Rank Norm SMA
0.3493
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2027 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.047% · r1d: -3.74% · r3d: -7.04% · ema21_slope: -0.3288% · dist_ema21: -6.137% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2234 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.833% · rs_1d: -3.34% · rs_3d: -7.90% · beta_24h: 2.515 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5866 | rvol_20: 2.70× · zscore_50: 0.000 · trend: -24.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5795 | ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8076 | ATR%: 3.577% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.035%
(1.7484)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.227% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.637% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.816% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_high | +1.76% | -0.75 | 02/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | range_medium | +0.00% | -0.18 | 02/10 17:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bear_low | -0.73% | -0.37 | 02/10 18:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
4h
#205849
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.553 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 35b -2.1ATR | — | — | 2.70 | 64% | ↔ +0.05 | below_value | -15.88 | — | #109360 | 0.43 | bull_high | +1.76% | -0.75 |
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 16:21
|
|
1h
anchor #206638
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.372 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
50%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 3b -1.6ATR | — | — | 0.50 | 28% | ↑ +0.72 | below_value | -16.44 | — | #109785 | 0.50 | range_medium | +0.00% | -0.18 |
02/10 17:00
upd 02/10 18:14
|
|
15m
#206801
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.425 | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 14b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.03 | 11% | ↓ -0.87 | below_value | -16.44 | — | #109785 | 0.72 | bear_low | -0.73% | -0.37 |
02/10 18:15
upd 02/10 18:33
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 8.513×ATR | p94 | -2.095×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 1.874×ATR | p32 | -1.558×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 3.897×ATR | p82 | -0.419×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7956
- reason: down_bo width=2.86×ATR dur=43b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 59.34936063
- tp_price: 53.23009842
- atr:
- score: 0.79555354543018
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T10:46:28.170985
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79555354543018
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.039
- obi_top10 : -0.0615
- micro_price : 57.73446886
- spread_pct : 0.017322
- mid_price : 57.735
- bid_wall_price : 57.5
- bid_wall_size : 2775.268
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 57.9
- ask_wall_size : 3611.664
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.004
- obi_top5_std : 0.0196
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7001
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
60.568
- balance_zone_bottom:
57.9475
- balance_zone_mid:
59.25775
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790827200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790978400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8605
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
43
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7956
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790964000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
57.9475
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8605
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3782
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.91610632 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
43
inside_close_ratio
0.8605
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3782
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:46 | 57.60100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 18:56 | 57.60100000 | 0% |
| 3 | 19:07 | 57.60100000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7001ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.039
avg 0.004
± 0.020
OBI Top 10
-0.062
Microstructure
Mid Price
57.7350
Micro Price
57.7345
Spread
0.0173%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
57.5000
Size
2,775.27
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
57.9000
Size
3,611.66
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.601 | 59.3494 | 53.2301 | 2.5 | 35.067 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 57.601
- Stop Loss: 59.3494
- Take Profit: 53.2301
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.3494 - 57.601 = 1.7484
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.601 - 53.2301 = 4.3709
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.3709 / 1.7484 = 2.4999
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 263.5658 | 100 | 4.5757 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.7484
Taille de position = 8 / 1.7484 = 4.58
Taille de position USD = 4.58 x 57.601 = 263.81
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.58 avec un stoploss a 59.3494
Avec un position size USD de 263.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.58 x 1.7484 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.58 x 4.3709 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4.58
- Taille de position USD 263.81
- Perte potentielle 8.01
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4999
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.59 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.3038 % | 108.84 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.601 | 59.3494 | 53.2301 | 2.5 | 35.067 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 57.601
- Stop Loss: 59.3494
- Take Profit: 53.2301
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 59.3494 - 57.601 = 1.7484
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 57.601 - 53.2301 = 4.3709
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.3709 / 1.7484 = 2.4999
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 53.2301
[entry_price] => 57.601
[stop_loss] => 59.52424
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 53.2301
[entry_price] => 57.601
[stop_loss] => 59.69908
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 01:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 53.2301
[entry_price] => 57.601
[stop_loss] => 59.87392
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 01:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.035%
(1.7484)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.227% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.637% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.983% | 1.3R | 0.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.816% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.