02 Oct 2026 at 19:15:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SAND (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1163.38 SAND at 0.064$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06564 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05716 (10.73 %)

SAND LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 19:15 → 19:30 · 14 minutes

Position

Entry 0.06403$

Qty 1163.3758 SAND

Size 74.4968$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.06564 (+2.51%)

TP $ 1.87$

SL 0.05716 (-10.73%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.23

Status win PnL +2.51% / +1.87$ MAE -2.87% MFE +30.41% 2.8R expires 03 Oct 01:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 173153)
#1 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9790

Quality Score
0.761
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.73 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.42×ATR
4h clear 2.28×ATR
1d clear 1.42×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.46
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
47.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 19:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

02/10 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4693
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

early_expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 46.2%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 58.5%
1h 73.9%
4h 70.8%
24h 26.2%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 53.9% +0.02%
4h 60.0% +0.46%
24h 29.2% -1.55%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.148
Universe : 65 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 19:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.7610
Score SMA
0.6402
Rank
#1 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9790
Rank Norm SMA
0.6116
Calculé le
02/10/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9427 r1h: 1.968% · r4h: 6.293% · r1d: 44.04% · r3d: 47.82% · ema21_slope: 1.4903% · dist_ema21: 8.998%
Force Relative 25% 0.9536 rs_1h: 1.912% · rs_4h: 5.951% · rs_1d: 44.27% · rs_3d: 46.69% · beta_24h: 3.405
Volume 20% 0.3919 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: 0.104 · trend: 88.70%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8058 ADX: 46.3 (trend) · Chop: 48.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5014 ATR%: 4.496% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.7805
Score SMA
0.6801
Rank
#2 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9550
Rank Norm SMA
0.5264
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7928 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.399% · r1d: 39.20% · r3d: 42.80% · ema21_slope: 1.1957% · dist_ema21: 23.214%
Force Relative 25% 0.9086 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.614% · rs_1d: 39.60% · rs_3d: 41.94% · beta_24h: 4.811
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 9.92× · zscore_50: 5.524 · trend: 583.21%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7701 ADX: 32.4 (trend) · Chop: -3.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.029% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.729% (0.0069)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +10.886% 1.0R -2.869% 0.3R 3.8× 12
2h +10.886% 1.0R -2.869% 0.3R 3.8× 24
4h +20.786% 1.9R -2.869% 0.3R 7.2× 48
6h ★ +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 72
8h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 96
12h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 144
24h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 288
48h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 576
72h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 349 min MAE in 59 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6.16
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.68 bull_high +13.92% +0.89 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
75%
noisy_chop 49% late — — 0.38 bull_high +1.76% +1.00 02/10 12:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
76%
noisy_chop 50% mid — near -0.4ATR 0.37 range_medium +0.05% +1.00 02/10 18:00
15m ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.1ATR near 0.4ATR 0.19 bear_low -0.72% +0.25 02/10 18:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#202542
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.561 expansion bear_high
65%
noisy_chop 42% mid 16b 1.1ATR — — 1.29 86% ↑ +0.28 above_value +8.41 — #107912 0.68 bull_high +13.92% +0.89
30/09 20:00
upd 02/10 08:22
4h
#205761
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.712 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
75%
noisy_chop 49% late 1b 2.8ATR — — 9.92 100% ↑ +0.99 above_value -0.11 — #109331 0.38 bull_high +1.76% +1.00
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 16:18
1h anchor
#207027
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.575 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
76%
noisy_chop 50% mid 4b 1.4ATR — near -0.4ATR 0.49 95% ↑ +0.99 above_value +0.91 — #109926 0.37 range_medium +0.05% +1.00
02/10 18:00
upd 02/10 19:11
15m
#206860
↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.460 compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 39% mid 16b 1.0ATR near -0.1ATR near 0.4ATR 0.02 67% ↓ -0.87 above_value +0.47 — #109756 0.19 bear_low -0.72% +0.25
02/10 18:30
upd 02/10 18:47
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 16b — 4.563×ATR p63 +1.08×ATR p59
4h ↓ down late 1b — 2.56×ATR p23 +2.816×ATR p93
1h ↑ up mid 4b — 1.646×ATR p9 +1.42×ATR p71
15m ↑ up mid 16b — 3.059×ATR p52 +0.996×ATR p35

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.05715846
  2. tp_price: 0.06563587
  3. atr: 0.00275062
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-03T05:15:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.9349
  4. delta_2h: 0.168
  5. extension_atr: 1.48
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.979
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06403 0.05716 0.06564 0.23 0.0345
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06403
  • Stop Loss: 0.05716
  • Take Profit: 0.06564

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05716 - 0.06403 = -0.00687

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06403 - 0.06564 = -0.00161

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00161 / -0.00687 = 0.2344

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
74.4968 74.4968 1163.3758 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00687

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00687 = -1164.48

Taille de position USD = -1164.48 x 0.06403 = -74.56

Donc, tu peux acheter -1164.48 avec un stoploss a 0.05716

Avec un position size USD de -74.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1164.48 x -0.00687 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1164.48 x -0.00161 = 1.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 1.87$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1164.48
  • Taille de position USD -74.56
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 1.87
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2344

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 1.87 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
10.73 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
1.87 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.06403 0.05716 0.06564 0.23 0.0345
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.06403
  • Stop Loss: 0.05716
  • Take Profit: 0.06564

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05716 - 0.06403 = -0.00687

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.06403 - 0.06564 = -0.00161

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00161 / -0.00687 = 0.2344

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.07777
            [stop_loss] => 0.05716
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 03:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.081205
            [stop_loss] => 0.05716
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 03:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -10.729% (0.0069)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +10.886% 1.0R -2.869% 0.3R 3.8× 12
2h +10.886% 1.0R -2.869% 0.3R 3.8× 24
4h +20.786% 1.9R -2.869% 0.3R 7.2× 48
6h ★ +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 72
8h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 96
12h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 144
24h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 288
48h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 576
72h +30.406% 2.8R -2.869% 0.3R 10.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 349 min MAE in 59 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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