Long Trade on SYRUP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1662.83 SYRUP at 0.24$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2524 (4.99 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2355 (2.04 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 19:15:50
hyperliquid
SYRUP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 19:15
→ 07:15
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.2404$
Qty 1662.8283 SYRUP
Size 399.6774$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2524 (+4.99%)
TP $ 19.95$
SL 0.2355 (-2.04%)
SL $ 8.15$
RR 2.45
Status
win
PnL
+1.17%
/ +4.69$
MAE -1.58%
MFE +2.33%
1.1R
expires
03 Oct 07:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 173164)
#30 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 19:00
score du 02/10/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5806
Quality Score
0.516
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#30 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#30 / 84
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.87×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.07×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.31×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 19:02
02/10 19:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4693
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
46.2%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 58.5% |
| 1h | 73.9% |
| 4h | 70.8% |
| 24h | 26.2% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.9% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 60.0% | +0.46% |
| 24h | 29.2% | -1.55% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.148
Universe :
65
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 19:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6547
Score SMA
0.6480
Rank
#14
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8289
Rank Norm SMA
0.5709
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8807 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 6.02% · r3d: 3.94% · ema21_slope: 0.4223% · dist_ema21: 9.145% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6953 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 4.55% · rs_3d: 2.29% · beta_24h: 1.124 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5968 | rvol_20: 1.34× · zscore_50: 1.030 · trend: 95.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6486 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.203% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.5162
Score SMA
0.5775
Rank
#30
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5806
Rank Norm SMA
0.6090
Calculé le
02/10/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5956 | r1h: 1.750% · r4h: 2.329% · r1d: 0.65% · r3d: 1.97% · ema21_slope: 0.0702% · dist_ema21: 0.897% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6300 | rs_1h: 1.694% · rs_4h: 1.988% · rs_1d: 0.88% · rs_3d: 0.83% · beta_24h: 0.881 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1459 | rvol_20: 0.03× · zscore_50: -0.899 · trend: -45.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6440 | ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 43.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.814% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4855
Score SMA
0.5761
Rank
#39
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6347
Rank Norm SMA
0.5845
Calculé le
02/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4805 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.516% · r1d: -2.80% · r3d: -1.93% · ema21_slope: 0.1969% · dist_ema21: 0.085% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4349 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.302% · rs_1d: -2.40% · rs_3d: -2.79% · beta_24h: 1.693 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4292 | rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.276 · trend: 25.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5610 | ADX: 27.1 (trend) · Chop: 58.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6268 | ATR%: 4.120% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.038%
(0.0049)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.978% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.280% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.330% | 1.1R | -0.191% | 0.1R | 12.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.330% | 1.1R | -1.564% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.330% | 1.1R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +8.265% | 4.1R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 5.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.265% | 4.1R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 5.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.753% | 5.3R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.753% | 5.3R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1264 min
MAE in 484 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.05
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.15 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.3ATR | near -0.1ATR | 0.43 | bull_high | +1.76% | -0.60 | 02/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.45 | range_medium | +0.05% | +0.29 | 02/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.55 | range_low | -0.66% | +0.03 | 02/10 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197690
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.621 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 7b 0.9ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 1.34 | 97% | ↑ +0.78 | value | +4.39 | — | #105825 | 0.63 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.15 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#205797
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.686 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 1b 0.0ATR | near 0.3ATR | near -0.1ATR | 1.19 | 91% | ↔ -0.06 | above_value | -0.31 | — | #109343 | 0.43 | bull_high | +1.76% | -0.60 |
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 16:19
|
|
1h
anchor #207039
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.681 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 4b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.03 | 1% | ↓ -0.35 | value | +1.22 | — | #109938 | 0.45 | range_medium | +0.05% | +0.29 |
02/10 18:00
upd 02/10 19:11
|
|
15m
#206953
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.677 | compression | range_medium |
40%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 16b 1.9ATR | — | — | 0.03 | 2% | ↓ -0.98 | above_value | +0.03 | — | #109768 | 0.55 | range_low | -0.66% | +0.03 |
02/10 18:45
upd 02/10 19:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 2.089×ATR | p0 | +0.937×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.851×ATR | p0 | +0.023×ATR | p1 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.015×ATR | p22 | +0.467×ATR | p30 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 4.624×ATR | p84 | +1.933×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7829
- reason: up_bo width=1.97×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.23554892
- tp_price: 0.2523877
- atr:
- score: 0.78286067578074
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T11:15:42.758160
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78286067578074
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.082
- obi_top10 : 0.1028
- micro_price : 0.23999353
- spread_pct : 0.083368
- mid_price : 0.24
- bid_wall_price : 0.239
- bid_wall_size : 269406
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.241
- ask_wall_size : 253670
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0817
- obi_top5_std : 0.0002
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6916
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.24001
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.23191
- balance_zone_mid:
0.23596
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790863200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790982000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9704
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
34
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7829
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790978400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.24001
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6176
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0851
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00411081 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.6176
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0851
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:15 | 0.24036000 | -0.017% |
| 2 | 19:25 | 0.24036000 | -0.017% |
| 3 | 19:35 | 0.24036000 | -0.017% |
| 4 | 19:45 | 0.24106000 | +0.275% |
| 5 | 19:55 | 0.24106000 | +0.275% |
| 6 | 20:07 | 0.24106000 | +0.275% |
| 7 | 20:20 | 0.24097000 | +0.237% |
| 8 | 20:30 | 0.24097000 | +0.237% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6916ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
78%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.082
avg 0.082
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.103
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2400
Micro Price
0.2400
Spread
0.0834%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2390
Size
269,406.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2410
Size
253,670.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2404 | 0.2355 | 0.2524 | 2.45 | 0.09719 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2404
- Stop Loss: 0.2355
- Take Profit: 0.2524
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2355 - 0.2404 = -0.0049
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2404 - 0.2524 = -0.012
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.012 / -0.0049 = 2.449
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 399.6774 | 100 | 1662.8283 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0049
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0049 = -1632.65
Taille de position USD = -1632.65 x 0.2404 = -392.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -1632.65 avec un stoploss a 0.2355
Avec un position size USD de -392.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1632.65 x -0.0049 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1632.65 x -0.012 = 19.59
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.59$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1632.65
- Taille de position USD -392.49
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.59
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.449
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.99 % | 19.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.04 % | 8.15 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.69 $ | 1.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5807 % | 77.55 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2404 | 0.2355 | 0.2524 | 2.45 | 0.09719 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2404
- Stop Loss: 0.2355
- Take Profit: 0.2524
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2355 - 0.2404 = -0.0049
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2404 - 0.2524 = -0.012
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.012 / -0.0049 = 2.449
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.038%
(0.0049)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.978% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.280% | 1.1R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.330% | 1.1R | -0.191% | 0.1R | 12.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.330% | 1.1R | -1.564% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.330% | 1.1R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 143 |
| 24h | +8.265% | 4.1R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 5.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.265% | 4.1R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 5.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +10.753% | 5.3R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.753% | 5.3R | -1.581% | 0.8R | 6.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1264 min
MAE in 484 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.