Short Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 16578.94 NIL at 0.0836$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08261 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08406 (0.57 %)
Short Trade on NIL (CatchTheWave)
With 16578.94 NIL at 0.0836$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08261 (1.16 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08406 (0.57 %)
Position
Entry 0.08358$
Qty 16578.9365 NIL
Size 1385.6012$ (margin 100$) (leverage 14)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08261 (+1.16%)
TP $ 16.08$
SL 0.08406 (-0.57%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.02
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4963
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.70×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.80×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.57×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.410212 15m : 0.340358 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
early_expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
transition
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 50.8% |
| 1h | 55.4% |
| 4h | 75.4% |
| 24h | 27.7% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.8% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 70.8% | +0.90% |
| 24h | 30.8% | -1.43% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4959 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.18% · r3d: -5.04% · ema21_slope: 5.8465% · dist_ema21: 8.435% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3860 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.66% · rs_3d: -6.70% · beta_24h: 0.598 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2881 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.252 · trend: 28.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8937 | ADX: 47.2 (trend) · Chop: 14.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 18.282% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4887 | r1h: -0.121% · r4h: 4.032% · r1d: -1.16% · r3d: 3.67% · ema21_slope: -0.0943% · dist_ema21: 1.469% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5790 | rs_1h: -0.176% · rs_4h: 3.690% · rs_1d: -0.93% · rs_3d: 2.53% · beta_24h: 0.847 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2558 | rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.161 · trend: -19.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5371 | ADX: 11.5 (weak) · Chop: 45.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.107% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3443 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.018% · r1d: -3.49% · r3d: -1.69% · ema21_slope: -0.4340% · dist_ema21: -5.595% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3401 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.197% · rs_1d: -3.09% · rs_3d: -2.55% · beta_24h: 2.596 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3190 | rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: -0.340 · trend: -53.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5044 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.503% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.905% | 3.3R | -0.458% | 0.8R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -0.458% | 0.8R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.569% | 4.5R | -0.827% | 1.4R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -1.685% | 2.9R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -2.350% | 4.1R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -2.928% | 5.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -9.277% | 16.2R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -39.746% | 69.2R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.30 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.13 | bull_high | +1.76% | -0.47 | 02/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.11 | range_medium | +0.05% | +0.06 | 02/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.29 | bear_low | -0.72% | +0.46 | 02/10 19:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197683
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.820 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 7b 0.3ATR | — | — | 0.25 | 84% | ↑ +0.98 | below_value | -13.26 | — | #105822 | 0.30 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#205791
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.490 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid 13b -1.1ATR | near -1.8ATR | — | 1.39 | 80% | ↓ -0.65 | above_value | -1.63 | — | #109341 | 0.13 | bull_high | +1.76% | -0.47 |
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 16:19
|
|
1h
anchor #207037
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.369 | expansion | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 4b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.66 | 23% | ↑ +0.51 | above_value | +0.07 | — | #109936 | 0.11 | range_medium | +0.05% | +0.06 |
02/10 18:00
upd 02/10 19:11
|
|
15m
#207123
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.671 | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 18b 2.0ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.26 | 43% | ↓ -0.61 | above_value | +0.07 | — | #109936 | 0.29 | bear_low | -0.72% | +0.46 |
02/10 19:00
upd 02/10 19:18
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 4.316×ATR | p50 | +0.301×ATR | p25 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.7×ATR | p52 | -1.125×ATR | p57 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 3.273×ATR | p64 | +0.669×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 18b | — | 7.493×ATR | p100 | +1.988×ATR | p88 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
84660.7
-0.00240708
84457
0.410212
85123.2
-0.00779198
84460
0.340358
84411.5
0.00116615
84510
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0.077182
194
0.402
0.5879
0.3884
0.2256
0.5217
1
0.198
0.4764
0.2138
0.4936
0.5944
0.2667
0.0381
-0.0235
0.6667
0.7871
0.0155
0.2
0.8
-1
5
1
0.5488
0.5334
3.8844
0.55
1.6134
4.353
0.0155
0.3057
0.2973
0.36
0.1164
0.4361
0.5341
0.6165
0.2667
-10.3027
3.7479
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:25 | 0.08357600 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 19:45 | 0.08375200 | +0.206% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 17:40:00 | 0.077819 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 18:35:00 | 0.077182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 19:05:00 | 0.080419 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 19:40:00 | 0.080542 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 20:00:00 | 0.079757 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 20:35:00 | 0.082042 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 22:05:00 | 0.083331 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 22:15:00 | 0.081979 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 22:45:00 | 0.083328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 23:20:00 | 0.083672 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 23:15:00 | 0.083381 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 00:30:00 | 0.084682 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 05:00:00 | 0.083215 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 08:15:00 | 0.079811 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 13:15:00 | 0.084097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 17:00:00 | 0.081896 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 18:30:00 | 0.077182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 23:15:00 | 0.083347 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 20:00:00 | 0.083 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 02:00:00 | 0.084531 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 03:00:00 | 0.090122 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 09:00:00 | 0.088014 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-01 14:00:00 | 0.080775 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-01 20:00:00 | 0.084791 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 08:00:00 | 0.079811 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 13:00:00 | 0.084097 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-02 18:00:00 | 0.077182 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-02 22:00:00 | 0.083331 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08358 | 0.08406 | 0.08261 | 2.02 | 0.04828 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08406 - 0.08358 = 0.00047999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08358 - 0.08261 = 0.00097
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00097 / 0.00047999999999999 = 2.0208
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1385.6012 | 100 | 16578.9365 | 14.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00047999999999999 = 16666.67
Taille de position USD = 16666.67 x 0.08358 = 1393
Donc, tu peux acheter 16666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.08406
Avec un position size USD de 1393$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 16666.67 x 0.00047999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 16666.67 x 0.00097 = 16.17
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.17$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.16 % | 16.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.57 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.08 $ | 1.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4582 % | 79.78 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.08358 | 0.08406 | 0.08261 | 2.02 | 0.04828 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08406 - 0.08358 = 0.00047999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.08358 - 0.08261 = 0.00097
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00097 / 0.00047999999999999 = 2.0208
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[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:20:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0819
[stop_loss] => 0.08406
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:35:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.08166
[stop_loss] => 0.08406
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 00:55:00+00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.08142
[stop_loss] => 0.08406
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 03:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.08118
[stop_loss] => 0.08406
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 03:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.08094
[stop_loss] => 0.08406
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 03:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0807
[stop_loss] => 0.08406
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 03:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.08046
[stop_loss] => 0.08406
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 03:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.08022
[stop_loss] => 0.08406
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-10-03 03:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.905% | 3.3R | -0.458% | 0.8R | 4.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -0.458% | 0.8R | 5.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.569% | 4.5R | -0.827% | 1.4R | 3.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -1.685% | 2.9R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -2.350% | 4.1R | 1.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -2.928% | 5.1R | 0.9× | 288 |
| 48h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -9.277% | 16.2R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.569% | 4.5R | -39.746% | 69.2R | 0.1× | 864 |
computed 3 weeks ago
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