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Short Trade on 2Z

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02 Oct 2026 at 20:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1604.77 2Z at 0.0449$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04989 (11.11 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 20:15 → 23:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.0449$

Qty 1604.7726 2Z

Size 72.0623$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 72.05$

SL 0.04989 (-11.11%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.02% / -0.018$ MAE -1.17% MFE +0.72% 0.1R expires 02 Oct 23:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 173255)
#84 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0031

Quality Score
0.344
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#84 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#84 / 84
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
11.11 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.21×ATR
1d clear 1.29×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.41
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 20:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 18:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4697
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

transition

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 58.5%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 49.2%
1h 86.2%
4h 81.5%
24h 27.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 47.7% +0.00%
4h 76.9% +1.41%
24h 36.9% -1.04%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.134
Universe : 65 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 20:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5577
Score SMA
0.6675
Rank
#34 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5658
Rank Norm SMA
0.6571
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5863 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -5.46% · r3d: -16.52% · ema21_slope: 1.4239% · dist_ema21: -0.799%
Force Relative 25% 0.2793 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.93% · rs_3d: -18.17% · beta_24h: 1.006
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 3.71× · zscore_50: 3.624 · trend: 212.58%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7463 ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 22.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.004% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3439
Score SMA
0.5243
Rank
#84 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0031
Rank Norm SMA
0.4514
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1927 r1h: 0.261% · r4h: -0.094% · r1d: -19.25% · r3d: -29.85% · ema21_slope: -0.9593% · dist_ema21: -11.016%
Force Relative 25% 0.2558 rs_1h: 0.306% · rs_4h: -0.333% · rs_1d: -18.83% · rs_3d: -30.88% · beta_24h: 2.129
Volume 20% 0.2299 rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.198 · trend: -17.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8965 ADX: 47.6 (trend) · Chop: 15.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7224 ATR%: 3.833% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2578
Score SMA
0.5647
Rank
#83 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0300
Rank Norm SMA
0.5498
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1124 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.094% · r1d: -19.25% · r3d: -29.85% · ema21_slope: -0.8773% · dist_ema21: -20.530%
Force Relative 25% 0.1181 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.333% · rs_1d: -18.83% · rs_3d: -30.88% · beta_24h: 3.874
Volume 20% 0.4383 rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: 0.003 · trend: 170.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7607 ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 26.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.354% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.114% (0.0050)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.470% 0.0R -1.123% 0.1R 0.4× 12
2h +0.722% 0.1R -1.145% 0.1R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +0.722% 0.1R -1.167% 0.1R 0.6× 36
4h +1.114% 0.1R -1.167% 0.1R 1.0× 48
8h +1.227% 0.1R -1.430% 0.1R 0.9× 96
12h +1.227% 0.1R -5.359% 0.5R 0.2× 144
24h +1.227% 0.1R -5.359% 0.5R 0.2× 288
48h +1.227% 0.1R -5.359% 0.5R 0.2× 576
72h +6.040% 0.5R -5.359% 0.5R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 269 min MAE in 594 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.87
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.55 bull_high +13.92% +0.74 30/09 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 53% late near -0.2ATR — 0.37 bull_high +1.76% -1.00 02/10 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high
43%
choppy 50% late — — 0.31 range_medium +0.05% -0.97 02/10 18:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition weak fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% early near -1.6ATR — 0.22 range_low -0.65% -0.05 02/10 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197705
 ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive 0.773 volatile_reversal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 42% mid 5b -0.1ATR — — 3.71 100% ↑ +0.96 below_value -10.08 — #105832 0.55 bull_high +13.92% +0.74
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#205819
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.722 expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 53% late 3b -3.8ATR near -0.2ATR — 5.59 100% ↑ +0.81 value -6.54 — #109350 0.37 bull_high +1.76% -1.00
02/10 12:00
upd 02/10 16:20
1h anchor
#207046
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.468 volatile_reversal bear_high
43%
choppy 50% late 15b -2.9ATR — — 0.34 75% ↑ +0.70 value -7.24 — #109945 0.31 range_medium +0.05% -0.97
02/10 18:00
upd 02/10 19:12
15m
#207383
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition weak fading 0.776 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 37% early 6b -0.9ATR near -1.6ATR — 2.14 86% ↔ -0.07 value -7.24 — #109945 0.22 range_low -0.65% -0.05
02/10 19:45
upd 02/10 20:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 4.011×ATR p54 -0.069×ATR p4
4h ↓ down late 3b — 4.095×ATR p54 -3.754×ATR p100
1h ↓ down late 15b — 7.898×ATR p98 -2.885×ATR p94
15m ↑ up early 6b — 1.77×ATR p15 -0.893×ATR p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04989013
  2. atr: 0.00166171
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-03T03:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 84
  2. total: 84
  3. score: 0.1555
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0449 0.04989 0.01594
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0449
  • Stop Loss: 0.04989
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04989 - 0.0449 = 0.00499

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0449 - = 0.0449

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0449 / 0.00499 = 8.998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
72.0623 72.0623 1604.7726 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00499

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00499 = 1603.21

Taille de position USD = 1603.21 x 0.0449 = 71.98

Donc, tu peux acheter 1603.21 avec un stoploss a 0.04989

Avec un position size USD de 71.98$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1603.21 x 0.00499 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1603.21 x 0.0449 = 71.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 71.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1603.21
  • Taille de position USD 71.98
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 71.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 8.998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 72.05 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.11 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-0.018 $ -0.02
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.167 % 10.5 % 15
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0449 0.04989 0.01594
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0449
  • Stop Loss: 0.04989
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04989 - 0.0449 = 0.00499

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0449 - = 0.0449

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0449 / 0.00499 = 8.998

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.114% (0.0050)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.470% 0.0R -1.123% 0.1R 0.4× 12
2h +0.722% 0.1R -1.145% 0.1R 0.6× 24
3h ★ +0.722% 0.1R -1.167% 0.1R 0.6× 36
4h +1.114% 0.1R -1.167% 0.1R 1.0× 48
8h +1.227% 0.1R -1.430% 0.1R 0.9× 96
12h +1.227% 0.1R -5.359% 0.5R 0.2× 144
24h +1.227% 0.1R -5.359% 0.5R 0.2× 288
48h +1.227% 0.1R -5.359% 0.5R 0.2× 576
72h +6.040% 0.5R -5.359% 0.5R 1.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 269 min MAE in 594 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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