Long Trade on SYRUP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 847.14 SYRUP at 0.245$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2686 (9.63 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2355 (3.88 %)
02 Oct 2026 at 20:41:19
hyperliquid
SYRUP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
02 Oct 2026 20:41
→ 08:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.245$
Qty 847.1373 SYRUP
Size 207.5317$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2686 (+9.63%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.2355 (-3.88%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 2.48
Status
loss
PnL
-0.04%
/ -0.093$
MAE -3.43%
MFE +0.41%
0.1R
expires
03 Oct 08:41
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 173248)
#15 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 20:00
score du 02/10/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6183
Quality Score
0.612
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#15 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#15 / 85
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.58×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.94×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.20×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 20:32
02/10 20:32
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 02/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 02/10 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4699
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
transition
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
66.2%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 63.1% |
| 1h | 49.2% |
| 4h | 87.7% |
| 24h | 33.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 53.9% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 87.7% | +2.12% |
| 24h | 41.5% | -1.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.166
Universe :
65
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
02/10 20:31
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6254
Score SMA
0.6506
Rank
#22
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7470
Rank Norm SMA
0.6393
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8032 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.90% · r3d: 3.26% · ema21_slope: 0.4745% · dist_ema21: 9.118% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6221 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.31% · rs_3d: 2.23% · beta_24h: 1.150 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6603 | rvol_20: 1.58× · zscore_50: 1.533 · trend: 89.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6455 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 56.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.132% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6116
Score SMA
0.5779
Rank
#15
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6183
Rank Norm SMA
0.6121
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6907 | r1h: 0.565% · r4h: 3.546% · r1d: 0.90% · r3d: 3.26% · ema21_slope: 0.0615% · dist_ema21: 1.332% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6293 | rs_1h: 0.610% · rs_4h: 3.307% · rs_1d: 1.31% · rs_3d: 2.23% · beta_24h: 0.873 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2526 | rvol_20: 0.76× · zscore_50: -0.110 · trend: -36.63% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6438 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 43.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.756% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5692
Score SMA
0.5783
Rank
#18
/ 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6699
Rank Norm SMA
0.6003
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7071 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.546% · r1d: 0.90% · r3d: 3.26% · ema21_slope: 0.2315% · dist_ema21: 3.293% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6529 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 3.307% · rs_1d: 1.31% · rs_3d: 2.23% · beta_24h: 1.706 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2085 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.797 · trend: -3.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5604 | ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 58.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6805 | ATR%: 3.959% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.878%
(0.0095)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.359% | 0.1R | -0.388% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.408% | 0.1R | -1.274% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.408% | 0.1R | -3.274% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.408% | 0.1R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.408% | 0.1R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.233% | 1.6R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.233% | 1.6R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.674% | 2.2R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 2.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.674% | 2.2R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 2.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1178 min
MAE in 398 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.35
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.01 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.43 | bull_high | +1.96% | -0.29 | 02/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.45 | range_medium | +0.01% | +0.29 | 02/10 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium |
66%
|
ranging_calm 55% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.55 | range_low | -0.58% | +0.30 | 02/10 20:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#207710
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.622 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 8b 1.0ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 1.58 | 98% | ↑ +0.76 | value | +1.37 | — | #110108 | 0.63 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.01 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#207602
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.600 | compression | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 2b 1.0ATR | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.31 | 42% | ↔ -0.13 | value | +1.37 | — | #110108 | 0.43 | bull_high | +1.96% | -0.29 |
02/10 16:00
upd 02/10 20:22
|
|
1h
anchor #207599
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.682 | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 5b 0.7ATR | — | — | 0.76 | 60% | ↓ -0.35 | value | +1.37 | — | #110108 | 0.45 | range_medium | +0.01% | +0.29 |
02/10 19:00
upd 02/10 20:22
|
|
15m
#207808
|
↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.601 | compression | bull_medium |
66%
|
ranging_calm 55% | late 22b 2.7ATR | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.74 | 47% | ↔ -0.08 | value | +1.37 | — | #110108 | 0.55 | range_low | -0.58% | +0.30 |
02/10 20:15
upd 02/10 20:33
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.198×ATR | p0 | +0.987×ATR | p49 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 0.996×ATR | p0 | +0.962×ATR | p53 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.39×ATR | p36 | +0.709×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 22b | — | 7.033×ATR | p100 | +2.658×ATR | p96 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7642
- reason: up_bo width=1.91×ATR dur=35b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.23553643
- tp_price: 0.26858893
- atr:
- score: 0.76420200718972
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T12:41:12.233333
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76420200718972
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1251
- obi_top10 : 0.0309
- micro_price : 0.24421
- spread_pct : 0.04095
- mid_price : 0.24425
- bid_wall_price : 0.244
- bid_wall_size : 228092
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.245
- ask_wall_size : 174760
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1453
- obi_top5_std : 0.0184
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6858
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.24001
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.23191
- balance_zone_mid:
0.23596
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790863200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790985600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9123
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
35
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7642
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790978400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.24001
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1734
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
9
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00423571 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
35
inside_close_ratio
0.6
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1734
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:41 | 0.24498000 | -0.008% |
| 2 | 20:51 | 0.24498000 | -0.008% |
| 3 | 21:01 | 0.24498000 | -0.008% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6858ms
Confidence avant OB :
76%
→
76%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.125
avg 0.145
± 0.018
OBI Top 10
0.031
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2443
Micro Price
0.2442
Spread
0.0410%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2440
Size
228,092.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2450
Size
174,760.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.245 | 0.2355 | 0.2686 | 2.48 | 0.09622 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.245
- Stop Loss: 0.2355
- Take Profit: 0.2686
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2355 - 0.245 = -0.0095
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.245 - 0.2686 = -0.0236
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0236 / -0.0095 = 2.4842
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 207.5317 | 100 | 847.1373 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0095
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0095 = -842.11
Taille de position USD = -842.11 x 0.245 = -206.32
Donc, tu peux acheter -842.11 avec un stoploss a 0.2355
Avec un position size USD de -206.32$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -842.11 x -0.0095 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -842.11 x -0.0236 = 19.87
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.87$
Résumé
- Taille de position -842.11
- Taille de position USD -206.32
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.87
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4842
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.63 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.88 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.093 $ | -0.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4286 % | 88.42 % | 16 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.245 | 0.2355 | 0.2686 | 2.48 | 0.09622 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.245
- Stop Loss: 0.2355
- Take Profit: 0.2686
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2355 - 0.245 = -0.0095
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.245 - 0.2686 = -0.0236
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0236 / -0.0095 = 2.4842
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.878%
(0.0095)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.359% | 0.1R | -0.388% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.408% | 0.1R | -1.274% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.408% | 0.1R | -3.274% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.408% | 0.1R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.408% | 0.1R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.233% | 1.6R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.233% | 1.6R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 1.8× | 432 |
| 48h | +8.674% | 2.2R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 2.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.674% | 2.2R | -3.429% | 0.9R | 2.5× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1178 min
MAE in 398 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.