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Short Trade on 2Z

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02 Oct 2026 at 22:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2075.39 2Z at 0.0452$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04411 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04909 (8.51 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 22:15 → 04:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.04524$

Qty 2075.3939 2Z

Size 93.8908$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04411 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.35$

SL 0.04909 (-8.51%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.29

Status win PnL +0.28% / +0.26$ MAE -0.67% MFE +1.97% 0.2R expires 03 Oct 04:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 173591)
#82 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0015

Quality Score
0.374
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#82 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#82 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.51 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near -0.23×ATR
1d near -0.56×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.83
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 22:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4705
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 71.7%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.9%
1h 48.5%
4h 92.4%
24h 33.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 37.9% -0.01%
4h 89.4% +1.83%
24h 39.4% -0.62%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.162
Universe : 66 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 02/10 22:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4240
Score SMA
0.6290
Rank
#77 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0843
Rank Norm SMA
0.5845
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3595 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -19.25% · r3d: -29.85% · ema21_slope: 1.1375% · dist_ema21: -18.422%
Force Relative 25% 0.0254 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -18.83% · rs_3d: -30.88% · beta_24h: 1.164
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.33× · zscore_50: 5.091 · trend: 292.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7320 ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 21.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 13.943% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.3735
Score SMA
0.5213
Rank
#82 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0015
Rank Norm SMA
0.4440
Calculé le
02/10/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1856 r1h: 0.267% · r4h: -0.560% · r1d: -21.00% · r3d: -31.40% · ema21_slope: -1.1325% · dist_ema21: -10.209%
Force Relative 25% 0.2469 rs_1h: 0.281% · rs_4h: -0.711% · rs_1d: -20.68% · rs_3d: -32.83% · beta_24h: 2.032
Volume 20% 0.1918 rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.337 · trend: -39.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9303 ADX: 51.6 (trend) · Chop: 17.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7900 ATR%: 3.630% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2650
Score SMA
0.5649
Rank
#84 / 85
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0300
Rank Norm SMA
0.5498
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1124 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.094% · r1d: -19.25% · r3d: -29.85% · ema21_slope: -0.8773% · dist_ema21: -20.530%
Force Relative 25% 0.1181 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.333% · rs_1d: -18.83% · rs_3d: -30.88% · beta_24h: 3.874
Volume 20% 0.4383 rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: 0.003 · trend: 170.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7607 ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 26.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.354% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.510% (0.0039)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.957% 0.1R -0.407% 0.1R 2.4× 12
2h +1.857% 0.2R -0.407% 0.1R 4.6× 24
4h +1.970% 0.2R -0.407% 0.1R 4.8× 48
6h ★ +1.970% 0.2R -0.668% 0.1R 3.0× 72
8h +1.970% 0.2R -4.567% 0.5R 0.4× 96
12h +1.970% 0.2R -4.567% 0.5R 0.4× 144
24h +1.970% 0.2R -4.567% 0.5R 0.4× 288
48h +1.970% 0.2R -4.567% 0.5R 0.4× 576
72h +6.746% 0.8R -4.567% 0.5R 1.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 149 min MAE in 474 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.92
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
42%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -0.6ATR — 0.53 bull_high +13.14% -0.82 01/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 51% late near -0.2ATR — 0.38 bull_high +1.96% -1.00 02/10 16:00
1h ↓ down range range strong grind volatile_reversal bear_high
42%
choppy 50% late — — 0.30 range_medium +0.14% -0.98 02/10 21:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early near -2.6ATR — 0.21 range_low -0.42% -0.09 02/10 21:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207724
 ↔ neutral range range moderate explosive 0.743 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
42%
noisy_chop 41% mid 6b -1.4ATR near -0.6ATR — 5.33 100% ↑ +0.97 value -7.70 — #110115 0.53 bull_high +13.14% -0.82
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:28
4h
#207632
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.724 expansion bear_high_confirmed
55%
choppy 51% late 4b -3.5ATR near -0.2ATR — 0.74 93% ↑ +0.79 value -7.70 — #110115 0.38 bull_high +1.96% -1.00
02/10 16:00
upd 02/10 20:24
1h anchor
#208487
 ↓ down range range strong grind 0.463 volatile_reversal bear_high
42%
choppy 50% late 18b -2.3ATR — — 0.19 55% ↑ +0.51 value -8.38 — #110538 0.30 range_medium +0.14% -0.98
02/10 21:00
upd 02/10 22:13
15m
#208403
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.750 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early 10b -0.9ATR near -2.6ATR — 0.65 55% ↓ -0.19 value -8.11 — #110370 0.21 range_low -0.42% -0.09
02/10 21:45
upd 02/10 22:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 6b — 5.274×ATR p73 -1.372×ATR p70
4h ↓ down late 4b — 4.26×ATR p61 -3.464×ATR p99
1h ↓ down late 18b — 9.083×ATR p100 -2.28×ATR p88
15m ↓ down early 10b — 1.182×ATR p9 -0.884×ATR p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04909469
  2. tp_price: 0.044109
  3. atr: 0.00154187
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-03T08:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 85
  2. total: 85
  3. score: 0.1859
  4. delta_2h: -0.0068
  5. extension_atr: -2.79
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0015
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04524 0.04909 0.04411 0.29 0.01649
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04524
  • Stop Loss: 0.04909
  • Take Profit: 0.04411

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04909 - 0.04524 = 0.00385

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04524 - 0.04411 = 0.00113

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00113 / 0.00385 = 0.2935

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
93.8908 93.8908 2075.3939 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00385

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00385 = 2077.92

Taille de position USD = 2077.92 x 0.04524 = 94.01

Donc, tu peux acheter 2077.92 avec un stoploss a 0.04909

Avec un position size USD de 94.01$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2077.92 x 0.00385 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2077.92 x 0.00113 = 2.35

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.35$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2077.92
  • Taille de position USD 94.01
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.35
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2935

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.35 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.51 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
0.26 $ 0.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6676 % 7.84 % 11
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04524 0.04909 0.04411 0.29 0.01649
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04524
  • Stop Loss: 0.04909
  • Take Profit: 0.04411

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04909 - 0.04524 = 0.00385

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04524 - 0.04411 = 0.00113

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00113 / 0.00385 = 0.2935

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.510% (0.0039)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.957% 0.1R -0.407% 0.1R 2.4× 12
2h +1.857% 0.2R -0.407% 0.1R 4.6× 24
4h +1.970% 0.2R -0.407% 0.1R 4.8× 48
6h ★ +1.970% 0.2R -0.668% 0.1R 3.0× 72
8h +1.970% 0.2R -4.567% 0.5R 0.4× 96
12h +1.970% 0.2R -4.567% 0.5R 0.4× 144
24h +1.970% 0.2R -4.567% 0.5R 0.4× 288
48h +1.970% 0.2R -4.567% 0.5R 0.4× 576
72h +6.746% 0.8R -4.567% 0.5R 1.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 149 min MAE in 474 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.