Short Trade on MET

Previous Trade Next Trade

02 Oct 2026 at 22:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 564.2 MET at 0.29$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2831 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3045 (4.89 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 02 Oct 2026 22:15 → 04:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2903$

Qty 564.2023 MET

Size 163.7992$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2831 (+2.48%)

TP $ 4.06$

SL 0.3045 (-4.89%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.51

Status win PnL +0.64% / +1.05$ MAE -0.68% MFE +0.90% 0.2R expires 03 Oct 04:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 173594)

#80 / 82

seuil : top 15
score du 02/10/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3102

Quality Score

0.432

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#80 / 82

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.89 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#80 / 82

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.89 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.04×ATR
4h	clear	0.58×ATR
1d	clear	1.91×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

1.83

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
02/10 22:03

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

02/10 21:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4705

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.97

Transition risk : 0.03

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 71.7%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	37.9%
1h	48.5%
4h	92.4%
24h	33.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	37.9%	-0.01%
4h	89.4%	+1.83%
24h	39.4%	-0.62%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.162

Universe : 66 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.98

Snapshot évalué : 02/10 22:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4683

Score SMA

0.5713

Rank

#65 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2289

Rank Norm SMA

0.4122

Calculé le

02/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5182	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.12% · r3d: -9.63% · ema21_slope: 2.4132% · dist_ema21: 0.759%
Force Relative	25%	0.4001	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.70% · rs_3d: -10.66% · beta_24h: 1.745
Volume	20%	0.3492	rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.126 · trend: -0.76%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9532	ADX: 54.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.037% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 22:00

Score brut

0.4315

Score SMA

0.5025

Rank

#80 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3102

Rank Norm SMA

0.3736

Calculé le

02/10/2026 22:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3203	r1h: -0.973% · r4h: -0.052% · r1d: -4.31% · r3d: -12.49% · ema21_slope: -0.3389% · dist_ema21: -3.329%
Force Relative	25%	0.2899	rs_1h: -0.959% · rs_4h: -0.203% · rs_1d: -3.99% · rs_3d: -13.93% · beta_24h: 2.589
Volume	20%	0.1767	rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.652 · trend: -34.85%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7733	ADX: 32.8 (trend) · Chop: 30.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.075% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.3626

Score SMA

0.4670

Rank

#81 / 85

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1081

Rank Norm SMA

0.2688

Calculé le

02/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3440	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.424% · r1d: -2.12% · r3d: -9.63% · ema21_slope: -0.3958% · dist_ema21: -5.768%
Force Relative	25%	0.3206	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.185% · rs_1d: -1.70% · rs_3d: -10.66% · beta_24h: 2.719
Volume	20%	0.3015	rvol_20: 0.74× · zscore_50: -0.453 · trend: 19.88%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5274	ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 51.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.3985	ATR%: 4.804% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.892% (0.0142)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.141%	0.0R	-0.565%	0.1R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.155%	0.0R	-0.679%	0.1R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.899%	0.2R	-0.679%	0.1R	1.3×	48
6h ★	+0.899%	0.2R	-0.679%	0.1R	1.3×	72
8h	+0.899%	0.2R	-2.945%	0.6R	0.3×	96
12h	+0.899%	0.2R	-3.569%	0.7R	0.3×	144
24h	+0.899%	0.2R	-10.345%	2.1R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.899%	0.2R	-10.345%	2.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.899%	0.2R	-10.345%	2.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 214 min MAE in 1364 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.38

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.94	01/10 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	—	—	0.36	bull_high	+1.96%	-0.70	02/10 16:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 51%	mid	near 0.0ATR	—	0.50	range_medium	+0.14%	-0.69	02/10 21:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	near 0.2ATR	—	0.58	range_low	-0.42%	+0.01	02/10 21:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207730	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.823	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 41%	early 9b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.97	88%	↑ +0.29	value	-4.25	—	#110118	0.48	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.94	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:28
4h #207644	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.482	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 4b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.74	55%	↑ +0.23	value	-4.25	—	#110118	0.36	bull_high	+1.96%	-0.70	02/10 16:00 upd 02/10 20:24
1h anchor #208490	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.390	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 51%	mid 6b -1.5ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.11	7%	↔ +0.06	value	-5.06	—	#110541	0.50	range_medium	+0.14%	-0.69	02/10 21:00 upd 02/10 22:13
15m #208406	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.751	compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 6b -1.7ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.45	34%	↔ -0.06	value	-4.56	—	#110373	0.58	range_low	-0.42%	+0.01	02/10 21:45 upd 02/10 22:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	9b	—	3.27×ATR	p27	+0.054×ATR	p4
4h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	2.407×ATR	p9	-1.444×ATR	p72
1h	↑ up	mid	6b	—	1.538×ATR	p0	-1.466×ATR	p68
15m	↓ down	mid	6b	—	2.333×ATR	p35	-1.726×ATR	p68

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.30449931
tp_price: 0.283062
atr: 0.00567172
expires_at: 2026-10-03T08:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 83
total: 85
score: 0.3394
delta_2h: -0.1282
extension_atr: -1.68
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3102
confidence: 0.976

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	22:15	0.29032000	+0.007%
2	23:15	0.29185000	+0.534%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2903	0.3045	0.2831	0.51	0.2635

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2903
Stop Loss: 0.3045
Take Profit: 0.2831

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3045 - 0.2903 = 0.0142
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2903 - 0.2831 = 0.0072
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0072 / 0.0142 = 0.507

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
163.7992	100	564.2023	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0142

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0142 = 563.38

Taille de position USD = 563.38 x 0.2903 = 163.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 563.38 avec un stoploss a 0.3045

Avec un position size USD de 163.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 563.38 x 0.0142 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 563.38 x 0.0072 = 4.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.06$

Résumé

Taille de position 563.38
Taille de position USD 163.55
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.06
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.507

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.48 %	4.06 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.89 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
1.05 $	0.64

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.6786 %	13.87 %	8

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2903	0.3045	0.2831	0.51	0.2635

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2903
Stop Loss: 0.3045
Take Profit: 0.2831

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3045 - 0.2903 = 0.0142
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2903 - 0.2831 = 0.0072
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0072 / 0.0142 = 0.507

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.892% (0.0142)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.141%	0.0R	-0.565%	0.1R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.155%	0.0R	-0.679%	0.1R	0.2×	24
4h	+0.899%	0.2R	-0.679%	0.1R	1.3×	48
6h ★	+0.899%	0.2R	-0.679%	0.1R	1.3×	72
8h	+0.899%	0.2R	-2.945%	0.6R	0.3×	96
12h	+0.899%	0.2R	-3.569%	0.7R	0.3×	144
24h	+0.899%	0.2R	-10.345%	2.1R	0.1×	288
48h	+0.899%	0.2R	-10.345%	2.1R	0.1×	576
72h	+0.899%	0.2R	-10.345%	2.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 214 min MAE in 1364 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.