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Long Trade on APE

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03 Oct 2026 at 00:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on APE (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 776.14 APE at 0.168$ per unit. Take profit: 0.172 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1575 (6.14 %)

APE LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 00:15 → 06:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1678$

Qty 776.1437 APE

Size 130.2447$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.172 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.26$

SL 0.1575 (-6.14%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.41

Status loss PnL -2.38% / -3.1$ MAE -3.67% MFE +1.48% 0.2R expires 03 Oct 06:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 173690)
#2 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9696

Quality Score
0.716
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#2 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.00×ATR
4h near 0.14×ATR
1d near -1.06×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.28
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 00:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

02/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

02/10 23:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4713
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 47.8%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 58.2%
1h 62.7%
4h 59.7%
24h 28.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 58.2% +0.03%
4h 56.7% +0.28%
24h 40.3% -1.54%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.183
Universe : 67 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 00:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7825
Score SMA
0.6267
Rank
#6 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9398
Rank Norm SMA
0.5816
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9055 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 11.34% · r3d: 11.63% · ema21_slope: 0.6759% · dist_ema21: 11.778%
Force Relative 25% 0.8050 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 11.76% · rs_3d: 10.60% · beta_24h: 1.331
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.19× · zscore_50: 4.690 · trend: 131.14%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7307 ADX: 27.7 (trend) · Chop: 32.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.541% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.7157
Score SMA
0.6355
Rank
#2 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9696
Rank Norm SMA
0.7755
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8107 r1h: 0.619% · r4h: 2.090% · r1d: 12.41% · r3d: 14.03% · ema21_slope: 0.2337% · dist_ema21: 3.314%
Force Relative 25% 0.7884 rs_1h: 0.508% · rs_4h: 1.883% · rs_1d: 13.37% · rs_3d: 12.37% · beta_24h: 3.124
Volume 20% 0.2727 rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: 0.160 · trend: -15.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8880 ADX: 48.8 (trend) · Chop: 40.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.555% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6967
Score SMA
0.6667
Rank
#5 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9519
Rank Norm SMA
0.7736
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8176 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.090% · r1d: 12.41% · r3d: 14.03% · ema21_slope: 0.2761% · dist_ema21: 7.951%
Force Relative 25% 0.8230 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.883% · rs_1d: 13.37% · rs_3d: 12.37% · beta_24h: 1.206
Volume 20% 0.5480 rvol_20: 1.27× · zscore_50: 0.375 · trend: 118.79%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7171 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 18.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7263 ATR%: 3.821% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.138% (0.0103)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.478% 0.2R -0.709% 0.1R 2.1× 12
2h +1.478% 0.2R -1.144% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +1.478% 0.2R -3.665% 0.6R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +1.478% 0.2R -3.665% 0.6R 0.4× 72
8h +1.478% 0.2R -3.665% 0.6R 0.4× 96
12h +1.478% 0.2R -3.683% 0.6R 0.4× 144
24h +1.478% 0.2R -4.058% 0.7R 0.4× 288
48h +1.621% 0.3R -4.058% 0.7R 0.4× 576
72h +2.551% 0.4R -5.596% 0.9R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 54 min MAE in 839 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.29
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near -1.1ATR 0.42 bull_high +13.14% +0.80 01/10 20:00
4h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
74%
noisy_chop 47% late — near 0.1ATR 0.51 bull_high +2.13% +0.81 02/10 20:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.46 range_medium +0.20% +0.79 02/10 23:00
15m ↑ up range range strong fading normal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 47% early — — 0.39 range_low -0.35% +0.29 02/10 23:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207485
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.687 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 41% mid 3b 1.3ATR — near -1.1ATR 4.19 94% ↑ +0.76 value +3.56 — #110047 0.42 bull_high +13.14% +0.80
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:17
4h
#209252
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong balanced 0.743 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
74%
noisy_chop 47% late 3b 1.9ATR — near 0.1ATR 1.27 96% ↑ +0.74 above_value +4.51 — #110803 0.51 bull_high +2.13% +0.81
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 00:12
1h anchor
#209251
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.670 volatile_reversal bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 42% mid 9b 1.1ATR — — 0.60 91% ↓ -0.35 above_value +4.51 — #110803 0.46 range_medium +0.20% +0.79
02/10 23:00
upd 03/10 00:12
15m
#209082
 ↑ up range range strong fading 0.358 normal bull_high
63%
noisy_chop 47% early 7b 1.3ATR — — 0.05 5% ↔ +0.11 above_value +4.26 — #110638 0.39 range_low -0.35% +0.29
02/10 23:30
upd 02/10 23:45
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 3b — 1.87×ATR p0 +1.263×ATR p69
4h ↓ down late 3b — 3.225×ATR p41 +1.933×ATR p85
1h ↑ up mid 9b — 2.165×ATR p48 +1.141×ATR p60
15m ↑ up early 7b — 2.461×ATR p33 +1.295×ATR p59

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.15750263
  2. tp_price: 0.17200525
  3. atr: 0.00412295
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-03T10:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.7989
  4. delta_2h: 0.1079
  5. extension_atr: 0.86
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9696
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1678 0.1575 0.172 0.41 0.07936
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1678
  • Stop Loss: 0.1575
  • Take Profit: 0.172

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1575 - 0.1678 = -0.0103

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1678 - 0.172 = -0.0042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0042 / -0.0103 = 0.4078

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
130.2447 100 776.1437 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0103

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0103 = -776.7

Taille de position USD = -776.7 x 0.1678 = -130.33

Donc, tu peux acheter -776.7 avec un stoploss a 0.1575

Avec un position size USD de -130.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -776.7 x -0.0103 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -776.7 x -0.0042 = 3.26

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.26$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -776.7
  • Taille de position USD -130.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.26
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4078

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.26 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.14 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-3.1 $ -2.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.6651 % 59.71 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1678 0.1575 0.172 0.41 0.07936
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1678
  • Stop Loss: 0.1575
  • Take Profit: 0.172

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1575 - 0.1678 = -0.0103

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1678 - 0.172 = -0.0042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0042 / -0.0103 = 0.4078

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.138% (0.0103)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.478% 0.2R -0.709% 0.1R 2.1× 12
2h +1.478% 0.2R -1.144% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +1.478% 0.2R -3.665% 0.6R 0.4× 48
6h ★ +1.478% 0.2R -3.665% 0.6R 0.4× 72
8h +1.478% 0.2R -3.665% 0.6R 0.4× 96
12h +1.478% 0.2R -3.683% 0.6R 0.4× 144
24h +1.478% 0.2R -4.058% 0.7R 0.4× 288
48h +1.621% 0.3R -4.058% 0.7R 0.4× 576
72h +2.551% 0.4R -5.596% 0.9R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 54 min MAE in 839 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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