Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2256.13 2Z at 0.0447$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04359 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04825 (7.92 %)
03 Oct 2026 at 00:15:06
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Oct 2026 00:15
→ 06:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04471$
Qty 2256.1268 2Z
Size 100.8692$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04359 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.53$
SL 0.04825 (-7.92%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.32
Status
loss
PnL
-4.08%
/ -4.12$
MAE -5.81%
MFE +0.81%
0.1R
expires
03 Oct 06:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 173755)
#82 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 00:00
score du 03/10/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0015
Quality Score
0.347
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#82 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#82 / 82
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.92 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.23×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.56×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.28
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 00:02
03/10 00:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 02/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 02/10 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4713
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
47.8%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 58.2% |
| 1h | 62.7% |
| 4h | 59.7% |
| 24h | 28.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 58.2% | +0.03% |
| 4h | 56.7% | +0.28% |
| 24h | 40.3% | -1.54% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.183
Universe :
67
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
03/10 00:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4240
Score SMA
0.6290
Rank
#77
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0843
Rank Norm SMA
0.5845
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3595 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -19.25% · r3d: -29.85% · ema21_slope: 1.1375% · dist_ema21: -18.422% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0254 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -18.83% · rs_3d: -30.88% · beta_24h: 1.164 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.33× · zscore_50: 5.091 · trend: 292.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7320 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 21.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 13.943% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3465
Score SMA
0.5184
Rank
#82
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0015
Rank Norm SMA
0.4356
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1473 | r1h: 0.241% · r4h: -1.526% · r1d: -21.89% · r3d: -29.81% · ema21_slope: -1.2082% · dist_ema21: -8.800% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2193 | rs_1h: 0.130% · rs_4h: -1.733% · rs_1d: -20.93% · rs_3d: -31.47% · beta_24h: 1.948 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1792 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.313 · trend: -51.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9597 | ADX: 55.2 (trend) · Chop: 20.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8861 | ATR%: 3.342% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.2531
Score SMA
0.5547
Rank
#82
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0060
Rank Norm SMA
0.5310
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1252 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.526% · r1d: -21.89% · r3d: -29.81% · ema21_slope: -0.9679% · dist_ema21: -20.164% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0889 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.733% · rs_1d: -20.93% · rs_3d: -31.47% · beta_24h: 4.019 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4080 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.122 · trend: 106.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7752 | ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 35.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.120% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.918%
(0.0035)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -0.752% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -0.752% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -1.861% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.807% | 0.1R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.168% | 0.2R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.052% | 0.8R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 29 min
MAE in 354 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.95
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +13.14% | -0.82 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
choppy 51% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +1.96% | -1.00 | 02/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
42%
|
choppy 51% | late | — | — | 0.30 | range_medium | +0.09% | -0.98 | 02/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -4.0ATR | — | 0.22 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.19 | 02/10 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#207724
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | 0.743 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 6b -1.4ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 5.33 | 100% | ↑ +0.97 | value | -7.70 | — | #110115 | 0.53 | bull_high | +13.14% | -0.82 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:28
|
|
4h
#207632
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.724 | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
choppy 51% | late 4b -3.5ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.74 | 93% | ↑ +0.79 | value | -7.70 | — | #110115 | 0.38 | bull_high | +1.96% | -1.00 |
02/10 16:00
upd 02/10 20:24
|
|
1h
anchor #208903
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.463 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
42%
|
choppy 51% | late 19b -2.2ATR | — | — | 0.25 | 66% | ↑ +0.32 | value | -8.89 | — | #110704 | 0.30 | range_medium | +0.09% | -0.98 |
02/10 22:00
upd 02/10 23:11
|
|
15m
#209228
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.748 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 18b -1.2ATR | near -4.0ATR | — | 0.41 | 39% | ↓ -0.33 | value | -8.89 | — | #110704 | 0.22 | range_low | -0.29% | -0.19 |
02/10 23:45
upd 03/10 00:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 5.274×ATR | p73 | -1.372×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.26×ATR | p61 | -3.464×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 9.66×ATR | p100 | -2.21×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 18b | — | 2.25×ATR | p30 | -1.163×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.0482549
- tp_price: 0.04359127
- atr: 0.00141836
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T10:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 82
- total: 82
- score: 0.1163
- delta_2h: -0.0693
- extension_atr: -2.79
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0015
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:15 | 0.04470900 | -0.002% |
| 2 | 01:15 | 0.04443800 | -0.608% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04471 | 0.04825 | 0.04359 | 0.32 | 0.01618 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04471
- Stop Loss: 0.04825
- Take Profit: 0.04359
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04825 - 0.04471 = 0.00354
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04471 - 0.04359 = 0.00112
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00112 / 0.00354 = 0.3164
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 100.8692 | 100 | 2256.1268 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00354
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00354 = 2259.89
Taille de position USD = 2259.89 x 0.04471 = 101.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 2259.89 avec un stoploss a 0.04825
Avec un position size USD de 101.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2259.89 x 0.00354 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2259.89 x 0.00112 = 2.53
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.53$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2259.89
- Taille de position USD 101.04
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.53
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3164
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.53 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.92 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.12 $ | -4.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.8063 % | 73.33 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04471 | 0.04825 | 0.04359 | 0.32 | 0.01618 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04471
- Stop Loss: 0.04825
- Take Profit: 0.04359
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04825 - 0.04471 = 0.00354
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04471 - 0.04359 = 0.00112
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00112 / 0.00354 = 0.3164
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.918%
(0.0035)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -0.752% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -0.752% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -1.861% | 0.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.807% | 0.1R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.807% | 0.1R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.168% | 0.2R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.052% | 0.8R | -5.806% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 29 min
MAE in 354 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.