Short Trade on MET

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03 Oct 2026 at 02:15:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 661.8 MET at 0.291$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2834 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3027 (4.13 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 02:15 → 08:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2907$

Qty 661.798 MET

Size 192.3582$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2834 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.83$

SL 0.3027 (-4.13%)

SL $ 7.94$

RR 0.61

Status loss PnL -2.13% / -4.1$ MAE -3.43% MFE +1.03% 0.3R expires 03 Oct 08:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174001)

#79 / 80

seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1293

Quality Score

0.389

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#79 / 80

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.13 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#79 / 80

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

98 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.13 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.37×ATR
4h	near	0.40×ATR
1d	clear	1.91×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-0.22

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 02:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 02/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

02/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/10 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4721

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	transition 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.97

Transition risk : 0.03

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 30.1%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	48.4%
1h	88.7%
4h	30.7%
24h	14.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	46.8%	+0.00%
4h	30.7%	-0.22%
24h	37.1%	-2.77%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.099

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.98

Snapshot évalué : 03/10 02:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4683

Score SMA

0.5713

Rank

#65 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2289

Rank Norm SMA

0.4122

Calculé le

02/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5182	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.12% · r3d: -9.63% · ema21_slope: 2.4132% · dist_ema21: 0.759%
Force Relative	25%	0.4001	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.70% · rs_3d: -10.66% · beta_24h: 1.745
Volume	20%	0.3492	rvol_20: 0.97× · zscore_50: 0.126 · trend: -0.76%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9532	ADX: 54.4 (trend) · Chop: 37.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.037% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 02:00

Score brut

0.3891

Score SMA

0.4945

Rank

#79 / 80

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1293

Rank Norm SMA

0.3548

Calculé le

03/10/2026 02:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2297	r1h: -0.093% · r4h: -0.725% · r1d: -10.28% · r3d: -10.10% · ema21_slope: -0.3975% · dist_ema21: -2.900%
Force Relative	25%	0.2733	rs_1h: -0.155% · rs_4h: -0.720% · rs_1d: -8.68% · rs_3d: -11.61% · beta_24h: 2.874
Volume	20%	0.1585	rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.623 · trend: -65.68%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7853	ADX: 35.0 (trend) · Chop: 39.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.753% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.2903

Score SMA

0.4559

Rank

#80 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0362

Rank Norm SMA

0.2494

Calculé le

03/10/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2993	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.947% · r1d: -8.50% · r3d: -10.98% · ema21_slope: -0.4235% · dist_ema21: -6.092%
Force Relative	25%	0.1591	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.154% · rs_1d: -7.53% · rs_3d: -12.65% · beta_24h: 2.537
Volume	20%	0.1978	rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.887 · trend: -7.30%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5070	ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 54.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4514	ATR%: 4.646% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.128% (0.0120)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.609%	0.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.025%	0.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+1.025%	0.3R	-2.804%	0.7R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.025%	0.3R	-3.426%	0.8R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.025%	0.3R	-3.426%	0.8R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.025%	0.3R	-3.667%	0.9R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.025%	0.3R	-10.193%	2.5R	0.1×	288
48h	+1.025%	0.3R	-10.193%	2.5R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.651%	0.4R	-10.193%	2.5R	0.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 1124 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.22

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.94	01/10 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 43%	mid	near 0.4ATR	—	0.35	bull_high	+2.13%	-0.78	02/10 20:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 49%	mid	near -0.4ATR	—	0.50	range_medium	+0.12%	-0.63	03/10 01:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 46%	late	near -0.6ATR	—	0.58	range_low	-0.32%	-0.13	03/10 01:30
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207730	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.823	expansion	bull_high	72%	noisy_chop 41%	early 9b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.97	88%	↑ +0.29	value	-4.25	—	#110118	0.48	bull_high	+13.14%	+0.94	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:28
4h #209422	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.488	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 5b -1.6ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.39	31%	↔ +0.01	below_value	-5.75	—	#110871	0.35	bull_high	+2.13%	-0.78	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 00:19
1h anchor #210200	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.747	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 49%	mid 5b -1.5ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	0.11	9%	↓ -0.48	below_value	-6.61	—	#111277	0.50	range_medium	+0.12%	-0.63	03/10 01:00 upd 03/10 02:13
15m #210041	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.753	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 46%	late 21b -0.9ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.13	2%	↓ -0.60	below_value	-6.27	—	#111115	0.58	range_low	-0.32%	-0.13	03/10 01:30 upd 03/10 01:48
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	9b	—	3.27×ATR	p27	+0.054×ATR	p4
4h	↓ down	mid	5b	—	2.719×ATR	p24	-1.6×ATR	p75
1h	↓ down	mid	5b	—	1.307×ATR	p0	-1.457×ATR	p68
15m	↓ down	late	21b	—	4.388×ATR	p81	-0.896×ATR	p34

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.30274828
tp_price: 0.2833935
atr: 0.00483531
expires_at: 2026-10-03T12:15:13+00:00

Details

rank: 80
total: 82
score: 0.2345
delta_2h: -0.0235
extension_atr: -1.24
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1293
confidence: 0.975

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2907	0.3027	0.2834	0.61	0.2715

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2907
Stop Loss: 0.3027
Take Profit: 0.2834

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3027 - 0.2907 = 0.012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2907 - 0.2834 = 0.0073
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0073 / 0.012 = 0.6083

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
192.3582	100	661.798	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.012

Taille de position = 8 / 0.012 = 666.67

Taille de position USD = 666.67 x 0.2907 = 193.8

Donc, tu peux acheter 666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.3027

Avec un position size USD de 193.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 666.67 x 0.012 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 666.67 x 0.0073 = 4.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.87$

Résumé

Taille de position 666.67
Taille de position USD 193.8
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.87
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6083

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	4.83 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.13 %	7.94 $

PNL	PNL %
-4.1 $	-2.13

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.4262 %	83 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2907	0.3027	0.2834	0.61	0.2715

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2907
Stop Loss: 0.3027
Take Profit: 0.2834

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3027 - 0.2907 = 0.012
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2907 - 0.2834 = 0.0073
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0073 / 0.012 = 0.6083

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.128% (0.0120)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.609%	0.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.025%	0.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+1.025%	0.3R	-2.804%	0.7R	0.4×	48
6h ★	+1.025%	0.3R	-3.426%	0.8R	0.3×	72
8h	+1.025%	0.3R	-3.426%	0.8R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.025%	0.3R	-3.667%	0.9R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.025%	0.3R	-10.193%	2.5R	0.1×	288
48h	+1.025%	0.3R	-10.193%	2.5R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.651%	0.4R	-10.193%	2.5R	0.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 1124 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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