Short Trade on ETHFI (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 280.82 ETHFI at 0.695$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6778 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7237 (4.1 %)
03 Oct 2026 at 02:15:14
hyperliquid
ETHFI
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Oct 2026 02:15
→ 08:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.6952$
Qty 280.8172 ETHFI
Size 195.2241$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6778 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.89$
SL 0.7237 (-4.1%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.61
Status
loss
PnL
-0.41%
/ -0.79$
MAE -1.35%
MFE +0.76%
0.2R
expires
03 Oct 08:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 173973)
#76 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 02:00
score du 03/10/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1143
Quality Score
0.411
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#76 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#76 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.10 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.33×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.45×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.22
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 02:01
03/10 02:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 02/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 01:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4721
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
30.1%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 48.4% |
| 1h | 88.7% |
| 4h | 30.7% |
| 24h | 14.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 46.8% | +0.00% |
| 4h | 30.7% | -0.22% |
| 24h | 37.1% | -2.77% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.099
Universe :
62
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
03/10 02:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4416
Score SMA
0.5466
Rank
#70
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1687
Rank Norm SMA
0.3485
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6338 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.89% · r3d: -9.85% · ema21_slope: 0.7406% · dist_ema21: 0.488% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4043 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.47% · rs_3d: -10.88% · beta_24h: 1.041 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3318 | rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: -0.140 · trend: 2.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5604 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 60.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.409% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4114
Score SMA
0.5507
Rank
#76
/ 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1143
Rank Norm SMA
0.5390
Calculé le
03/10/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3048 | r1h: -0.227% · r4h: -1.096% · r1d: -5.55% · r3d: -9.60% · ema21_slope: -0.3105% · dist_ema21: -2.013% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3234 | rs_1h: -0.288% · rs_4h: -1.091% · rs_1d: -3.95% · rs_3d: -11.11% · beta_24h: 2.538 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1428 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.858 · trend: -70.81% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6678 | ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 40.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.752% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4191
Score SMA
0.5509
Rank
#68
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1638
Rank Norm SMA
0.5304
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4668 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.500% · r1d: -3.30% · r3d: -8.85% · ema21_slope: -0.2120% · dist_ema21: -3.969% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3716 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.293% · rs_1d: -2.33% · rs_3d: -10.51% · beta_24h: 1.333 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2059 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.676 · trend: -11.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5528 | ADX: 17.5 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6203 | ATR%: 4.139% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.100%
(0.0285)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.748% | 0.2R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 8.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -0.614% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.757% | 0.2R | -1.349% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -1.349% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -2.719% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -6.505% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -9.666% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -11.902% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 74 min
MAE in 1274 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.3
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.14% | -0.80 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
27%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.43 | bull_high | +2.13% | -0.83 | 02/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.50 | range_medium | +0.12% | -0.38 | 03/10 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | — | 0.64 | range_low | -0.31% | -0.17 | 03/10 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#207651
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.678 | expansion | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 16b 0.0ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.95 | 88% | ↓ -0.18 | below_value | -2.61 | — | #110087 | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.14% | -0.80 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#209332
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.582 | compression | range_high |
27%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 14b -1.1ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.41 | 23% | ↓ -0.21 | below_value | -2.63 | — | #110841 | 0.43 | bull_high | +2.13% | -0.83 |
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 00:15
|
|
1h
anchor #210171
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | 0.344 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 11b -1.1ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.05 | 2% | ↓ -0.87 | below_value | -3.41 | — | #111248 | 0.50 | range_medium | +0.12% | -0.38 |
03/10 01:00
upd 03/10 02:11
|
|
15m
#210094
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | 0.685 | compression | bear_medium |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid 10b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.68 | 23% | ↓ -0.51 | below_value | -3.10 | — | #111086 | 0.64 | range_low | -0.31% | -0.17 |
03/10 01:45
upd 03/10 02:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 1.718×ATR | p0 | +0.046×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 14b | — | 4.02×ATR | p68 | -1.086×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 1.789×ATR | p16 | -1.075×ATR | p62 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 2.819×ATR | p66 | -1.246×ATR | p61 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.72368828
- tp_price: 0.67782
- atr: 0.01139531
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T12:15:14+00:00
Details
- rank: 78
- total: 82
- score: 0.3215
- delta_2h: -0.0504
- extension_atr: -1.06
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1159
- confidence: 0.951
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:15 | 0.69520000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:15 | 0.69379000 | -0.203% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6952 | 0.7237 | 0.6778 | 0.61 | 0.507 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6952
- Stop Loss: 0.7237
- Take Profit: 0.6778
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7237 - 0.6952 = 0.0285
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6952 - 0.6778 = 0.0174
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0174 / 0.0285 = 0.6105
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 195.2241 | 100 | 280.8172 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0285
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0285 = 280.7
Taille de position USD = 280.7 x 0.6952 = 195.14
Donc, tu peux acheter 280.7 avec un stoploss a 0.7237
Avec un position size USD de 195.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 280.7 x 0.0285 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 280.7 x 0.0174 = 4.88
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.88$
Résumé
- Taille de position 280.7
- Taille de position USD 195.14
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.88
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6105
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.89 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.1 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.79 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.3493 % | 32.91 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6952 | 0.7237 | 0.6778 | 0.61 | 0.507 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6952
- Stop Loss: 0.7237
- Take Profit: 0.6778
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7237 - 0.6952 = 0.0285
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6952 - 0.6778 = 0.0174
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0174 / 0.0285 = 0.6105
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.100%
(0.0285)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.748% | 0.2R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 8.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -0.091% | 0.0R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -0.614% | 0.2R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.757% | 0.2R | -1.349% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -1.349% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -2.719% | 0.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -6.505% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -9.666% | 2.4R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.757% | 0.2R | -11.902% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 74 min
MAE in 1274 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.