03 Oct 2026 at 03:15:03 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SKY (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1833.04 SKY at 0.0892$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09147 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08487 (4.89 %)

SKY LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 03:15 → 09:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.08923$

Qty 1833.0378 SKY

Size 163.5711$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.09147 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.11$

SL 0.08487 (-4.89%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.51

Status loss PnL -1.08% / -1.77$ MAE -1.35% MFE +1.61% 0.3R expires 03 Oct 09:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174075)
#5 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9236

Quality Score
0.607
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.85×ATR
4h clear 1.42×ATR
1d near -0.66×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.23
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 03:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

02/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/10 02:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4725
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 32.8%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 45.9%
1h 41.0%
4h 37.7%
24h 16.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.9% -0.01%
4h 32.8% -0.23%
24h 31.2% -3.40%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.099
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 03:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7159
Score SMA
0.6818
Rank
#10 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8916
Rank Norm SMA
0.7283
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8828 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.04% · r3d: 6.27% · ema21_slope: 1.3332% · dist_ema21: 16.412%
Force Relative 25% 0.7446 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.46% · rs_3d: 5.24% · beta_24h: 1.151
Volume 20% 0.7751 rvol_20: 2.06× · zscore_50: 1.876 · trend: 116.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7327 ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.872% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.6068
Score SMA
0.5868
Rank
#5 / 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9236
Rank Norm SMA
0.6523
Calculé le
03/10/2026 03:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6986 r1h: 0.565% · r4h: 1.146% · r1d: 5.60% · r3d: 9.93% · ema21_slope: -0.0248% · dist_ema21: 1.108%
Force Relative 25% 0.7090 rs_1h: 0.633% · rs_4h: 1.174% · rs_1d: 7.26% · rs_3d: 8.09% · beta_24h: 1.340
Volume 20% 0.1399 rvol_20: 0.08× · zscore_50: -0.901 · trend: -70.31%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6929 ADX: 32.9 (trend) · Chop: 48.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.071% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6787
Score SMA
0.6377
Rank
#7 / 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9034
Rank Norm SMA
0.7606
Calculé le
03/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8504 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.715% · r1d: 6.04% · r3d: 8.95% · ema21_slope: 0.5115% · dist_ema21: 5.785%
Force Relative 25% 0.7873 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.508% · rs_1d: 7.00% · rs_3d: 7.29% · beta_24h: 1.572
Volume 20% 0.2900 rvol_20: 0.72× · zscore_50: -0.389 · trend: 10.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7289 ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 33.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5945 ATR%: 4.217% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.886% (0.0044)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.476% 0.1R -0.786% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +1.610% 0.3R -0.786% 0.2R 2.1× 24
4h +1.610% 0.3R -0.786% 0.2R 2.1× 48
6h ★ +1.610% 0.3R -1.355% 0.3R 1.2× 72
8h +1.610% 0.3R -2.130% 0.4R 0.8× 96
12h +1.610% 0.3R -2.130% 0.4R 0.8× 144
24h +9.970% 2.0R -2.130% 0.4R 4.7× 288
48h +10.048% 2.1R -2.130% 0.4R 4.7× 576
72h +14.681% 3.0R -2.712% 0.6R 5.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1354 min MAE in 374 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.08
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid — near -0.7ATR 0.56 bull_high +13.14% +0.98 01/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.37 bull_high +2.13% +0.45 02/10 20:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.34 range_medium +0.05% +0.27 03/10 02:00
15m ↔ neutral range range strong explosive compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.29 range_low -0.36% +0.20 03/10 02:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207716
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.664 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid 16b 1.7ATR — near -0.7ATR 2.06 99% ↑ +0.84 above_value +3.99 — #110111 0.56 bull_high +13.14% +0.98
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:27
4h
#209404
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.746 expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 40% mid 3b 1.3ATR — — 0.72 80% ↑ +0.58 above_value +4.88 inside #110865 0.37 bull_high +2.13% +0.45
02/10 20:00
upd 03/10 00:18
1h anchor
#210594
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.635 normal bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 43% early 8b 0.6ATR — — 0.08 8% ↓ -0.93 above_value +6.22 inside #111433 0.34 range_medium +0.05% +0.27
03/10 02:00
upd 03/10 03:11
15m
#210514
↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.693 compression bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 40% mid 22b 0.9ATR — — 0.44 15% ↓ -0.55 above_value +5.16 — #111271 0.29 range_low -0.36% +0.20
03/10 02:45
upd 03/10 03:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 16b — 4.57×ATR p74 +1.655×ATR p80
4h ↓ down mid 3b — 1.732×ATR p0 +1.289×ATR p64
1h ↑ up early 8b — 2.026×ATR p28 +0.561×ATR p38
15m ↑ up mid 22b — 3.992×ATR p66 +0.934×ATR p46

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08487066
  2. tp_price: 0.09146587
  3. atr: 0.00174574
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-03T13:15:03+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 5
  2. total: 81
  3. score: 0.6816
  4. delta_2h: 0.0296
  5. extension_atr: 0.48
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9235
  9. confidence: 0.95

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08923 0.08487 0.09147 0.51 0.05419
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08923
  • Stop Loss: 0.08487
  • Take Profit: 0.09147

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08487 - 0.08923 = -0.00436

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08923 - 0.09147 = -0.00224

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00224 / -0.00436 = 0.5138

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
163.5711 100 1833.0378 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00436

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00436 = -1834.86

Taille de position USD = -1834.86 x 0.08923 = -163.72

Donc, tu peux acheter -1834.86 avec un stoploss a 0.08487

Avec un position size USD de -163.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1834.86 x -0.00436 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1834.86 x -0.00224 = 4.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.11$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1834.86
  • Taille de position USD -163.72
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.11
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5138

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 4.11 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.89 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-1.77 $ -1.08
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3549 % 27.73 % 15
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08923 0.08487 0.09147 0.51 0.05419
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08923
  • Stop Loss: 0.08487
  • Take Profit: 0.09147

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08487 - 0.08923 = -0.00436

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08923 - 0.09147 = -0.00224

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00224 / -0.00436 = 0.5138

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.886% (0.0044)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.476% 0.1R -0.786% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +1.610% 0.3R -0.786% 0.2R 2.1× 24
4h +1.610% 0.3R -0.786% 0.2R 2.1× 48
6h ★ +1.610% 0.3R -1.355% 0.3R 1.2× 72
8h +1.610% 0.3R -2.130% 0.4R 0.8× 96
12h +1.610% 0.3R -2.130% 0.4R 0.8× 144
24h +9.970% 2.0R -2.130% 0.4R 4.7× 288
48h +10.048% 2.1R -2.130% 0.4R 4.7× 576
72h +14.681% 3.0R -2.712% 0.6R 5.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1354 min MAE in 374 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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