Short Trade on ZRO

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03 Oct 2026 at 03:15:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 70.54 ZRO at 1.739$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6953 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.8522 (6.52 %)

ZRO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 03:15 → 04:55 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 1.7388$

Qty 70.5408 ZRO

Size 122.6564$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 1.6953 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.07$

SL 1.8522 (-6.52%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.38

Status loss PnL -6.52% / -8$ MAE -20.11% MFE +0.64% 0.1R expires 03 Oct 09:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174036)

#78 / 80

seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 03:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2203

Quality Score

0.382

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#78 / 80

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.52 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#78 / 80

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.52 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.59×ATR
4h	clear	2.91×ATR
1d	clear	4.39×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-0.23

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

27.9M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 03:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 02/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

02/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/10 02:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4725

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	transition 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.97

Transition risk : 0.03

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 32.8%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	45.9%
1h	41.0%
4h	37.7%
24h	16.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	45.9%	-0.01%
4h	32.8%	-0.23%
24h	31.2%	-3.40%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.099

Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.98

Snapshot évalué : 03/10 03:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6977

Score SMA

0.7510

Rank

#12 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8675

Rank Norm SMA

0.8379

Calculé le

02/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7880	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.30% · r3d: 4.68% · ema21_slope: 3.1534% · dist_ema21: 21.098%
Force Relative	25%	0.6634	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.88% · rs_3d: 3.65% · beta_24h: 0.146
Volume	20%	0.7956	rvol_20: 2.13× · zscore_50: 2.031 · trend: 136.11%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9087	ADX: 49.0 (trend) · Chop: 24.7 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.924% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 03:00

Score brut

0.3820

Score SMA

0.5845

Rank

#78 / 80

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2203

Rank Norm SMA

0.6319

Calculé le

03/10/2026 03:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3185	r1h: -1.583% · r4h: -1.195% · r1d: -9.43% · r3d: -3.90% · ema21_slope: -0.3077% · dist_ema21: -3.201%
Force Relative	25%	0.2676	rs_1h: -1.514% · rs_4h: -1.166% · rs_1d: -7.77% · rs_3d: -5.75% · beta_24h: 1.250
Volume	20%	0.1727	rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.410 · trend: -51.41%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5665	ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 46.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.776% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.4756

Score SMA

0.5957

Rank

#47 / 82

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3887

Rank Norm SMA

0.6564

Calculé le

03/10/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6761	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.435% · r1d: -2.95% · r3d: -1.97% · ema21_slope: 0.4744% · dist_ema21: 0.109%
Force Relative	25%	0.5159	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.228% · rs_1d: -1.99% · rs_3d: -3.64% · beta_24h: 0.225
Volume	20%	0.2497	rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.574 · trend: 15.94%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6256	ADX: 28.1 (trend) · Chop: 51.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 6.441% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.522% (0.1134)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.644%	0.1R	-2.427%	0.4R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.644%	0.1R	-9.242%	1.4R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.644%	0.1R	-14.815%	2.3R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.644%	0.1R	-20.112%	3.1R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.644%	0.1R	-21.664%	3.3R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.644%	0.1R	-23.608%	3.6R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.644%	0.1R	-23.608%	3.6R	0.0×	288
48h	+0.644%	0.1R	-23.608%	3.6R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.644%	0.1R	-25.794%	4.0R	0.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 719 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.11

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.43	bull_high	+13.14%	+1.00	01/10 20:00
4h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.29	bull_high	+2.13%	+0.75	02/10 20:00
1h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	—	—	0.26	range_medium	+0.05%	-0.42	03/10 02:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 46%	mid	near 0.3ATR	—	0.27	range_low	-0.36%	-0.26	03/10 02:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207576	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.680	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	58%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 17b 1.5ATR	—	—	2.13	98%	↑ +0.92	value	-0.61	—	#110069	0.43	bull_high	+13.14%	+1.00	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:21
4h #209294	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.687	expansion	bull_high	66%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.38	76%	↓ -0.19	above_value	-0.51	—	#110824	0.29	bull_high	+2.13%	+0.75	02/10 20:00 upd 03/10 00:14
1h anchor #210554	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.508	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 4b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.45	55%	↓ -0.70	above_value	-0.98	—	#111393	0.26	range_medium	+0.05%	-0.42	03/10 02:00 upd 03/10 03:09
15m #210478	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.639	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 6b -1.6ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.91	43%	↔ -0.02	above_value	-0.40	—	#111231	0.27	range_low	-0.36%	-0.26	03/10 02:45 upd 03/10 03:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	17b	—	4.782×ATR	p62	+1.467×ATR	p75
4h	↓ down	early	3b	—	2.243×ATR	p8	+0.017×ATR	p2
1h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	1.786×ATR	p18	-1.143×ATR	p69
15m	↓ down	mid	6b	—	2.918×ATR	p58	-1.611×ATR	p75

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1.85220951
tp_price: 1.69533
atr: 0.04536381
expires_at: 2026-10-03T13:15:04+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 81
score: 0.3185
delta_2h: -0.0617
extension_atr: -0.92
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2204
confidence: 0.938

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.7388	1.8522	1.6953	0.38	1.5023

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.7388
Stop Loss: 1.8522
Take Profit: 1.6953

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.8522 - 1.7388 = 0.1134
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.7388 - 1.6953 = 0.0435
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0435 / 0.1134 = 0.3836

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
122.6564	100	70.5408	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1134

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1134 = 70.55

Taille de position USD = 70.55 x 1.7388 = 122.67

Donc, tu peux acheter 70.55 avec un stoploss a 1.8522

Avec un position size USD de 122.67$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 70.55 x 0.1134 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 70.55 x 0.0435 = 3.07

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.07$

Résumé

Taille de position 70.55
Taille de position USD 122.67
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.07
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3836

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.07 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.52 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-6.52

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-6.5217 %	100 %	4

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.7388	1.8522	1.6953	0.38	1.5023

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.7388
Stop Loss: 1.8522
Take Profit: 1.6953

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.8522 - 1.7388 = 0.1134
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.7388 - 1.6953 = 0.0435
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0435 / 0.1134 = 0.3836

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.6953
            [entry_price] => 1.7388
            [stop_loss] => 1.86354
            [rr_ratio] => 0.35
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 08:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.6953
            [entry_price] => 1.7388
            [stop_loss] => 1.87488
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 08:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.6953
            [entry_price] => 1.7388
            [stop_loss] => 1.88622
            [rr_ratio] => 0.3
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 08:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.6953
            [entry_price] => 1.7388
            [stop_loss] => 1.9089
            [rr_ratio] => 0.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-03 10:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.522% (0.1134)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.644%	0.1R	-2.427%	0.4R	0.3×	12
2h	+0.644%	0.1R	-9.242%	1.4R	0.1×	24
4h	+0.644%	0.1R	-14.815%	2.3R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.644%	0.1R	-20.112%	3.1R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.644%	0.1R	-21.664%	3.3R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.644%	0.1R	-23.608%	3.6R	0.0×	144
24h	+0.644%	0.1R	-23.608%	3.6R	0.0×	288
48h	+0.644%	0.1R	-23.608%	3.6R	0.0×	576
72h	+0.644%	0.1R	-25.794%	4.0R	0.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 719 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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