03 Oct 2026 at 06:13:39 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FIL (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 237.91 FIL at 1.067$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1513 (7.88 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0336 (3.15 %)

FIL LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 06:13 → 18:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 1.0672$

Qty 237.9128 FIL

Size 253.9006$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 1.1513 (+7.88%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 1.0336 (-3.15%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -0.34% / -0.86$ MAE -1.39% MFE +1.47% 0.5R expires 03 Oct 18:13 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174366)
#17 / 80
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8495

Quality Score
0.505
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#17 / 80
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#17 / 80
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
76 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.13×ATR
4h near 0.29×ATR
1d clear 1.15×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 06:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

03/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/10 05:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4737
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 40.7%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 62.7%
1h 74.6%
4h 47.5%
24h 17.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 62.7% +0.05%
4h 47.5% -0.09%
24h 32.2% -3.98%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.090
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 06:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5038
Score SMA
0.5811
Rank
#53 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3735
Rank Norm SMA
0.4534
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7418 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.26% · r3d: -2.38% · ema21_slope: 1.2484% · dist_ema21: 5.332%
Force Relative 25% 0.5617 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.68% · rs_3d: -3.41% · beta_24h: 1.571
Volume 20% 0.2207 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.228 · trend: -23.12%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6447 ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 50.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.083% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5050
Score SMA
0.5325
Rank
#17 / 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8495
Rank Norm SMA
0.5057
Calculé le
03/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5749 r1h: 1.382% · r4h: 1.132% · r1d: 2.56% · r3d: -1.09% · ema21_slope: 0.1362% · dist_ema21: 2.075%
Force Relative 25% 0.6228 rs_1h: 1.413% · rs_4h: 1.189% · rs_1d: 4.63% · rs_3d: -2.24% · beta_24h: 2.298
Volume 20% 0.1625 rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.562 · trend: -56.38%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5664 ADX: 15.9 (weak) · Chop: 46.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.411% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4391
Score SMA
0.5406
Rank
#46 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6570
Rank Norm SMA
0.5149
Calculé le
03/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4676 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.881% · r1d: 0.46% · r3d: -1.66% · ema21_slope: -0.1469% · dist_ema21: 0.268%
Force Relative 25% 0.4423 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.730% · rs_1d: 2.26% · rs_3d: -3.19% · beta_24h: 1.199
Volume 20% 0.1584 rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.896 · trend: -36.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4697 ADX: 15.1 (weak) · Chop: 57.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8611 ATR%: 3.417% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.148% (0.0336)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.909% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.469% 0.2R -0.909% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +0.469% 0.2R -1.387% 0.4R 0.3× 48
8h +1.471% 0.5R -1.387% 0.4R 1.1× 96
12h ★ +1.471% 0.5R -1.387% 0.4R 1.1× 144
24h +1.471% 0.5R -1.387% 0.4R 1.1× 288
36h +1.471% 0.5R -2.221% 0.7R 0.7× 432
48h +2.155% 0.7R -2.221% 0.7R 1.0× 576
72h +13.475% 4.3R -2.221% 0.7R 6.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 281 min MAE in 1906 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.03
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early near -0.3ATR — 0.61 bull_high +13.14% +0.93 01/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 34% early — near 0.3ATR 0.38 bull_high +1.93% -0.25 03/10 00:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate grind expansion bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 43% late — near -0.1ATR 0.47 range_medium +0.06% +0.33 03/10 05:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_medium
60%
noisy_chop 41% late — near -1.8ATR 0.65 range_low -0.26% +0.07 03/10 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207609
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive 0.689 volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early 6b 0.5ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.43 84% ↓ -0.55 above_value -0.28 — #110077 0.61 bull_high +13.14% +0.93
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:23
4h
#211002
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.786 compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 34% early 3b 0.1ATR — near 0.3ATR 0.48 20% ↑ +0.15 above_value -1.19 — #111564 0.38 bull_high +1.93% -0.25
03/10 00:00
upd 03/10 04:14
1h anchor
#211862
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.598 expansion bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 43% late 1b 1.6ATR — near -0.1ATR 0.20 10% ↓ -0.70 above_value +0.18 — #111973 0.47 range_medium +0.06% +0.33
03/10 05:00
upd 03/10 06:11
15m
#211783
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.357 compression bull_medium
60%
noisy_chop 41% late 7b 2.3ATR — near -1.8ATR 1.14 58% ↔ +0.04 above_value -0.79 — #111810 0.65 range_low -0.26% +0.07
03/10 05:45
upd 03/10 06:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 6b — 2.094×ATR p0 +0.485×ATR p34
4h ↑ up early 3b — 2.402×ATR p33 +0.086×ATR p4
1h ↑ up late 1b — 1.5×ATR p2 +1.611×ATR p83
15m ↑ up late 7b — 3.764×ATR p59 +2.251×ATR p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.7605
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.59×ATR dur=38b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 1.03357424
  5. tp_price: 1.15126439
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.76051357883602
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-03T22:13:31.657952
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.76051357883602
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0069
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0158
  15. micro_price : 1.06407903
  16. spread_pct : 0.009398
  17. mid_price : 1.06405
  18. bid_wall_price : 1.06
  19. bid_wall_size : 1154884.04
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 1.07
  22. ask_wall_size : 965248.54
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0083
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0018
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7040
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    1.05345
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    1.01655
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    1.035
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790888400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1791021600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.5881
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    38
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7605
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1791018000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    1.05345
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7105
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.9644
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.01425756
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
38
inside_close_ratio
0.7105
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9644

Signaux confirmants (30)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 06:13 1.06720000 0%
2 06:23 1.06720000 0%
3 06:33 1.06720000 0%
4 06:42 1.06100000 -0.581%
5 06:52 1.06100000 -0.581%
6 07:02 1.06100000 -0.581%
7 07:13 1.05880000 -0.787%
8 07:22 1.05880000 -0.787%
9 07:32 1.05880000 -0.787%
10 07:42 1.06580000 -0.131%
11 07:51 1.06580000 -0.131%
12 08:01 1.06580000 -0.131%
13 08:14 1.07100000 +0.356%
14 08:25 1.07100000 +0.356%
15 08:35 1.05740000 -0.918%
16 08:45 1.05740000 -0.918%
17 08:54 1.05740000 -0.918%
18 09:04 1.05740000 -0.918%
19 09:14 1.05530000 -1.115%
20 09:24 1.05530000 -1.115%
21 09:33 1.05530000 -1.115%
22 09:42 1.05810000 -0.853%
23 09:52 1.05810000 -0.853%
24 10:01 1.05810000 -0.853%
25 10:13 1.06110000 -0.572%
26 10:23 1.06110000 -0.572%
27 10:32 1.06110000 -0.572%
28 10:42 1.06980000 +0.244%
29 10:51 1.06980000 +0.244%
30 11:00 1.06980000 +0.244%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7040ms Confidence avant OB : 76% → 76%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.007
avg -0.008 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.016

Microstructure

Mid Price
1.0641
Micro Price
1.0641
Spread
0.0094%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
1.0600
Size
1,154,884.04

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
1.0700
Size
965,248.54

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0672 1.0336 1.1513 2.5 0.6032
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0672
  • Stop Loss: 1.0336
  • Take Profit: 1.1513

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0336 - 1.0672 = -0.0336

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0672 - 1.1513 = -0.0841

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0841 / -0.0336 = 2.503

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
253.9006 100 237.9128 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0336

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0336 = -238.1

Taille de position USD = -238.1 x 1.0672 = -254.1

Donc, tu peux acheter -238.1 avec un stoploss a 1.0336

Avec un position size USD de -254.1$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -238.1 x -0.0336 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -238.1 x -0.0841 = 20.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -238.1
  • Taille de position USD -254.1
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.503

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.88 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.15 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-0.86 $ -0.34
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3868 % 44.05 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0672 1.0336 1.1513 2.5 0.6032
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0672
  • Stop Loss: 1.0336
  • Take Profit: 1.1513

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0336 - 1.0672 = -0.0336

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0672 - 1.1513 = -0.0841

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0841 / -0.0336 = 2.503

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.148% (0.0336)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -0.909% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.469% 0.2R -0.909% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +0.469% 0.2R -1.387% 0.4R 0.3× 48
8h +1.471% 0.5R -1.387% 0.4R 1.1× 96
12h ★ +1.471% 0.5R -1.387% 0.4R 1.1× 144
24h +1.471% 0.5R -1.387% 0.4R 1.1× 288
36h +1.471% 0.5R -2.221% 0.7R 0.7× 432
48h +2.155% 0.7R -2.221% 0.7R 1.0× 576
72h +13.475% 4.3R -2.221% 0.7R 6.1× 864
⏱ MFE in 281 min MAE in 1906 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.