Short Trade on LIT

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03 Oct 2026 at 06:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 53.4 LIT at 3.536$ per unit. Take profit: 3.448 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.6862 (4.24 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 06:15 → 12:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 3.5364$

Qty 53.4034 LIT

Size 188.8559$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.448 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.72$

SL 3.6862 (-4.24%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.59

Status win PnL +0.36% / +0.69$ MAE -0.85% MFE +1.37% 0.3R expires 03 Oct 12:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174409)

#79 / 80

seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0834

Quality Score

0.371

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#79 / 80

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.24 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#79 / 80

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.24 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	—
4h	near	0.16×ATR
1d	clear	2.72×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

mixed

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

-0.09

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

45.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 06:03

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 05:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/10 05:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4737

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	transition 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.97

Transition risk : 0.03

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 40.7%

Macro mixed_dispersion

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : mixed

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	62.7%
1h	74.6%
4h	47.5%
24h	17.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	62.7%	+0.05%
4h	47.5%	-0.09%
24h	32.2%	-3.98%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.090

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.98

Snapshot évalué : 03/10 06:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.2897

Score SMA

0.4226

Rank

#83 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0120

Rank Norm SMA

0.0656

Calculé le

02/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2463	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -6.71% · r3d: -9.66% · ema21_slope: -0.1782% · dist_ema21: -18.134%
Force Relative	25%	0.1432	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -6.29% · rs_3d: -10.69% · beta_24h: 0.547
Volume	20%	0.3206	rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.278 · trend: 21.95%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7724	ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 43.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 12.995% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 06:00

Score brut

0.3714

Score SMA

0.4297

Rank

#79 / 80

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0834

Rank Norm SMA

0.1647

Calculé le

03/10/2026 06:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2664	r1h: 0.154% · r4h: 1.458% · r1d: -9.27% · r3d: -9.08% · ema21_slope: -0.3510% · dist_ema21: -1.667%
Force Relative	25%	0.3640	rs_1h: 0.185% · rs_4h: 1.514% · rs_1d: -7.20% · rs_3d: -10.23% · beta_24h: 1.440
Volume	20%	0.1630	rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.555 · trend: -55.87%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7093	ADX: 45.7 (trend) · Chop: 59.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.731% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.2678

Score SMA

0.3371

Rank

#80 / 81

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0124

Rank Norm SMA

0.0414

Calculé le

03/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1470	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.613% · r1d: -10.14% · r3d: -7.75% · ema21_slope: -0.6932% · dist_ema21: -9.864%
Force Relative	25%	0.1838	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.462% · rs_1d: -8.35% · rs_3d: -9.28% · beta_24h: 1.995
Volume	20%	0.1761	rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.502 · trend: -42.84%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7451	ADX: 44.9 (trend) · Chop: 54.2 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.3075	ATR%: 5.078% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.236% (0.1498)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.174%	0.3R	-0.105%	0.0R	11.2×	12
2h	+1.174%	0.3R	-0.526%	0.1R	2.2×	24
4h	+1.369%	0.3R	-0.848%	0.2R	1.6×	48
6h ★	+1.369%	0.3R	-0.848%	0.2R	1.6×	72
8h	+1.369%	0.3R	-5.319%	1.3R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.369%	0.3R	-5.319%	1.3R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.369%	0.3R	-5.319%	1.3R	0.3×	288
48h	+1.369%	0.3R	-10.932%	2.6R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.369%	0.3R	-17.351%	4.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 209 min MAE in 454 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 2.02

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	normal	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 37%	mid	—	—	—	bull_high	+13.14%	-0.99	01/10 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	late	near 0.2ATR	—	0.34	bull_high	+1.93%	-0.88	03/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	—	—	0.33	range_medium	+0.06%	-0.43	03/10 05:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	expansion	bear_medium	58%	noisy_chop 44%	early	—	—	0.51	range_low	-0.26%	+0.14	03/10 05:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207740	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.458	normal	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 8b -1.7ATR	—	—	0.77	77%	↔ +0.10	value	-5.07	—	#110123	—	bull_high	+13.14%	-0.99	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:28
4h #211131	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.760	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 38%	late 15b -2.6ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.30	15%	↓ -0.76	below_value	-8.08	—	#111608	0.34	bull_high	+1.93%	-0.88	03/10 00:00 upd 03/10 04:20
1h anchor #211905	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.501	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 3b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.29	27%	↓ -0.84	below_value	-5.49	inside	#112016	0.33	range_medium	+0.06%	-0.43	03/10 05:00 upd 03/10 06:13
15m #211822	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.500	expansion	bear_medium	58%	noisy_chop 44%	early 5b 0.5ATR	—	—	1.03	47%	↑ +0.21	below_value	-4.94	—	#111854	0.51	range_low	-0.26%	+0.14	03/10 05:45 upd 03/10 06:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	mid	8b	—	4.399×ATR	p61	-1.694×ATR	p79
4h	↓ down	late	15b	—	3.762×ATR	p67	-2.635×ATR	p96
1h	↑ up	mid	3b	—	1.464×ATR	p2	-1.214×ATR	p68
15m	↑ up	early	5b	—	1.409×ATR	p0	+0.477×ATR	p23

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 3.68620307
tp_price: 3.44799
atr: 0.05992123
expires_at: 2026-10-03T16:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 82
total: 82
score: 0.2124
delta_2h: -0.0325
extension_atr: -0.38
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0755
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	06:15	3.53640000	0%
2	07:15	3.51400000	-0.633%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.5364	3.6862	3.448	0.59	2.8619

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.5364
Stop Loss: 3.6862
Take Profit: 3.448

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.6862 - 3.5364 = 0.1498
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.5364 - 3.448 = 0.0884
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0884 / 0.1498 = 0.5901

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
188.8559	100	53.4034	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1498

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1498 = 53.4

Taille de position USD = 53.4 x 3.5364 = 188.84

Donc, tu peux acheter 53.4 avec un stoploss a 3.6862

Avec un position size USD de 188.84$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 53.4 x 0.1498 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 53.4 x 0.0884 = 4.72

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.72$

Résumé

Taille de position 53.4
Taille de position USD 188.84
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.72
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5901

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.72 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.24 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
0.69 $	0.36

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.8483 %	20.03 %	15

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
3.5364	3.6862	3.448	0.59	2.8619

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 3.5364
Stop Loss: 3.6862
Take Profit: 3.448

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 3.6862 - 3.5364 = 0.1498
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 3.5364 - 3.448 = 0.0884
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0884 / 0.1498 = 0.5901

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.236% (0.1498)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.174%	0.3R	-0.105%	0.0R	11.2×	12
2h	+1.174%	0.3R	-0.526%	0.1R	2.2×	24
4h	+1.369%	0.3R	-0.848%	0.2R	1.6×	48
6h ★	+1.369%	0.3R	-0.848%	0.2R	1.6×	72
8h	+1.369%	0.3R	-5.319%	1.3R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.369%	0.3R	-5.319%	1.3R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.369%	0.3R	-5.319%	1.3R	0.3×	288
48h	+1.369%	0.3R	-10.932%	2.6R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.369%	0.3R	-17.351%	4.1R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 209 min MAE in 454 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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