03 Oct 2026 at 06:15:30 hyperliquid

Long Trade on GRASS (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 218.68 GRASS at 0.745$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8364 (12.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7083 (4.91 %)

GRASS LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 06:15 → 18:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.7449$

Qty 218.6765 GRASS

Size 162.8987$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.8364 (+12.28%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 0.7083 (-4.91%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -3.19% / -5.2$ MAE -4.33% MFE +3.09% 0.6R expires 03 Oct 18:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174381)
#5 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7955

Quality Score
0.578
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 80
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear 1.30×ATR
1d clear 0.85×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 06:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

03/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/10 05:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4737
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 40.7%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 62.7%
1h 74.6%
4h 47.5%
24h 17.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 62.7% +0.05%
4h 47.5% -0.09%
24h 32.2% -3.98%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.090
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 06:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6592
Score SMA
0.7849
Rank
#18 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7952
Rank Norm SMA
0.9204
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8144 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.52% · r3d: -8.41% · ema21_slope: 4.9304% · dist_ema21: 33.092%
Force Relative 25% 0.6830 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.93% · rs_3d: -9.44% · beta_24h: 1.286
Volume 20% 0.5599 rvol_20: 1.19× · zscore_50: 0.752 · trend: 137.83%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8807 ADX: 45.7 (trend) · Chop: 13.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 10.785% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5783
Score SMA
0.5996
Rank
#5 / 80
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7955
Rank Norm SMA
0.6877
Calculé le
03/10/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7447 r1h: 4.314% · r4h: 4.467% · r1d: 7.70% · r3d: 4.56% · ema21_slope: 0.1928% · dist_ema21: 5.088%
Force Relative 25% 0.8698 rs_1h: 4.345% · rs_4h: 4.524% · rs_1d: 9.77% · rs_3d: 3.41% · beta_24h: 2.976
Volume 20% 0.3202 rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: -0.029 · trend: -37.19%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6036 ADX: 16.9 (weak) · Chop: 42.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.427% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4601
Score SMA
0.6491
Rank
#36 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6269
Rank Norm SMA
0.7773
Calculé le
03/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6758 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.884% · r1d: -0.29% · r3d: 1.10% · ema21_slope: 0.2244% · dist_ema21: 2.948%
Force Relative 25% 0.6251 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.732% · rs_1d: 1.51% · rs_3d: -0.43% · beta_24h: 2.155
Volume 20% 0.1526 rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.768 · trend: -47.15%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4707 ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 77.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 6.041% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.913% (0.0366)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.090% 0.6R -0.995% 0.2R 3.1× 12
2h +3.090% 0.6R -2.090% 0.4R 1.5× 24
4h +3.090% 0.6R -2.090% 0.4R 1.5× 48
8h +3.090% 0.6R -4.029% 0.8R 0.8× 96
12h ★ +3.090% 0.6R -4.334% 0.9R 0.7× 143
24h +6.857% 1.4R -4.334% 0.9R 1.6× 288
36h +6.857% 1.4R -8.561% 1.7R 0.8× 432
48h +6.857% 1.4R -9.093% 1.9R 0.8× 576
72h +6.857% 1.4R -9.093% 1.9R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1429 min MAE in 1879 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.74
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.44 bull_high +13.14% +1.00 01/10 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 34% early — — 0.21 bull_high +1.93% -0.70 03/10 00:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.24 range_medium +0.06% +0.66 03/10 05:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 46% late — — 0.41 range_low -0.26% +0.38 03/10 05:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207677
↑ up range range strong explosive 0.708 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 46% late 4b 1.9ATR — — 1.19 97% ↑ +0.94 above_value -0.02 — #110093 0.44 bull_high +13.14% +1.00
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:25
4h
#211043
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.736 compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 34% early 20b 0.6ATR — — 0.33 67% ↓ -0.51 above_value -0.36 — #111579 0.21 bull_high +1.93% -0.70
03/10 00:00
upd 03/10 04:16
1h anchor
#211876
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.480 compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 43% late 5b 2.2ATR — — 1.16 48% ↓ -0.40 value +1.53 — #111987 0.24 range_medium +0.06% +0.66
03/10 05:00
upd 03/10 06:12
15m
#211797
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.353 expansion bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 46% late 8b 2.9ATR — — 2.50 78% ↑ +0.64 above_value -0.19 — #111825 0.41 range_low -0.26% +0.38
03/10 05:45
upd 03/10 06:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 4b — 2.17×ATR p0 +1.855×ATR p84
4h ↓ down early 20b — 2.55×ATR p21 +0.553×ATR p38
1h ↑ up late 5b — 2.416×ATR p43 +2.225×ATR p91
15m ↑ up late 8b — 4.076×ATR p83 +2.944×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.8175
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.55×ATR dur=53b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.70834628
  5. tp_price: 0.8363893
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.8175171014271
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-03T22:15:22.161079
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.8175171014271
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.11
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0387
  15. micro_price : 0.74728456
  16. spread_pct : 0.089696
  17. mid_price : 0.747305
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.744
  19. bid_wall_size : 79434
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.75
  22. ask_wall_size : 55948.8
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.0125
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0679
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7120
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.73211
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.688045
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.7100775
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790834400
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1791021600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.5453
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    53
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8175
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1791018000
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.73211
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.6792
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.7405
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    7
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.01731219
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
53
inside_close_ratio
0.6792
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.7405

Signaux confirmants (30)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 06:15 0.74493000 +0.004%
2 06:25 0.74493000 +0.004%
3 06:34 0.74493000 +0.004%
4 06:44 0.73938000 -0.741%
5 06:54 0.73938000 -0.741%
6 07:04 0.73938000 -0.741%
7 07:14 0.74106000 -0.516%
8 07:24 0.74106000 -0.516%
9 07:34 0.74106000 -0.516%
10 07:43 0.74198000 -0.392%
11 07:53 0.74198000 -0.392%
12 08:04 0.74198000 -0.392%
13 08:17 0.73650000 -1.128%
14 08:27 0.73650000 -1.128%
15 08:37 0.74023000 -0.627%
16 08:47 0.74023000 -0.627%
17 08:56 0.74023000 -0.627%
18 09:07 0.74023000 -0.627%
19 09:16 0.75032000 +0.728%
20 09:25 0.75032000 +0.728%
21 09:35 0.75032000 +0.728%
22 09:44 0.75319000 +1.113%
23 09:53 0.75319000 +1.113%
24 10:04 0.75319000 +1.113%
25 10:15 0.74938000 +0.601%
26 10:25 0.74938000 +0.601%
27 10:34 0.74938000 +0.601%
28 10:43 0.75123000 +0.85%
29 10:53 0.75123000 +0.85%
30 11:02 0.75123000 +0.85%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7120ms Confidence avant OB : 82% → 82%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.110
avg -0.013 ± 0.068
OBI Top 10 0.039

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.7473
Micro Price
0.7473
Spread
0.0897%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.7440
Size
79,434.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.7500
Size
55,948.80

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7449 0.7083 0.8364 2.5 0.3878
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7449
  • Stop Loss: 0.7083
  • Take Profit: 0.8364

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7083 - 0.7449 = -0.0366

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7449 - 0.8364 = -0.0915

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0915 / -0.0366 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
162.8987 100 218.6765 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0366

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0366 = -218.58

Taille de position USD = -218.58 x 0.7449 = -162.82

Donc, tu peux acheter -218.58 avec un stoploss a 0.7083

Avec un position size USD de -162.82$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -218.58 x -0.0366 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -218.58 x -0.0915 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -218.58
  • Taille de position USD -162.82
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
12.28 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.91 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-5.2 $ -3.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.3335 % 88.2 % 9
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7449 0.7083 0.8364 2.5 0.3878
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7449
  • Stop Loss: 0.7083
  • Take Profit: 0.8364

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7083 - 0.7449 = -0.0366

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7449 - 0.8364 = -0.0915

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0915 / -0.0366 = 2.5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -4.913% (0.0366)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.090% 0.6R -0.995% 0.2R 3.1× 12
2h +3.090% 0.6R -2.090% 0.4R 1.5× 24
4h +3.090% 0.6R -2.090% 0.4R 1.5× 48
8h +3.090% 0.6R -4.029% 0.8R 0.8× 96
12h ★ +3.090% 0.6R -4.334% 0.9R 0.7× 143
24h +6.857% 1.4R -4.334% 0.9R 1.6× 288
36h +6.857% 1.4R -8.561% 1.7R 0.8× 432
48h +6.857% 1.4R -9.093% 1.9R 0.8× 576
72h +6.857% 1.4R -9.093% 1.9R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1429 min MAE in 1879 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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