03 Oct 2026 at 08:15:12 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SYRUP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1034.58 SYRUP at 0.244$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2497 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2359 (3.16 %)

SYRUP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 08:15 → 09:30 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.2436$

Qty 1034.5809 SYRUP

Size 252.0239$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2497 (+2.5%)

TP $ 6.31$

SL 0.2359 (-3.16%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.79

Status win PnL +2.50% / +6.31$ MAE -0.00% MFE +5.04% 1.6R expires 03 Oct 14:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174554)
#13 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6975

Quality Score
0.554
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#13 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#13 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.16 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.70×ATR
4h near -0.51×ATR
1d near 0.20×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
1.28
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 08:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

03/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/10 06:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4745
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 75.7%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 59.3%
1h 74.6%
4h 86.4%
24h 20.3%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 52.5% +0.02%
4h 84.8% +1.28%
24h 39.0% -3.06%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.179
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 08:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6254
Score SMA
0.6506
Rank
#22 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7470
Rank Norm SMA
0.6393
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8032 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.90% · r3d: 3.26% · ema21_slope: 0.4745% · dist_ema21: 9.118%
Force Relative 25% 0.6221 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.31% · rs_3d: 2.23% · beta_24h: 1.150
Volume 20% 0.6603 rvol_20: 1.58× · zscore_50: 1.533 · trend: 89.58%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6455 ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 56.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.132% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5541
Score SMA
0.5736
Rank
#13 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6975
Rank Norm SMA
0.6355
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6539 r1h: 0.665% · r4h: 2.604% · r1d: 0.45% · r3d: 4.71% · ema21_slope: 0.0392% · dist_ema21: 1.599%
Force Relative 25% 0.6403 rs_1h: 0.621% · rs_4h: 2.477% · rs_1d: 2.49% · rs_3d: 3.80% · beta_24h: 2.161
Volume 20% 0.1497 rvol_20: 0.27× · zscore_50: -0.761 · trend: -49.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4267 ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 64.8 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.328% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5789
Score SMA
0.5777
Rank
#11 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8675
Rank Norm SMA
0.6443
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7345 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.604% · r1d: 0.45% · r3d: 4.71% · ema21_slope: 0.3000% · dist_ema21: 3.335%
Force Relative 25% 0.6756 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.477% · rs_1d: 2.49% · rs_3d: 3.80% · beta_24h: 1.157
Volume 20% 0.1794 rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.619 · trend: -41.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5626 ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 56.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7780 ATR%: 3.666% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.161% (0.0077)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.802% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.436% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +3.469% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +5.041% 1.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +6.560% 2.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +6.843% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +6.843% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
48h +9.298% 2.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 576
72h +9.298% 2.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 864
⏱ MFE in 484 min MAE in min

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.64
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 37% early — near 0.2ATR 0.63 bull_high +13.14% +0.01 01/10 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% early — near -0.5ATR 0.43 bull_high +1.93% +0.03 03/10 00:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 43% early — near -0.7ATR 0.45 range_low +0.12% +0.03 03/10 06:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading normal bull_medium
62%
ranging_calm 56% late — near -0.8ATR 0.53 range_low -0.13% +0.28 03/10 07:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207710
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.622 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 37% early 8b 1.0ATR — near 0.2ATR 1.58 98% ↑ +0.76 value +1.37 — #110108 0.63 bull_high +13.14% +0.01
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:27
4h
#211088
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.599 compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 35% early 4b 0.3ATR — near -0.5ATR 0.18 16% ↓ -0.20 above_value +0.51 — #111594 0.43 bull_high +1.93% +0.03
03/10 00:00
upd 03/10 04:18
1h anchor
#212297
↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.558 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 43% early 3b 1.0ATR — near -0.7ATR 1.83 74% ↓ -0.68 above_value +2.14 — #112164 0.45 range_low +0.12% +0.03
03/10 06:00
upd 03/10 07:11
15m
#212614
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.344 normal bull_medium
62%
ranging_calm 56% late 13b 3.4ATR — near -0.8ATR 0.73 37% ↑ +0.77 above_value +2.14 — #112164 0.53 range_low -0.13% +0.28
03/10 07:45
upd 03/10 08:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 8b — 2.198×ATR p0 +0.987×ATR p49
4h ↓ down early 4b — 1.553×ATR p0 +0.31×ATR p19
1h ↑ up early 3b — 1.768×ATR p18 +0.97×ATR p57
15m ↑ up late 13b — 6.427×ATR p93 +3.441×ATR p98

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.2358674
  2. tp_price: 0.24969
  3. atr: 0.00309304
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-03T18:15:12+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 8
  2. total: 80
  3. score: 0.6591
  4. delta_2h: 0.0851
  5. extension_atr: 1.03
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7071
  9. confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2436 0.2359 0.2497 0.79 0.1042
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2436
  • Stop Loss: 0.2359
  • Take Profit: 0.2497

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2359 - 0.2436 = -0.0077

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2436 - 0.2497 = -0.0061

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0061 / -0.0077 = 0.7922

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
252.0239 100 1034.5809 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0077

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0077 = -1038.96

Taille de position USD = -1038.96 x 0.2436 = -253.09

Donc, tu peux acheter -1038.96 avec un stoploss a 0.2359

Avec un position size USD de -253.09$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1038.96 x -0.0077 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1038.96 x -0.0061 = 6.34

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.34$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1038.96
  • Taille de position USD -253.09
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.34
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7922

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 6.31 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.16 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
6.31 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2436 0.2359 0.2497 0.79 0.1042
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2436
  • Stop Loss: 0.2359
  • Take Profit: 0.2497

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2359 - 0.2436 = -0.0077

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2436 - 0.2497 = -0.0061

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0061 / -0.0077 = 0.7922

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.161% (0.0077)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.802% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.436% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +3.469% 1.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 48
6h ★ +5.041% 1.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 72
8h +6.560% 2.1R -0.000% 0.0R — 96
12h +6.843% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 144
24h +6.843% 2.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 288
48h +9.298% 2.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 576
72h +9.298% 2.9R -0.000% 0.0R — 864
⏱ MFE in 484 min MAE in min

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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