Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2587.81 2Z at 0.0458$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04462 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04886 (6.75 %)
03 Oct 2026 at 08:15:12
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Oct 2026 08:15
→ 14:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.04577$
Qty 2587.8075 2Z
Size 118.4336$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04462 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.98$
SL 0.04886 (-6.75%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.37
Status
win
PnL
+0.64%
/ +0.75$
MAE -1.87%
MFE +1.76%
0.3R
expires
03 Oct 14:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 174560)
#79 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 08:00
score du 03/10/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0299
Quality Score
0.394
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#79 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#79 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.94×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.56×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
1.28
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
10.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 08:02
03/10 08:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high_confirmed (+3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 03/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 06:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4745
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
75.7%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 59.3% |
| 1h | 74.6% |
| 4h | 86.4% |
| 24h | 20.3% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 52.5% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 84.8% | +1.28% |
| 24h | 39.0% | -3.06% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.179
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
03/10 08:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4240
Score SMA
0.6290
Rank
#77
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0843
Rank Norm SMA
0.5845
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3595 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -19.25% · r3d: -29.85% · ema21_slope: 1.1375% · dist_ema21: -18.422% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.0254 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -18.83% · rs_3d: -30.88% · beta_24h: 1.164 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 5.33× · zscore_50: 5.091 · trend: 292.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7320 | ADX: 27.8 (trend) · Chop: 21.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 13.943% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3935
Score SMA
0.4967
Rank
#79
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0299
Rank Norm SMA
0.3928
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2791 | r1h: 0.930% · r4h: 2.001% · r1d: -20.48% · r3d: -27.07% · ema21_slope: -0.6467% · dist_ema21: -2.169% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3260 | rs_1h: 0.887% · rs_4h: 1.874% · rs_1d: -18.44% · rs_3d: -27.98% · beta_24h: 3.637 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1793 | rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.310 · trend: -66.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6714 | ADX: 54.7 (trend) · Chop: 73.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.713% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.2728
Score SMA
0.5244
Rank
#78
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0189
Rank Norm SMA
0.4843
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2183 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.001% · r1d: -20.48% · r3d: -27.07% · ema21_slope: -1.1098% · dist_ema21: -15.049% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1640 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.874% · rs_1d: -18.44% · rs_3d: -27.98% · beta_24h: 3.960 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2706 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.403 · trend: 23.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7943 | ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 36.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.491% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.751%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.757% | 0.3R | -0.068% | 0.0R | 26.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.757% | 0.3R | -1.309% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.757% | 0.3R | -1.615% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.757% | 0.3R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.757% | 0.3R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.408% | 0.4R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.650% | 0.4R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.456% | 0.5R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.862% | 1.3R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 4.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 854 min
MAE in 254 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.55
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +13.14% | -0.82 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
choppy 49% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.39 | bull_high | +1.93% | -1.00 | 03/10 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.30 | range_low | +0.12% | -0.97 | 03/10 06:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.20 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.32 | 03/10 07:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#207724
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | 0.743 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
42%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 6b -1.4ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 5.33 | 100% | ↑ +0.97 | value | -7.70 | — | #110115 | 0.53 | bull_high | +13.14% | -0.82 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:28
|
|
4h
#211106
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.732 | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
54%
|
choppy 49% | late 6b -3.3ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.43 | 88% | ↑ +0.64 | above_value | -10.92 | — | #111600 | 0.39 | bull_high | +1.93% | -1.00 |
03/10 00:00
upd 03/10 04:19
|
|
1h
anchor #212303
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.503 | normal | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 6b -1.7ATR | — | — | 0.15 | 42% | ↓ -0.92 | above_value | -10.07 | — | #112170 | 0.30 | range_low | +0.12% | -0.97 |
03/10 06:00
upd 03/10 07:11
|
|
15m
#212620
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.691 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 4b 1.1ATR | — | — | 0.88 | 53% | ↔ -0.09 | above_value | -10.07 | — | #112170 | 0.20 | range_low | -0.13% | +0.32 |
03/10 07:45
upd 03/10 08:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 5.274×ATR | p73 | -1.372×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 4.765×ATR | p64 | -3.264×ATR | p97 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 1.218×ATR | p2 | -1.702×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.685×ATR | p14 | +1.062×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04885742
- tp_price: 0.04462185
- atr: 0.00123657
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T18:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 80
- total: 80
- score: 0.265
- delta_2h: -0.0111
- extension_atr: -1.04
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0267
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:15 | 0.04576600 | -0.009% |
| 2 | 09:15 | 0.04554000 | -0.503% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04577 | 0.04886 | 0.04462 | 0.37 | 0.01609 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04577
- Stop Loss: 0.04886
- Take Profit: 0.04462
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04886 - 0.04577 = 0.00309
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04577 - 0.04462 = 0.00115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00115 / 0.00309 = 0.3722
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 118.4336 | 100 | 2587.8075 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00309
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00309 = 2589
Taille de position USD = 2589 x 0.04577 = 118.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 2589 avec un stoploss a 0.04886
Avec un position size USD de 118.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2589 x 0.00309 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2589 x 0.00115 = 2.98
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.98$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2589
- Taille de position USD 118.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.98
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3722
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.75 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.75 $ | 0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8724 % | 27.73 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04577 | 0.04886 | 0.04462 | 0.37 | 0.01609 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.04577
- Stop Loss: 0.04886
- Take Profit: 0.04462
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04886 - 0.04577 = 0.00309
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04577 - 0.04462 = 0.00115
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00115 / 0.00309 = 0.3722
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -6.751%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.757% | 0.3R | -0.068% | 0.0R | 26.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.757% | 0.3R | -1.309% | 0.2R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.757% | 0.3R | -1.615% | 0.2R | 1.1× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.757% | 0.3R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.757% | 0.3R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.408% | 0.4R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.650% | 0.4R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.456% | 0.5R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.862% | 1.3R | -1.872% | 0.3R | 4.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 854 min
MAE in 254 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.