Short Trade on NEAR

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03 Oct 2026 at 09:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 49.71 NEAR at 4.669$ per unit. Take profit: 4.5518 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 4.8294 (3.45 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 09:15 → 15:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 4.6685$

Qty 49.7072 NEAR

Size 232.0579$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 4.5518 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.8$

SL 4.8294 (-3.45%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.73

Status loss PnL -1.36% / -3.15$ MAE -1.54% MFE +1.39% 0.4R expires 03 Oct 15:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174682)

#75 / 78

seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0962

Quality Score

0.376

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#75 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-3

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.45 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#75 / 78

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

99 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-7

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.45 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-2.10×ATR
4h	clear	1.35×ATR
1d	clear	5.11×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↑ up	mid	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-3

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

0.63

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

134.0M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 09:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 03/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 08:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

03/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/10 08:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4749

Voir snapshot →

bull developing bull_expansion

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	bull 0.55	expansion -1
Tactical	range 0.25	transition 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.85

Stability : 0.97

Transition risk : 0.03

Score contribution (this trade) -3

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 63.7%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	50.9%
1h	22.8%
4h	80.7%
24h	14.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	71.9%	+0.01%
4h	66.7%	+0.63%
24h	33.3%	-4.23%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.167

Universe : 57 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.98

Snapshot évalué : 03/10 09:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5928

Score SMA

0.7164

Rank

#26 / 84

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6988

Rank Norm SMA

0.8378

Calculé le

02/10/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7119	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.46% · r3d: -3.97% · ema21_slope: 3.9448% · dist_ema21: 12.586%
Force Relative	25%	0.5217	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.04% · rs_3d: -5.00% · beta_24h: 1.360
Volume	20%	0.4968	rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: 0.761 · trend: 86.37%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9964	ADX: 59.6 (trend) · Chop: 37.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.912% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 09:00

Score brut

0.3756

Score SMA

0.5343

Rank

#75 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0962

Rank Norm SMA

0.5146

Calculé le

03/10/2026 09:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3393	r1h: -0.122% · r4h: -0.238% · r1d: -5.37% · r3d: -12.59% · ema21_slope: -0.1258% · dist_ema21: -1.097%
Force Relative	25%	0.3325	rs_1h: -0.377% · rs_4h: -0.566% · rs_1d: -3.12% · rs_3d: -12.11% · beta_24h: 1.674
Volume	20%	0.1860	rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.466 · trend: -71.16%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3564	ADX: 28.5 (trend) · Chop: 85.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.443% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.3662

Score SMA

0.5328

Rank

#75 / 79

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1006

Rank Norm SMA

0.5027

Calculé le

03/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4288	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.256% · r1d: -3.65% · r3d: -11.97% · ema21_slope: -0.3819% · dist_ema21: -4.176%
Force Relative	25%	0.3321	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.384% · rs_1d: -1.61% · rs_3d: -12.88% · beta_24h: 0.732
Volume	20%	0.0979	rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -1.531 · trend: -62.39%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5601	ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.5094	ATR%: 4.472% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.447% (0.1609)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.155%	0.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.155%	0.3R	-0.246%	0.1R	4.7×	24
4h	+1.395%	0.4R	-1.341%	0.4R	1.0×	48
6h ★	+1.395%	0.4R	-1.542%	0.5R	0.9×	72
8h	+1.395%	0.4R	-3.226%	0.9R	0.4×	96
12h	+1.395%	0.4R	-5.160%	1.5R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.395%	0.4R	-5.878%	1.7R	0.2×	288
48h	+1.395%	0.4R	-11.201%	3.3R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.395%	0.4R	-20.428%	5.9R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 189 min MAE in 1314 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 4.08

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.52	bull_high	+13.14%	+1.00	01/10 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.40	bull_high	+2.02%	-0.54	03/10 04:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	mid	near -2.1ATR	—	0.32	range_low	+0.41%	-0.29	03/10 08:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	normal	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 45%	early	near -0.3ATR	—	0.52	range_low	+0.11%	-0.08	03/10 08:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #207605	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.725	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 19b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.90	94%	↑ +0.83	below_value	-2.07	—	#110076	0.52	bull_high	+13.14%	+1.00	01/10 20:00 upd 02/10 20:22
4h #212696	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.562	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 13b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.11	21%	↓ -0.70	below_value	-3.80	—	#112293	0.40	bull_high	+2.02%	-0.54	03/10 04:00 upd 03/10 08:14
1h anchor #213134	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.489	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 11b -1.0ATR	near -2.1ATR	—	0.61	11%	↓ -0.81	below_value	-4.00	—	#112532	0.32	range_low	+0.41%	-0.29	03/10 08:00 upd 03/10 09:09
15m #213062	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.520	normal	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 45%	early 11b -0.5ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.08	18%	↑ +0.55	below_value	-3.80	—	#112293	0.52	range_low	+0.11%	-0.08	03/10 08:45 upd 03/10 09:01
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	mid	19b	—	4.736×ATR	p65	+0.813×ATR	p40
4h	↓ down	mid	13b	—	4.136×ATR	p77	-1.043×ATR	p62
1h	↓ down	mid	11b	—	1.144×ATR	p0	-0.997×ATR	p61
15m	↓ down	early	11b	—	2.398×ATR	p41	-0.538×ATR	p39

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 4.82944261
tp_price: 4.5517875
atr: 0.06437704
expires_at: 2026-10-03T19:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 79
total: 80
score: 0.3393
delta_2h: -0.0239
extension_atr: -0.56
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0978
confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.6685	4.8294	4.5518	0.73	3.1888

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.6685
Stop Loss: 4.8294
Take Profit: 4.5518

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.8294 - 4.6685 = 0.1609
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.6685 - 4.5518 = 0.1167
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1167 / 0.1609 = 0.7253

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
232.0579	100	49.7072	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1609

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1609 = 49.72

Taille de position USD = 49.72 x 4.6685 = 232.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 49.72 avec un stoploss a 4.8294

Avec un position size USD de 232.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 49.72 x 0.1609 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 49.72 x 0.1167 = 5.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.8$

Résumé

Taille de position 49.72
Taille de position USD 232.12
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.8
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7253

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.8 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.45 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.15 $	-1.36

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-1.5423 %	44.75 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.6685	4.8294	4.5518	0.73	3.1888

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.6685
Stop Loss: 4.8294
Take Profit: 4.5518

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 4.8294 - 4.6685 = 0.1609
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.6685 - 4.5518 = 0.1167
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1167 / 0.1609 = 0.7253

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.447% (0.1609)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.155%	0.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.155%	0.3R	-0.246%	0.1R	4.7×	24
4h	+1.395%	0.4R	-1.341%	0.4R	1.0×	48
6h ★	+1.395%	0.4R	-1.542%	0.5R	0.9×	72
8h	+1.395%	0.4R	-3.226%	0.9R	0.4×	96
12h	+1.395%	0.4R	-5.160%	1.5R	0.3×	144
24h	+1.395%	0.4R	-5.878%	1.7R	0.2×	288
48h	+1.395%	0.4R	-11.201%	3.3R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.395%	0.4R	-20.428%	5.9R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 189 min MAE in 1314 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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