Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.2 ZEC at 1308.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1275.7875 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1348.2309 (3.04 %)
03 Oct 2026 at 09:15:06
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Oct 2026 09:15
→ 15:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1308.5$
Qty 0.2014 ZEC
Size 263.4726$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1275.7875 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.59$
SL 1348.2309 (-3.04%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.82
Status
win
PnL
+0.02%
/ +0.04$
MAE -0.37%
MFE +1.60%
0.5R
expires
03 Oct 15:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 174718)
#73 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 09:00
score du 03/10/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1184
Quality Score
0.385
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#73 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#73 / 78
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.72×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.93×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.63
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
296.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 09:02
03/10 09:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 08:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4749
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
63.7%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.9% |
| 1h | 22.8% |
| 4h | 80.7% |
| 24h | 14.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 71.9% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 66.7% | +0.63% |
| 24h | 33.3% | -4.23% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.167
Universe :
57
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
03/10 09:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4353
Score SMA
0.5378
Rank
#74
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1205
Rank Norm SMA
0.3251
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5121 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.52% · r3d: -8.08% · ema21_slope: 1.0259% · dist_ema21: -5.510% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4176 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.10% · rs_3d: -9.11% · beta_24h: 1.117 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3144 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.049 · trend: 10.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7626 | ADX: 48.3 (trend) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.253% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.3847
Score SMA
0.4935
Rank
#73
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1184
Rank Norm SMA
0.3584
Calculé le
03/10/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3402 | r1h: -0.107% · r4h: -0.744% · r1d: -5.93% · r3d: -10.43% · ema21_slope: -0.0892% · dist_ema21: -1.125% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3336 | rs_1h: -0.362% · rs_4h: -1.073% · rs_1d: -3.69% · rs_3d: -9.95% · beta_24h: 1.836 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1918 | rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.492 · trend: -59.18% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4316 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 74.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.262% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3241
Score SMA
0.4563
Rank
#77
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0441
Rank Norm SMA
0.2539
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2349 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.388% · r1d: -5.11% · r3d: -8.17% · ema21_slope: -0.4642% · dist_ema21: -4.404% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2766 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.516% · rs_1d: -3.07% · rs_3d: -9.08% · beta_24h: 2.027 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1231 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -1.154 · trend: -55.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5363 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7941 | ATR%: 3.618% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.036%
(39.7309)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.360% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.605% | 0.5R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 104.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.605% | 0.5R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.605% | 0.5R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 4.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.605% | 0.5R | -2.056% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.949% | 0.6R | -2.056% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.949% | 0.6R | -3.011% | 1.0R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.949% | 0.6R | -4.608% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.178% | 0.7R | -5.464% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 589 min
MAE in 1249 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.52
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.53 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.02% | -0.69 | 03/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.47 | range_low | +0.41% | -0.40 | 03/10 08:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.69 | range_low | +0.11% | -0.09 | 03/10 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#207726
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.674 | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 6b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.73 | 85% | ↔ -0.07 | below_value | -3.98 | inside | #110116 | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.53 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:28
|
|
4h
#212801
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.644 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 5b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.19 | 2% | ↓ -0.39 | value | -5.10 | — | #112331 | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.02% | -0.69 |
03/10 04:00
upd 03/10 08:20
|
|
1h
anchor #213171
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.757 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 12b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.65 | 29% | ↓ -0.85 | value | -5.65 | inside | #112569 | 0.47 | range_low | +0.41% | -0.40 |
03/10 08:00
upd 03/10 09:11
|
|
15m
#213092
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.440 | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 3b -1.1ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.98 | 23% | ↑ +0.73 | value | -5.10 | — | #112331 | 0.69 | range_low | +0.11% | -0.09 |
03/10 08:45
upd 03/10 09:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.942×ATR | p0 | -0.54×ATR | p25 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.207×ATR | p13 | -1.319×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 1.425×ATR | p0 | -1.326×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 1.525×ATR | p0 | -1.125×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1348.23088793
- tp_price: 1275.7875
- atr: 15.89235517
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T19:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 76
- total: 80
- score: 0.3415
- delta_2h: -0.011
- extension_atr: -0.72
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1168
- confidence: 0.949
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:15 | 1308.50000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 10:15 | 1300.70000000 | -0.596% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1308.5 | 1348.2309 | 1275.7875 | 0.82 | 909.96 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1308.5
- Stop Loss: 1348.2309
- Take Profit: 1275.7875
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1348.2309 - 1308.5 = 39.7309
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1308.5 - 1275.7875 = 32.7125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 32.7125 / 39.7309 = 0.8234
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 263.4726 | 100 | 0.2014 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 39.7309
Taille de position = 8 / 39.7309 = 0.2
Taille de position USD = 0.2 x 1308.5 = 261.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.2 avec un stoploss a 1348.2309
Avec un position size USD de 261.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.2 x 39.7309 = 7.95
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.95$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.2 x 32.7125 = 6.54
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.54$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.2
- Taille de position USD 261.7
- Perte potentielle 7.95
- Gain potentiel 6.54
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8234
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.59 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.04 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.04 $ | 0.02 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3745 % | 12.33 % | 9 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1308.5 | 1348.2309 | 1275.7875 | 0.82 | 909.96 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1308.5
- Stop Loss: 1348.2309
- Take Profit: 1275.7875
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1348.2309 - 1308.5 = 39.7309
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1308.5 - 1275.7875 = 32.7125
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 32.7125 / 39.7309 = 0.8234
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.036%
(39.7309)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.360% | 0.5R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.605% | 0.5R | -0.015% | 0.0R | 104.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.605% | 0.5R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 4.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.605% | 0.5R | -0.375% | 0.1R | 4.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.605% | 0.5R | -2.056% | 0.7R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.949% | 0.6R | -2.056% | 0.7R | 1.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.949% | 0.6R | -3.011% | 1.0R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.949% | 0.6R | -4.608% | 1.5R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.178% | 0.7R | -5.464% | 1.8R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 589 min
MAE in 1249 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.