03 Oct 2026 at 11:15:12 hyperliquid

Long Trade on FIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 221.49 FIL at 1.076$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1025 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0395 (3.36 %)

FIL LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Oct 2026 11:15 → 17:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1.0756$

Qty 221.4942 FIL

Size 238.2392$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1.1025 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.96$

SL 1.0395 (-3.36%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.75

Status loss PnL -1.12% / -2.68$ MAE -2.02% MFE +0.46% 0.1R expires 03 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 174837)
#14 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 11:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7502

Quality Score
0.601
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#14 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#14 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.21×ATR
4h near -0.40×ATR
1d clear 1.15×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
0.27
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 11:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

01/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

03/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

03/10 10:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4757
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.97
Transition risk : 0.03
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 61.1%
Macro mixed_dispersion
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : mixed
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 38.9%
1h 68.5%
4h 66.7%
24h 31.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 48.2% -0.04%
4h 53.7% +0.27%
24h 40.7% -1.81%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.120
Universe : 54 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.98
Snapshot évalué : 03/10 11:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5038
Score SMA
0.5811
Rank
#53 / 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3735
Rank Norm SMA
0.4534
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7418 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.26% · r3d: -2.38% · ema21_slope: 1.2484% · dist_ema21: 5.332%
Force Relative 25% 0.5617 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.68% · rs_3d: -3.41% · beta_24h: 1.571
Volume 20% 0.2207 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.228 · trend: -23.12%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6447 ADX: 29.6 (trend) · Chop: 50.8 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.083% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.6012
Score SMA
0.5259
Rank
#14 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7502
Rank Norm SMA
0.5015
Calculé le
03/10/2026 11:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6901 r1h: 1.542% · r4h: 1.638% · r1d: 4.15% · r3d: 2.40% · ema21_slope: 0.1653% · dist_ema21: 2.742%
Force Relative 25% 0.6690 rs_1h: 1.578% · rs_4h: 1.392% · rs_1d: 5.15% · rs_3d: 1.18% · beta_24h: 2.804
Volume 20% 0.2799 rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: -0.194 · trend: -34.16%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4728 ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 59.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5099
Score SMA
0.5361
Rank
#27 / 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5521
Rank Norm SMA
0.5129
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5740 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.339% · r1d: 3.57% · r3d: -0.67% · ema21_slope: -0.1032% · dist_ema21: 2.370%
Force Relative 25% 0.5865 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.211% · rs_1d: 5.61% · rs_3d: -1.57% · beta_24h: 1.133
Volume 20% 0.1476 rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.867 · trend: -45.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4777 ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 55.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.8988 ATR%: 3.304% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.356% (0.0361)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.456% 0.1R -0.465% 0.1R 1.0× 12
2h +0.456% 0.1R -0.967% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +0.456% 0.1R -2.018% 0.6R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.456% 0.1R -2.018% 0.6R 0.2× 72
8h +0.456% 0.1R -2.018% 0.6R 0.2× 96
12h +0.456% 0.1R -2.018% 0.6R 0.2× 144
24h +0.456% 0.1R -2.436% 0.7R 0.2× 288
48h +4.063% 1.2R -2.984% 0.9R 1.4× 576
72h +12.588% 3.8R -2.984% 0.9R 4.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 59 min MAE in 1364 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early near -0.3ATR — 0.61 bull_high +13.14% +0.93 01/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 35% early — near -0.4ATR 0.38 bull_high +2.02% -0.05 03/10 04:00
1h ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 51% late — near -1.2ATR 0.45 range_low +0.34% +0.62 03/10 10:00
15m ↑ up range bearish_transition moderate balanced normal bull_medium_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.61 range_low +0.06% +0.12 03/10 10:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#207609
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate explosive 0.689 volatile_reversal bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 39% early 6b 0.5ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.43 84% ↓ -0.55 above_value -0.28 — #110077 0.61 bull_high +13.14% +0.93
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:23
4h
#212698
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.792 compression bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 35% early 4b 0.8ATR — near -0.4ATR 0.48 21% ↔ -0.07 above_value +0.47 — #112294 0.38 bull_high +2.02% -0.05
03/10 04:00
upd 03/10 08:14
1h anchor
#213900
↑ up range range moderate fading 0.483 compression bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 51% late 6b 2.1ATR — near -1.2ATR 0.95 45% ↓ -0.29 value +1.26 — #112847 0.45 range_low +0.34% +0.62
03/10 10:00
upd 03/10 11:09
15m
#213830
↑ up range bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.546 normal bull_medium_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 45% late 7b 2.9ATR — — 1.66 80% ↔ +0.11 above_value +0.18 — #112691 0.61 range_low +0.06% +0.12
03/10 10:45
upd 03/10 11:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 6b — 2.094×ATR p0 +0.485×ATR p34
4h ↑ up early 4b — 3.119×ATR p48 +0.753×ATR p39
1h ↑ up late 6b — 2.567×ATR p54 +2.117×ATR p91
15m ↑ up late 7b — 4.704×ATR p83 +2.913×ATR p99

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.03948168
  2. tp_price: 1.10249
  3. atr: 0.01444733
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-03T21:15:12+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 8
  2. total: 79
  3. score: 0.6901
  4. delta_2h: 0.146
  5. extension_atr: 1.52
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7596
  9. confidence: 0.96

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0756 1.0395 1.1025 0.75 0.6131
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0756
  • Stop Loss: 1.0395
  • Take Profit: 1.1025

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0395 - 1.0756 = -0.0361

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0756 - 1.1025 = -0.0269

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0269 / -0.0361 = 0.7452

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
238.2392 100 221.4942 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0361

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0361 = -221.61

Taille de position USD = -221.61 x 1.0756 = -238.36

Donc, tu peux acheter -221.61 avec un stoploss a 1.0395

Avec un position size USD de -238.36$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -221.61 x -0.0361 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -221.61 x -0.0269 = 5.96

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.96$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -221.61
  • Taille de position USD -238.36
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.96
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7452

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.36 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-2.68 $ -1.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.0175 % 60.11 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.0756 1.0395 1.1025 0.75 0.6131
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.0756
  • Stop Loss: 1.0395
  • Take Profit: 1.1025

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.0395 - 1.0756 = -0.0361

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.0756 - 1.1025 = -0.0269

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0269 / -0.0361 = 0.7452

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.356% (0.0361)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.456% 0.1R -0.465% 0.1R 1.0× 12
2h +0.456% 0.1R -0.967% 0.3R 0.5× 24
4h +0.456% 0.1R -2.018% 0.6R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.456% 0.1R -2.018% 0.6R 0.2× 72
8h +0.456% 0.1R -2.018% 0.6R 0.2× 96
12h +0.456% 0.1R -2.018% 0.6R 0.2× 144
24h +0.456% 0.1R -2.436% 0.7R 0.2× 288
48h +4.063% 1.2R -2.984% 0.9R 1.4× 576
72h +12.588% 3.8R -2.984% 0.9R 4.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 59 min MAE in 1364 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 3 weeks ago

Commentaires

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