Short Trade on ZEC (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 0.2 ZEC at 1304.9$ per unit. Take profit: 1272.2775 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1345.1565 (3.09 %)
03 Oct 2026 at 11:15:12
hyperliquid
ZEC
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
03 Oct 2026 11:15
→ 17:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 1304.9$
Qty 0.1987 ZEC
Size 259.3174$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1272.2775 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.48$
SL 1345.1565 (-3.09%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.81
Status
loss
PnL
-1.16%
/ -3.02$
MAE -2.34%
MFE +1.12%
0.4R
expires
03 Oct 17:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 174872)
#74 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/10/2026 11:00
score du 03/10/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1036
Quality Score
0.392
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#74 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#74 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.09 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.76×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.95×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.93×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
mixed
NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
0.27
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
271.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/10 11:02
03/10 11:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 01/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 03/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 03/10 10:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4757
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
transition
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
compression
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
0.97
Transition risk :
0.03
Score contribution (this trade)
-3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
61.1%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 38.9% |
| 1h | 68.5% |
| 4h | 66.7% |
| 24h | 31.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 48.2% | -0.04% |
| 4h | 53.7% | +0.27% |
| 24h | 40.7% | -1.81% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.120
Universe :
54
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.98
Snapshot évalué :
03/10 11:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4353
Score SMA
0.5378
Rank
#74
/ 84
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1205
Rank Norm SMA
0.3251
Calculé le
02/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5121 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.52% · r3d: -8.08% · ema21_slope: 1.0259% · dist_ema21: -5.510% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4176 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.10% · rs_3d: -9.11% · beta_24h: 1.117 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3144 | rvol_20: 0.73× · zscore_50: -0.049 · trend: 10.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7626 | ADX: 48.3 (trend) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.253% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.3922
Score SMA
0.4926
Rank
#74
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1036
Rank Norm SMA
0.3580
Calculé le
03/10/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3672 | r1h: 0.284% · r4h: -0.616% · r1d: -4.81% · r3d: -8.57% · ema21_slope: -0.0898% · dist_ema21: -0.859% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3662 | rs_1h: 0.319% · rs_4h: -0.861% · rs_1d: -3.81% · rs_3d: -9.79% · beta_24h: 3.277 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3638 | rvol_20: 1.58× · zscore_50: -0.285 · trend: -42.48% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4679 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 72.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.269% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3241
Score SMA
0.4563
Rank
#77
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0441
Rank Norm SMA
0.2539
Calculé le
03/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2349 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.388% · r1d: -5.11% · r3d: -8.17% · ema21_slope: -0.4642% · dist_ema21: -4.404% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2766 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.516% · rs_1d: -3.07% · rs_3d: -9.08% · beta_24h: 2.027 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1231 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -1.154 · trend: -55.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5363 | ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7941 | ATR%: 3.618% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.085%
(40.2565)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.119% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.119% | 0.4R | -0.651% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.119% | 0.4R | -0.651% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.119% | 0.4R | -2.337% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.678% | 0.5R | -2.337% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.678% | 0.5R | -2.337% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.678% | 0.5R | -3.295% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.678% | 0.5R | -4.897% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.908% | 0.6R | -6.115% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 469 min
MAE in 1129 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.81
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.53 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.02% | -0.69 | 03/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.47 | range_low | +0.34% | -0.04 | 03/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.69 | range_low | +0.06% | -0.11 | 03/10 10:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#207726
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.674 | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 6b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.73 | 85% | ↔ -0.07 | below_value | -3.98 | inside | #110116 | 0.56 | bull_high | +13.14% | +0.53 |
01/10 20:00
upd 02/10 20:28
|
|
4h
#212801
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.644 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 5b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.19 | 2% | ↓ -0.39 | value | -5.10 | — | #112331 | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.02% | -0.69 |
03/10 04:00
upd 03/10 08:20
|
|
1h
anchor #213937
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.648 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 14b -1.1ATR | — | — | 1.58 | 46% | ↓ -0.54 | value | -5.56 | inside | #112883 | 0.47 | range_low | +0.34% | -0.04 |
03/10 10:00
upd 03/10 11:11
|
|
15m
#213858
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.436 | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 2b 0.2ATR | — | near -0.9ATR | 1.56 | 57% | ↑ +0.81 | value | -5.85 | — | #112727 | 0.69 | range_low | +0.06% | -0.11 |
03/10 10:45
upd 03/10 11:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.942×ATR | p0 | -0.54×ATR | p25 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.207×ATR | p13 | -1.319×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 14b | — | 1.367×ATR | p0 | -1.091×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 3.257×ATR | p73 | +0.171×ATR | p12 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1345.15645863
- tp_price: 1272.2775
- atr: 16.10258345
- expires_at: 2026-10-03T21:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 78
- total: 79
- score: 0.3141
- delta_2h: -0.0261
- extension_atr: -0.75
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0858
- confidence: 0.987
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:15 | 1304.90000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:15 | 1295.70000000 | -0.705% |
| 3 | 13:15 | 1302.80000000 | -0.161% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1304.9 | 1345.1565 | 1272.2775 | 0.81 | 902.2 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1304.9
- Stop Loss: 1345.1565
- Take Profit: 1272.2775
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1345.1565 - 1304.9 = 40.2565
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1304.9 - 1272.2775 = 32.6225
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 32.6225 / 40.2565 = 0.8104
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 259.3174 | 100 | 0.1987 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 40.2565
Taille de position = 8 / 40.2565 = 0.2
Taille de position USD = 0.2 x 1304.9 = 260.98
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.2 avec un stoploss a 1345.1565
Avec un position size USD de 260.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.2 x 40.2565 = 8.05
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.05$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.2 x 32.6225 = 6.52
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.52$
Résumé
- Taille de position 0.2
- Taille de position USD 260.98
- Perte potentielle 8.05
- Gain potentiel 6.52
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8104
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.48 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.09 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.02 $ | -1.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.3373 % | 75.76 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1304.9 | 1345.1565 | 1272.2775 | 0.81 | 902.2 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1304.9
- Stop Loss: 1345.1565
- Take Profit: 1272.2775
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1345.1565 - 1304.9 = 40.2565
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1304.9 - 1272.2775 = 32.6225
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 32.6225 / 40.2565 = 0.8104
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.085%
(40.2565)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.119% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.119% | 0.4R | -0.651% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.119% | 0.4R | -0.651% | 0.2R | 1.7× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.119% | 0.4R | -2.337% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.678% | 0.5R | -2.337% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.678% | 0.5R | -2.337% | 0.8R | 0.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.678% | 0.5R | -3.295% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.678% | 0.5R | -4.897% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.908% | 0.6R | -6.115% | 2.0R | 0.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 469 min
MAE in 1129 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 3 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.