Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 64.68 LIT at 2.935$ per unit. Take profit: 2.8611 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.0582 (4.22 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 20:15:19
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 20:15
→ 21:45
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 2.9345$
Qty 64.6829 LIT
Size 189.8119$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.8611 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.75$
SL 3.0582 (-4.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.59
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.75$
MAE -0.25%
MFE +6.29%
1.5R
expires
29 Oct 02:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231324)
#65 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 20:00
score du 28/10/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1669
Quality Score
0.380
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#65 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#65 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.22 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.24×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.68
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
14.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 20:03
28/10 20:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 26/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7192
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
39.6%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.377
Δ 4h
▼-0.398
Δ 12h
▼-0.162
Δ 24h
▼-0.214
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 72.9% |
| 1h | 41.7% |
| 4h | 16.7% |
| 24h | 70.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.6% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 22.9% | -0.68% |
| 24h | 60.4% | +0.97% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
4.2%
Expansion
4.2%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.48
Dispersion :
0.113
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 20:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
27/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2429
Score SMA
0.3228
Rank
#62
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.3190
Calculé le
27/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1801 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.15% · r3d: -5.44% · ema21_slope: -0.7035% · dist_ema21: -9.456% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2861 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.17% · rs_3d: -5.47% · beta_24h: 2.554 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2166 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.726 · trend: -42.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4933 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.286% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3801
Score SMA
0.4898
Rank
#65
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1669
Rank Norm SMA
0.3563
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2652 | r1h: -0.315% · r4h: -3.541% · r1d: -3.72% · r3d: -7.34% · ema21_slope: -0.1531% · dist_ema21: -1.725% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2895 | rs_1h: -0.397% · rs_4h: -3.222% · rs_1d: -4.25% · rs_3d: -8.85% · beta_24h: 2.783 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2893 | rvol_20: 0.79× · zscore_50: -0.237 · trend: -6.24% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5588 | ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 51.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.796% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3070
Score SMA
0.4415
Rank
#65
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0308
Rank Norm SMA
0.3327
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2247 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.541% · r1d: -3.72% · r3d: -7.34% · ema21_slope: -0.2842% · dist_ema21: -4.033% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1894 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.222% · rs_1d: -4.25% · rs_3d: -8.85% · beta_24h: 3.047 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2943 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.347 · trend: -12.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3912 | ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7846 | ATR%: 3.646% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.215%
(0.1237)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.830% | 0.4R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.287% | 1.5R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 25.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.287% | 1.5R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 25.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.287% | 1.5R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 25.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.287% | 1.5R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 25.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.287% | 1.5R | -4.611% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.554% | 2.5R | -14.364% | 3.4R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.554% | 3.0R | -14.364% | 3.4R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.554% | 3.0R | -14.364% | 3.4R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1439 min
MAE in 954 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.6
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.10% | -0.86 | 26/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.45 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.58 | 28/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.56 | range_medium | +0.63% | -0.37 | 28/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.66 | range_low | +0.46% | -0.11 | 28/10 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#436418
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.446 | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 6b -1.0ATR | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.85 | 45% | ↔ -0.10 | above_value | -0.96 | — | #208479 | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.10% | -0.86 |
26/10 20:00
upd 27/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#443151
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.473 | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 22b -0.3ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 1.97 | 70% | ↔ +0.13 | above_value | -0.80 | — | #211292 | 0.45 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.58 |
28/10 12:00
upd 28/10 16:15
|
|
1h
anchor #444212
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.344 | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 2b -0.8ATR | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.27 | 7% | ↑ +0.68 | value | -2.28 | — | #211755 | 0.56 | range_medium | +0.63% | -0.37 |
28/10 18:00
upd 28/10 19:11
|
|
15m
#444490
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.651 | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 11b -0.9ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.17 | 18% | ↓ -0.81 | value | -2.28 | — | #211755 | 0.66 | range_low | +0.46% | -0.11 |
28/10 19:45
upd 28/10 20:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.705×ATR | p10 | -0.979×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 22b | — | 2.403×ATR | p25 | -0.295×ATR | p16 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 2.455×ATR | p37 | -0.838×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 2.929×ATR | p46 | -0.94×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 3.05818034
- tp_price: 2.8611375
- atr: 0.04947214
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T06:15:19+00:00
Details
- rank: 65
- total: 66
- score: 0.2534
- delta_2h: -0.1938
- extension_atr: -1
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1669
- confidence: 0.985
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9345 | 3.0582 | 2.8611 | 0.59 | 2.7969 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.9345
- Stop Loss: 3.0582
- Take Profit: 2.8611
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.0582 - 2.9345 = 0.1237
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.9345 - 2.8611 = 0.0734
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0734 / 0.1237 = 0.5934
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 189.8119 | 100 | 64.6829 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.1237
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1237 = 64.67
Taille de position USD = 64.67 x 2.9345 = 189.77
Donc, tu peux acheter 64.67 avec un stoploss a 3.0582
Avec un position size USD de 189.77$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 64.67 x 0.1237 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 64.67 x 0.0734 = 4.75
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.75$
Résumé
- Taille de position 64.67
- Taille de position USD 189.77
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.75
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5934
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.75 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.75 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2454 % | 5.82 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.9345 | 3.0582 | 2.8611 | 0.59 | 2.7969 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.9345
- Stop Loss: 3.0582
- Take Profit: 2.8611
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 3.0582 - 2.9345 = 0.1237
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.9345 - 2.8611 = 0.0734
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0734 / 0.1237 = 0.5934
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.215%
(0.1237)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.830% | 0.4R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 7.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +6.287% | 1.5R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 25.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.287% | 1.5R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 25.6× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.287% | 1.5R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 25.6× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.287% | 1.5R | -0.245% | 0.1R | 25.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.287% | 1.5R | -4.611% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.554% | 2.5R | -14.364% | 3.4R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +12.554% | 3.0R | -14.364% | 3.4R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +12.554% | 3.0R | -14.364% | 3.4R | 0.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1439 min
MAE in 954 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.