Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 7.42 VVV at 24.186$ per unit. Take profit: 23.5814 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 25.2643 (4.46 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 20:15:20
hyperliquid
VVV
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 20:15
→ 21:45
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 24.186$
Qty 7.4193 VVV
Size 179.4444$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 23.5814 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.49$
SL 25.2643 (-4.46%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.56
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.49$
MAE -0.01%
MFE +6.59%
1.5R
expires
29 Oct 02:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231312)
#64 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 20:00
score du 28/10/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0558
Quality Score
0.389
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#64 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#64 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.46 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.45×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.58×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.68
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
12.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 20:02
28/10 20:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 26/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7192
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
39.6%
Macro
btc_defensive
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.377
Δ 4h
▼-0.398
Δ 12h
▼-0.162
Δ 24h
▼-0.214
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 72.9% |
| 1h | 41.7% |
| 4h | 16.7% |
| 24h | 70.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 64.6% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 22.9% | -0.68% |
| 24h | 60.4% | +0.97% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
4.2%
Expansion
4.2%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.48
Dispersion :
0.113
Universe :
48
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 20:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
27/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5034
Score SMA
0.4527
Rank
#10
/ 62
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8525
Rank Norm SMA
0.7814
Calculé le
27/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7252 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.41% · r3d: 7.84% · ema21_slope: 0.1514% · dist_ema21: 4.358% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5965 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.43% · rs_3d: 7.81% · beta_24h: 2.608 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2869 | rvol_20: 0.91× · zscore_50: -0.311 · trend: -18.74% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5286 | ADX: 25.2 (trend) · Chop: 60.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.164% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3893
Score SMA
0.5244
Rank
#64
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0558
Rank Norm SMA
0.4991
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3733 | r1h: 1.232% · r4h: -1.275% · r1d: -7.20% · r3d: -3.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1773% · dist_ema21: -0.539% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3880 | rs_1h: 1.151% · rs_4h: -0.956% · rs_1d: -7.73% · rs_3d: -5.22% · beta_24h: 1.288 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1770 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.779 · trend: -28.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5126 | ADX: 26.0 (trend) · Chop: 63.4 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.886% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3879
Score SMA
0.5206
Rank
#63
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0923
Rank Norm SMA
0.6397
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4263 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.275% · r1d: -7.20% · r3d: -3.71% · ema21_slope: -0.0410% · dist_ema21: -2.549% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2967 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.956% · rs_1d: -7.73% · rs_3d: -5.22% · beta_24h: 2.209 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3197 | rvol_20: 1.02× · zscore_50: -0.286 · trend: -8.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4893 | ADX: 17.1 (weak) · Chop: 57.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7489 | ATR%: 3.753% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.458%
(1.0783)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.464% | 0.3R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 118.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.483% | 1.2R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 442.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.587% | 1.5R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 531.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.587% | 1.5R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 531.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.587% | 1.5R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 531.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.587% | 1.5R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 531.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.584% | 1.9R | -7.273% | 1.6R | 1.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.960% | 2.2R | -7.273% | 1.6R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.960% | 2.2R | -7.273% | 1.6R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1434 min
MAE in 949 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.59
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +4.10% | +0.47 | 26/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.49 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.20 | 28/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.63% | -0.58 | 28/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.55 | range_low | +0.46% | -0.10 | 28/10 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#436391
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.572 | compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 9b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.91 | 71% | ↓ -0.33 | above_value | +0.03 | — | #208466 | 0.38 | bull_high | +4.10% | +0.47 |
26/10 20:00
upd 27/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#443132
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.474 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 5b -0.4ATR | near -0.4ATR | — | 1.16 | 60% | ↑ +0.45 | value | -3.57 | — | #211281 | 0.49 | range_high | -0.06% | -0.20 |
28/10 12:00
upd 28/10 16:14
|
|
1h
anchor #444199
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.513 | expansion | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 2b -0.9ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.21 | 9% | ↔ +0.02 | below_value | -4.71 | — | #211742 | 0.51 | range_medium | +0.63% | -0.58 |
28/10 18:00
upd 28/10 19:10
|
|
15m
#444477
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.789 | compression | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid 13b 1.0ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.06 | 12% | ↓ -0.86 | below_value | -4.71 | — | #211742 | 0.55 | range_low | +0.46% | -0.10 |
28/10 19:45
upd 28/10 20:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 9b | — | 2.137×ATR | p0 | +0.48×ATR | p25 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 2.032×ATR | p3 | -0.424×ATR | p28 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.821×ATR | p29 | -0.943×ATR | p50 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 2.77×ATR | p61 | +0.95×ATR | p50 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 25.26426185
- tp_price: 23.58135
- atr: 0.43130474
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T06:15:20+00:00
Details
- rank: 63
- total: 66
- score: 0.3165
- delta_2h: -0.1136
- extension_atr: -0.34
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0539
- confidence: 0.954
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.186 | 25.2643 | 23.5814 | 0.56 | 19.996 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 24.186
- Stop Loss: 25.2643
- Take Profit: 23.5814
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 25.2643 - 24.186 = 1.0783
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 24.186 - 23.5814 = 0.6046
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6046 / 1.0783 = 0.5607
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 179.4444 | 100 | 7.4193 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.0783
Taille de position = 8 / 1.0783 = 7.42
Taille de position USD = 7.42 x 24.186 = 179.46
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.42 avec un stoploss a 25.2643
Avec un position size USD de 179.46$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.42 x 1.0783 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.42 x 0.6046 = 4.49
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.49$
Résumé
- Taille de position 7.42
- Taille de position USD 179.46
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.49
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5607
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.49 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.46 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.49 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0124 % | 0.28 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.186 | 25.2643 | 23.5814 | 0.56 | 19.996 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 24.186
- Stop Loss: 25.2643
- Take Profit: 23.5814
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 25.2643 - 24.186 = 1.0783
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 24.186 - 23.5814 = 0.6046
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6046 / 1.0783 = 0.5607
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.458%
(1.0783)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.464% | 0.3R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 118.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +5.483% | 1.2R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 442.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +6.587% | 1.5R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 531.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +6.587% | 1.5R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 531.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +6.587% | 1.5R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 531.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.587% | 1.5R | -0.012% | 0.0R | 531.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.584% | 1.9R | -7.273% | 1.6R | 1.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.960% | 2.2R | -7.273% | 1.6R | 1.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.960% | 2.2R | -7.273% | 1.6R | 1.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1434 min
MAE in 949 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.