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Short Trade on NIL

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28 Oct 2026 at 22:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1611.57 NIL at 0.0746$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07275 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07958 (6.66 %)

NIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 28 Oct 2026 22:15 → 03:00 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.07461$

Qty 1611.5678 NIL

Size 120.2439$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.07275 (+2.49%)

TP $ 3$

SL 0.07958 (-6.66%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.37

Status win PnL +2.49% / +3$ MAE -1.63% MFE +4.14% 0.6R expires 29 Oct 04:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231576)
#66 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0000

Quality Score
0.286
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#66 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#66 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.64×ATR
4h near 0.16×ATR
1d near -1.25×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.03
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 22:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/10 21:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7200
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

compression

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.6%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.266
Δ 4h
▼-0.736
Δ 12h
▼-0.051
Δ 24h
▼-0.632

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 14.3%
1h 6.1%
4h 6.1%
24h 26.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 16.3% -0.30%
4h 14.3% -2.03%
24h 28.6% -1.40%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
8.2%
Expansion
8.2%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.22
Dispersion : 0.146
Universe : 49 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 28/10 22:01 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3564
Score SMA
0.4320
Rank
#28 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5846
Rank Norm SMA
0.6848
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4928 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -14.37% · r3d: -12.63% · ema21_slope: 0.1405% · dist_ema21: -7.217%
Force Relative 25% 0.1963 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -14.90% · rs_3d: -14.14% · beta_24h: 0.961
Volume 20% 0.2261 rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: -8.98%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7616 ADX: 34.1 (trend) · Chop: 41.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 18.010% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.2858
Score SMA
0.5309
Rank
#66 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5487
Calculé le
28/10/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0164 r1h: -3.518% · r4h: -5.657% · r1d: -12.79% · r3d: -18.72% · ema21_slope: -0.4724% · dist_ema21: -7.706%
Force Relative 25% 0.0772 rs_1h: -2.159% · rs_4h: -3.976% · rs_1d: -11.62% · rs_3d: -19.04% · beta_24h: 1.548
Volume 20% 0.3474 rvol_20: 1.40× · zscore_50: -0.186 · trend: -37.93%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5752 ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 45.7 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.643% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2790
Score SMA
0.4827
Rank
#66 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5019
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2857 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.900% · r1d: -14.37% · r3d: -12.63% · ema21_slope: -0.1025% · dist_ema21: -9.364%
Force Relative 25% 0.1569 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.581% · rs_1d: -14.90% · rs_3d: -14.14% · beta_24h: 0.220
Volume 20% 0.1828 rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.468 · trend: -39.52%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7834 ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 19.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.854% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.661% (0.0050)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.063% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.063% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +2.063% 0.3R -1.633% 0.3R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +4.144% 0.6R -1.633% 0.3R 2.5× 72
8h +4.144% 0.6R -1.633% 0.3R 2.5× 96
12h +4.144% 0.6R -1.633% 0.3R 2.5× 144
24h +15.135% 2.3R -4.076% 0.6R 3.7× 288
48h +15.135% 2.3R -9.715% 1.5R 1.6× 576
72h +15.135% 2.3R -9.715% 1.5R 1.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1424 min MAE in 869 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.26
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion_after_compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.2ATR — 0.29 bull_high +4.55% -0.63 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced expansion bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 35% late near 0.2ATR — 0.17 range_high -0.37% -0.86 28/10 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 52% late — — 0.31 bear_medium -0.95% -0.79 28/10 21:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading normal bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.10 bear_low_confirmed -1.19% -0.37 28/10 21:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444735
 ↑ up range range moderate fading 0.546 expansion_after_compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 38% mid 1b -0.5ATR near -1.2ATR — 0.51 75% ↔ -0.08 above_value +0.10 — #211877 0.29 bull_high +4.55% -0.63
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
4h
#444626
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong balanced 0.658 expansion bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 35% late 10b -1.0ATR near 0.2ATR — 0.39 29% ↔ -0.11 above_value +0.10 — #211877 0.17 range_high -0.37% -0.86
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:19
1h anchor
#445371
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.725 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 52% late 5b -3.8ATR — — 1.40 65% ↑ +0.34 below_value -1.45 — #212209 0.31 bear_medium -0.95% -0.79
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:13
15m
#445303
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.752 normal bear_high
60%
noisy_chop 47% late 13b -3.2ATR — — 0.28 14% ↔ +0.01 above_value -0.37 — #212076 0.10 bear_low_confirmed -1.19% -0.37
28/10 21:45
upd 28/10 22:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 1b — 3.91×ATR p50 -0.458×ATR p37
4h ↓ down late 10b — 8.966×ATR p97 -1.017×ATR p53
1h ↓ down late 5b — 3.952×ATR p78 -3.786×ATR p100
15m ↓ down late 13b — 5.379×ATR p69 -3.218×ATR p88

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07957711
  2. tp_price: 0.07274767
  3. atr: 0.00198564
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-29T08:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 67
  2. total: 67
  3. score: 0.0208
  4. delta_2h: -0.0656
  5. extension_atr: -2.86
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07461 0.07958 0.07275 0.37 0.04982
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07461
  • Stop Loss: 0.07958
  • Take Profit: 0.07275

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07958 - 0.07461 = 0.00497

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07461 - 0.07275 = 0.00186

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00186 / 0.00497 = 0.3742

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
120.2439 100 1611.5678 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00497

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00497 = 1609.66

Taille de position USD = 1609.66 x 0.07461 = 120.1

Donc, tu peux acheter 1609.66 avec un stoploss a 0.07958

Avec un position size USD de 120.1$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1609.66 x 0.00497 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1609.66 x 0.00186 = 2.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1609.66
  • Taille de position USD 120.1
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3742

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 3 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.66 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
3 $ 2.49
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.6325 % 24.51 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.07461 0.07958 0.07275 0.37 0.04982
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.07461
  • Stop Loss: 0.07958
  • Take Profit: 0.07275

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07958 - 0.07461 = 0.00497

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.07461 - 0.07275 = 0.00186

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00186 / 0.00497 = 0.3742

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.661% (0.0050)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.063% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.063% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +2.063% 0.3R -1.633% 0.3R 1.3× 48
6h ★ +4.144% 0.6R -1.633% 0.3R 2.5× 72
8h +4.144% 0.6R -1.633% 0.3R 2.5× 96
12h +4.144% 0.6R -1.633% 0.3R 2.5× 144
24h +15.135% 2.3R -4.076% 0.6R 3.7× 288
48h +15.135% 2.3R -9.715% 1.5R 1.6× 576
72h +15.135% 2.3R -9.715% 1.5R 1.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1424 min MAE in 869 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.