Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 56.72 LIT at 2.792$ per unit. Take profit: 2.7219 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.9327 (5.05 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 22:15:08
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 22:15
→ 04:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.7917$
Qty 56.7186 LIT
Size 158.3413$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.7219 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.96$
SL 2.9327 (-5.05%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.39%
/ -3.79$
MAE -2.80%
MFE +0.46%
0.1R
expires
29 Oct 04:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231588)
#61 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 22:00
score du 28/10/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1861
Quality Score
0.408
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#61 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#61 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.05 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.33×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.62×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.03
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
15.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 22:03
28/10 22:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 28/10 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7200
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
11.6%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.266
Δ 4h
▼-0.736
Δ 12h
▼-0.051
Δ 24h
▼-0.632
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 14.3% |
| 1h | 6.1% |
| 4h | 6.1% |
| 24h | 26.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 16.3% | -0.30% |
| 4h | 14.3% | -2.03% |
| 24h | 28.6% | -1.40% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
8.2%
Expansion
8.2%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.22
Dispersion :
0.146
Universe :
49
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 22:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.1512
Score SMA
0.2627
Rank
#66
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1920
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.0652 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.75% · r3d: -7.36% · ema21_slope: -0.6839% · dist_ema21: -11.818% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1308 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.28% · rs_3d: -8.88% · beta_24h: 2.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1244 | rvol_20: 0.37× · zscore_50: -1.135 · trend: -52.21% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4939 | ADX: 16.8 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.309% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.4076
Score SMA
0.4859
Rank
#61
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1861
Rank Norm SMA
0.3454
Calculé le
28/10/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1494 | r1h: -3.535% · r4h: -6.080% · r1d: -9.09% · r3d: -11.33% · ema21_slope: -0.1827% · dist_ema21: -5.764% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1215 | rs_1h: -2.176% · rs_4h: -4.399% · rs_1d: -7.93% · rs_3d: -11.66% · beta_24h: 2.684 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9969 | rvol_20: 4.49× · zscore_50: 2.954 · trend: 106.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6597 | ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 31.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.047% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3108
Score SMA
0.4415
Rank
#65
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0308
Rank Norm SMA
0.3327
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2247 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.541% · r1d: -3.72% · r3d: -7.34% · ema21_slope: -0.2842% · dist_ema21: -4.033% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.1894 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.222% · rs_1d: -4.25% · rs_3d: -8.85% · beta_24h: 3.047 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2943 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.347 · trend: -12.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3912 | ADX: 13.4 (weak) · Chop: 65.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7846 | ATR%: 3.646% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.051%
(0.1410)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -1.945% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -1.945% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -2.088% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.459% | 0.1R | -2.805% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -4.438% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -16.130% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.081% | 1.6R | -20.214% | 4.0R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.081% | 1.6R | -20.214% | 4.0R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.081% | 1.6R | -20.214% | 4.0R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1324 min
MAE in 834 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.96 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.45 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.71 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.57 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.59 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | 0.65 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.19% | -0.36 | 28/10 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444759
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.505 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 7b -1.3ATR | near -1.6ATR | — | 0.60 | 33% | ↔ -0.06 | value | -2.70 | — | #211889 | 0.42 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.96 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#444675
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | 0.598 | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 23b -1.3ATR | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.93 | 38% | ↔ +0.10 | value | -2.70 | inside | #211889 | 0.45 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.71 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:22
|
|
1h
anchor #445384
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.348 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
48%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late 5b -2.7ATR | — | — | 4.49 | 97% | ↑ +0.65 | below_value | -4.03 | inside | #212222 | 0.57 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.59 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:13
|
|
15m
#445316
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | 0.316 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
choppy 50% | late 19b -3.7ATR | — | — | 4.42 | 97% | ↑ +0.53 | value | -2.86 | — | #212088 | 0.65 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.19% | -0.36 |
28/10 21:45
upd 28/10 22:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.141×ATR | p30 | -1.257×ATR | p68 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 23b | — | 3.321×ATR | p46 | -1.284×ATR | p66 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 5.051×ATR | p83 | -2.746×ATR | p97 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 19b | — | 6.464×ATR | p96 | -3.731×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.9327472
- tp_price: 2.7219075
- atr: 0.05641888
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T08:15:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 66
- total: 67
- score: 0.2459
- delta_2h: -0.0193
- extension_atr: -2.74
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1592
- confidence: 0.985
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7917 | 2.9327 | 2.7219 | 0.5 | 2.9983 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7917
- Stop Loss: 2.9327
- Take Profit: 2.7219
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9327 - 2.7917 = 0.141
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7917 - 2.7219 = 0.0698
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0698 / 0.141 = 0.495
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 158.3413 | 100 | 56.7186 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.141
Taille de position = 8 / 0.141 = 56.74
Taille de position USD = 56.74 x 2.7917 = 158.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 56.74 avec un stoploss a 2.9327
Avec un position size USD de 158.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 56.74 x 0.141 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 56.74 x 0.0698 = 3.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.96$
Résumé
- Taille de position 56.74
- Taille de position USD 158.4
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.96
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.495
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.05 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.79 $ | -2.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7761 % | 54.96 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.7917 | 2.9327 | 2.7219 | 0.5 | 2.9983 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.7917
- Stop Loss: 2.9327
- Take Profit: 2.7219
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.9327 - 2.7917 = 0.141
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.7917 - 2.7219 = 0.0698
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0698 / 0.141 = 0.495
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.051%
(0.1410)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -1.945% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -1.945% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -2.088% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.459% | 0.1R | -2.805% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -4.438% | 0.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.459% | 0.1R | -16.130% | 3.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.081% | 1.6R | -20.214% | 4.0R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.081% | 1.6R | -20.214% | 4.0R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.081% | 1.6R | -20.214% | 4.0R | 0.4× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1324 min
MAE in 834 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.