Short Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 9445.21 MON at 0.0203$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01976 (2.47 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02111 (4.2 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 22:15:09
hyperliquid
MON
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 22:15
→ 04:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.02026$
Qty 9445.2119 MON
Size 191.3978$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01976 (+2.47%)
TP $ 4.72$
SL 0.02111 (-4.2%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 0.59
Status
win
PnL
+0.17%
/ +0.32$
MAE -2.64%
MFE +0.70%
0.2R
expires
29 Oct 04:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231583)
#54 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 22:00
score du 28/10/2026 22:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2586
Quality Score
0.459
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#54 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#54 / 66
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.47×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.25×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.46×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.03
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD SKIP
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 22:03
28/10 22:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7200
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
11.6%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.266
Δ 4h
▼-0.736
Δ 12h
▼-0.051
Δ 24h
▼-0.632
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 14.3% |
| 1h | 6.1% |
| 4h | 6.1% |
| 24h | 26.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 16.3% | -0.30% |
| 4h | 14.3% | -2.03% |
| 24h | 28.6% | -1.40% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
8.2%
Expansion
8.2%
Tail ↑
+0.50
Tail ↓
+0.22
Dispersion :
0.146
Universe :
49
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 22:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2366
Score SMA
0.2759
Rank
#64
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0308
Rank Norm SMA
0.1733
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2249 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.91% · r3d: -1.82% · ema21_slope: -0.9114% · dist_ema21: -7.761% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3512 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.44% · rs_3d: -3.34% · beta_24h: 2.335 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1343 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.985 · trend: -66.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3632 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 75.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.825% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.4593
Score SMA
0.5204
Rank
#54
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2586
Rank Norm SMA
0.5211
Calculé le
28/10/2026 22:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2643 | r1h: -3.886% · r4h: -6.057% · r1d: -5.40% · r3d: -4.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0584% · dist_ema21: -4.332% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2143 | rs_1h: -2.527% · rs_4h: -4.376% · rs_1d: -4.23% · rs_3d: -4.36% · beta_24h: 2.570 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4798 | rvol_20: 1.90× · zscore_50: 0.091 · trend: -13.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6692 | ADX: 20.3 (weak) · Chop: 32.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4149
Score SMA
0.4724
Rank
#59
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2308
Rank Norm SMA
0.4914
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4064 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.850% · r1d: -0.05% · r3d: -0.97% · ema21_slope: -0.0048% · dist_ema21: -0.859% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4190 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.531% · rs_1d: -0.58% · rs_3d: -2.48% · beta_24h: 2.349 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1809 | rvol_20: 0.51× · zscore_50: -0.602 · trend: -34.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3556 | ADX: 10.7 (weak) · Chop: 67.0 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9876 | ATR%: 3.037% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.196%
(0.0009)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -1.392% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -1.392% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -2.641% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.701% | 0.2R | -2.641% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.701% | 0.2R | -2.641% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.701% | 0.2R | -3.978% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.318% | 2.7R | -6.767% | 1.6R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.318% | 2.7R | -6.767% | 1.6R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.318% | 2.7R | -6.767% | 1.6R | 1.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1324 min
MAE in 834 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.59 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.81 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | near 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.58 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.04 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.70 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.42 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 49% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.66 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.19% | -0.28 | 28/10 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444749
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.530 | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 26b -1.1ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.32 | 19% | ↓ -0.61 | value | -0.59 | — | #211884 | 0.59 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.81 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#444654
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.568 | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early 2b -0.3ATR | near 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.51 | 10% | ↔ -0.02 | value | -0.59 | — | #211884 | 0.58 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.04 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:21
|
|
1h
anchor #445379
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.622 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late 5b -2.3ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 1.90 | 77% | ↑ +0.41 | below_value | -1.96 | — | #212217 | 0.70 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.42 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:13
|
|
15m
#445311
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | 0.314 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
choppy 49% | late 18b -4.6ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.98 | 57% | ↑ +0.39 | value | -0.66 | — | #212083 | 0.66 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.19% | -0.28 |
28/10 21:45
upd 28/10 22:04
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 26b | — | 7.736×ATR | p96 | -1.051×ATR | p62 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 0.981×ATR | p0 | -0.306×ATR | p20 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.944×ATR | p90 | -2.25×ATR | p95 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 7.784×ATR | p97 | -4.563×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.02111099
- tp_price: 0.0197574
- atr: 0.00033879
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T08:15:09+00:00
Details
- rank: 63
- total: 67
- score: 0.3081
- delta_2h: -0.0669
- extension_atr: -2.89
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2663
- confidence: 0.939
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:15 | 0.02026400 | +0.02% |
| 2 | 00:15 | 0.02029700 | +0.183% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02026 | 0.02111 | 0.01976 | 0.59 | 0.01572 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02026
- Stop Loss: 0.02111
- Take Profit: 0.01976
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02111 - 0.02026 = 0.00085
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02026 - 0.01976 = 0.0005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0005 / 0.00085 = 0.5882
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191.3978 | 100 | 9445.2119 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00085
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00085 = 9411.76
Taille de position USD = 9411.76 x 0.02026 = 190.68
Donc, tu peux acheter 9411.76 avec un stoploss a 0.02111
Avec un position size USD de 190.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 9411.76 x 0.00085 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 9411.76 x 0.0005 = 4.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position 9411.76
- Taille de position USD 190.68
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5882
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.47 % | 4.72 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.2 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.32 $ | 0.17 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6407 % | 62.94 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02026 | 0.02111 | 0.01976 | 0.59 | 0.01572 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.02026
- Stop Loss: 0.02111
- Take Profit: 0.01976
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.02111 - 0.02026 = 0.00085
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02026 - 0.01976 = 0.0005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0005 / 0.00085 = 0.5882
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.196%
(0.0009)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -1.392% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -1.392% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.592% | 0.1R | -2.641% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.701% | 0.2R | -2.641% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.701% | 0.2R | -2.641% | 0.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.701% | 0.2R | -3.978% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +11.318% | 2.7R | -6.767% | 1.6R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.318% | 2.7R | -6.767% | 1.6R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +11.318% | 2.7R | -6.767% | 1.6R | 1.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1324 min
MAE in 834 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.