Short Trade on APT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 312.34 APT at 0.664$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6002 (9.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6898 (3.85 %)
Short Trade on APT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 312.34 APT at 0.664$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6002 (9.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6898 (3.85 %)
Position
Entry 0.6642$
Qty 312.3404 APT
Size 207.4565$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6002 (+9.64%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.6898 (-3.85%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5220
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 1.12×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.10×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 28/10 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 14.3% |
| 1h | 6.1% |
| 4h | 6.1% |
| 24h | 26.5% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 16.3% | -0.30% |
| 4h | 14.3% | -2.03% |
| 24h | 28.6% | -1.40% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3299 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.55% · r3d: -0.24% · ema21_slope: -0.5510% · dist_ema21: -7.746% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3598 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: -1.75% · beta_24h: 2.929 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1369 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -1.076 · trend: -43.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4982 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3074 | r1h: -3.623% · r4h: -5.190% · r1d: -4.01% · r3d: -4.09% · ema21_slope: 0.0188% · dist_ema21: -3.255% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2602 | rs_1h: -2.264% · rs_4h: -3.510% · rs_1d: -2.84% · rs_3d: -4.42% · beta_24h: 2.282 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7315 | rvol_20: 2.29× · zscore_50: 1.887 · trend: 39.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6868 | ADX: 22.4 (weak) · Chop: 32.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.624% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3517 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.492% · r1d: 0.55% · r3d: -0.24% · ema21_slope: -0.1660% · dist_ema21: -0.150% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3900 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.173% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: -1.75% · beta_24h: 1.890 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3839 | rvol_20: 1.32× · zscore_50: 0.075 · trend: -14.60% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5935 | ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 61.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.538% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.964% | 0.3R | -0.964% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.355% | 0.4R | -0.964% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.355% | 0.4R | -1.701% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.319% | 0.6R | -1.701% | 0.4R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.319% | 0.6R | -3.026% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 143 |
| 24h | +13.339% | 3.5R | -6.489% | 1.7R | 2.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.339% | 3.5R | -6.489% | 1.7R | 2.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +13.339% | 3.5R | -6.489% | 1.7R | 2.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.339% | 3.5R | -6.489% | 1.7R | 2.1× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.43 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early | — | — | 0.52 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.11 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.69 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.21 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
choppy 52% | late | — | — | 0.71 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.19% | -0.33 | 28/10 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444636
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.586 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 17b -1.0ATR | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.45 | 50% | ↓ -0.66 | above_value | +0.35 | — | #211848 | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.43 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#444536
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.513 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 29% | early 8b -0.1ATR | — | — | 1.32 | 43% | ↔ -0.03 | above_value | +0.35 | — | #211848 | 0.52 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.11 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor #445343
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.610 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 5b -1.8ATR | — | — | 2.29 | 90% | ↔ +0.09 | below_value | -2.40 | inside | #212181 | 0.69 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.21 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:11
|
|
15m
#445275
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | fading | 0.314 | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
57%
|
choppy 52% | late 18b -5.2ATR | — | — | 8.07 | 100% | ↑ +0.41 | above_value | +0.01 | — | #212048 | 0.71 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.19% | -0.33 |
28/10 21:45
upd 28/10 22:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 4.273×ATR | p65 | -1.016×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.486×ATR | p0 | -0.065×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 4.639×ATR | p91 | -1.753×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 7.321×ATR | p100 | -5.212×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.70195
0.6755
0.688725
1793095200
1793239200
2.4309
41
0.7953
1793235600
0.6755
0.8537
1
1.0385
0
5
5
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (19)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:15 | 0.66420000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:26 | 0.66420000 | 0% |
| 3 | 22:37 | 0.66360000 | -0.09% |
| 4 | 22:46 | 0.66360000 | -0.09% |
| 5 | 22:55 | 0.66360000 | -0.09% |
| 6 | 23:06 | 0.66460000 | +0.06% |
| 7 | 23:16 | 0.66460000 | +0.06% |
| 8 | 23:25 | 0.66460000 | +0.06% |
| 9 | 23:35 | 0.65880000 | -0.813% |
| 10 | 23:44 | 0.65880000 | -0.813% |
| 11 | 23:53 | 0.65880000 | -0.813% |
| 12 | 00:05 | 0.65880000 | -0.813% |
| 13 | 00:36 | 0.66110000 | -0.467% |
| 14 | 00:45 | 0.66110000 | -0.467% |
| 15 | 00:54 | 0.66110000 | -0.467% |
| 16 | 01:04 | 0.66110000 | -0.467% |
| 17 | 01:14 | 0.66730000 | +0.467% |
| 18 | 01:23 | 0.66730000 | +0.467% |
| 19 | 01:33 | 0.66730000 | +0.467% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6642 | 0.6898 | 0.6002 | 2.5 | 0.449 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6898 - 0.6642 = 0.0256
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6642 - 0.6002 = 0.064
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.064 / 0.0256 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 207.4565 | 100 | 312.3404 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0256 = 312.5
Taille de position USD = 312.5 x 0.6642 = 207.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 312.5 avec un stoploss a 0.6898
Avec un position size USD de 207.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 312.5 x 0.0256 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 312.5 x 0.064 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.64 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.85 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.4 $ | -2.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.0262 % | 78.51 % | 19 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6642 | 0.6898 | 0.6002 | 2.5 | 0.449 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6898 - 0.6642 = 0.0256
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6642 - 0.6002 = 0.064
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.064 / 0.0256 = 2.5
Array
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)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.964% | 0.3R | -0.964% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.355% | 0.4R | -0.964% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.355% | 0.4R | -1.701% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.319% | 0.6R | -1.701% | 0.4R | 1.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.319% | 0.6R | -3.026% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 143 |
| 24h | +13.339% | 3.5R | -6.489% | 1.7R | 2.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.339% | 3.5R | -6.489% | 1.7R | 2.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +13.339% | 3.5R | -6.489% | 1.7R | 2.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.339% | 3.5R | -6.489% | 1.7R | 2.1× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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