Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2119.73 SPX at 0.391$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3984 (1.92 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3871 (0.97 %)
Long Trade on SPX (CatchTheWave)
With 2119.73 SPX at 0.391$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3984 (1.92 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3871 (0.97 %)
Position
Entry 0.3909$
Qty 2119.7275 SPX
Size 828.6015$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3984 (+1.92%)
TP $ 15.9$
SL 0.3871 (-0.97%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 1.97
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8676
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.32×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.47×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.93×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 28/10 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.651726 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 29.2% |
| 1h | 10.4% |
| 4h | 4.2% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 20.8% | -0.25% |
| 4h | 12.5% | -3.76% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -3.46% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5752 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 4.46% · r3d: 12.07% · ema21_slope: -0.3171% · dist_ema21: 5.853% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6935 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.93% · rs_3d: 10.56% · beta_24h: 1.878 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3057 | rvol_20: 1.04× · zscore_50: -0.248 · trend: -23.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3878 | ADX: 17.0 (weak) · Chop: 69.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.432% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5358 | r1h: -2.166% · r4h: -1.448% · r1d: 0.27% · r3d: 10.96% · ema21_slope: 0.1550% · dist_ema21: 0.701% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5778 | rs_1h: -0.807% · rs_4h: 0.233% · rs_1d: 1.43% · rs_3d: 10.64% · beta_24h: 1.943 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3679 | rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.218 · trend: 21.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7712 | ADX: 32.5 (trend) · Chop: 23.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.520% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7834 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.001% · r1d: 4.46% · r3d: 12.07% · ema21_slope: 0.3541% · dist_ema21: 6.177% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7266 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.320% · rs_1d: 3.93% · rs_3d: 10.56% · beta_24h: 2.359 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4508 | rvol_20: 1.33× · zscore_50: 0.509 · trend: 12.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6359 | ADX: 31.3 (trend) · Chop: 53.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.697% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.228% | 1.3R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.228% | 1.3R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.635% | 2.7R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 4.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.635% | 2.7R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.635% | 2.7R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 4.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.269% | 3.4R | -13.958% | 14.4R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.269% | 3.4R | -13.958% | 14.4R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.269% | 3.4R | -13.958% | 14.4R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.77 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.63 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.81 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.54 | bear_medium | -0.95% | +0.25 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.24% | +0.02 | 28/10 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444727
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.658 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late 54b 0.8ATR | — | — | 1.04 | 52% | ↑ +0.23 | above_value | +8.54 | — | #211873 | 0.72 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.77 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:25
|
|
4h
#444610
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.665 | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 26b 2.4ATR | — | near -1.5ATR | 1.33 | 73% | ↔ +0.10 | above_value | +8.54 | inside | #211873 | 0.63 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.81 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
1h
anchor #445367
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.747 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 1b 0.4ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.86 | 73% | ↑ +0.37 | above_value | +7.05 | — | #212205 | 0.54 | bear_medium | -0.95% | +0.25 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:12
|
|
15m
#445435
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.695 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late 8b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.33 | 57% | ↔ -0.04 | above_value | +7.05 | — | #212205 | 0.53 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.24% | +0.02 |
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 22:18
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 54b | — | 9.06×ATR | p94 | +0.809×ATR | p52 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 26b | — | 6.47×ATR | p96 | +2.401×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 3.078×ATR | p59 | +0.423×ATR | p27 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 5.098×ATR | p92 | -1.436×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
80917.7
-0.0124045
79914
0.651726
0
0
79914
80638.5
-0.0079316
79999
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0.41183
197
0.7892
0.6313
0.3924
0.2192
0.5342
1
0.1972
0.6315
0.7856
0.976
0.6153
0.7547
0.1294
0.0892
1
0.2116
1.1843
0.8
0.2
1
2
1
0.5616
0.4917
6.3999
0.6
1.913
8.083
1.1843
0.0394
0.3113
0.96
0.5547
0.5537
0.498
0.5869
0.7547
-2.941
9.0499
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:30 | 0.39090000 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:40 | 0.38912000 | -0.455% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 20:00:00 | 0.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 20:25:00 | 0.39169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 20:40:00 | 0.39169 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 21:20:00 | 0.40132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 21:35:00 | 0.39538 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 21:50:00 | 0.40094 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 22:30:00 | 0.40141 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 23:00:00 | 0.39808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 00:05:00 | 0.41183 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 02:15:00 | 0.39003 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 07:15:00 | 0.38356 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 08:30:00 | 0.38816 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 09:30:00 | 0.3835 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 10:00:00 | 0.38702 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 13:45:00 | 0.37577 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 16:15:00 | 0.37801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 16:45:00 | 0.37801 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 18:00:00 | 0.38847 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 00:00:00 | 0.41183 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 02:15:00 | 0.39003 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-26 02:00:00 | 0.34972 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-26 15:00:00 | 0.38702 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-26 22:00:00 | 0.36783 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-27 05:00:00 | 0.38279 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-27 14:00:00 | 0.38498 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-27 18:00:00 | 0.37585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-28 03:00:00 | 0.39462 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-28 13:00:00 | 0.37577 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-10-29 00:00:00 | 0.41183 | ↑ High |
| 2026-10-29 02:00:00 | 0.39167 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3909 | 0.3871 | 0.3984 | 1.97 | 0.2981 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3871 - 0.3909 = -0.0038
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3909 - 0.3984 = -0.0075
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0075 / -0.0038 = 1.9737
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 828.6015 | 100 | 2119.7275 | 8.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0038 = -2105.26
Taille de position USD = -2105.26 x 0.3909 = -822.95
Donc, tu peux acheter -2105.26 avec un stoploss a 0.3871
Avec un position size USD de -822.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2105.26 x -0.0038 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2105.26 x -0.0075 = 15.79
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.79$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.92 % | 15.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.97 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.9 $ | 1.92 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6319 % | 65 % | 17 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3909 | 0.3871 | 0.3984 | 1.97 | 0.2981 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3871 - 0.3909 = -0.0038
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3909 - 0.3984 = -0.0075
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0075 / -0.0038 = 1.9737
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(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.228% | 1.3R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 1.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.228% | 1.3R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 1.9× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.635% | 2.7R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 4.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.635% | 2.7R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 4.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.635% | 2.7R | -0.632% | 0.7R | 4.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.269% | 3.4R | -13.958% | 14.4R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.269% | 3.4R | -13.958% | 14.4R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.269% | 3.4R | -13.958% | 14.4R | 0.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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