Short Trade on CC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2247.92 CC at 0.0963$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08737 (9.24 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09982 (3.69 %)
Short Trade on CC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2247.92 CC at 0.0963$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08737 (9.24 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09982 (3.69 %)
Position
Entry 0.09627$
Qty 2247.9172 CC
Size 216.398$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08737 (+9.24%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.09982 (-3.69%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 2.51
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2529
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.64×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.81×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.23×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 29.2% |
| 1h | 10.4% |
| 4h | 4.2% |
| 24h | 12.5% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 20.8% | -0.25% |
| 4h | 12.5% | -3.76% |
| 24h | 16.7% | -3.46% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2164 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.68% · r3d: -1.16% · ema21_slope: -0.7048% · dist_ema21: -6.620% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3466 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.15% · rs_3d: -2.67% · beta_24h: 2.019 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3859 | rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: 0.197 · trend: -17.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3748 | ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 65.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.721% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3492 | r1h: -2.083% · r4h: -3.375% · r1d: -2.43% · r3d: -3.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0321% · dist_ema21: -2.119% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3893 | rs_1h: -0.724% · rs_4h: -1.694% · rs_1d: -1.26% · rs_3d: -3.54% · beta_24h: 2.566 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2337 | rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.240 · trend: -12.72% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5405 | ADX: 13.6 (weak) · Chop: 47.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3972 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.025% · r1d: 1.12% · r3d: -0.73% · ema21_slope: -0.0976% · dist_ema21: 0.231% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4317 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.706% · rs_1d: 0.58% · rs_3d: -2.24% · beta_24h: 1.816 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5854 | rvol_20: 1.40× · zscore_50: 0.752 · trend: 93.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5929 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 46.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.709% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -0.688% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -0.812% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -1.013% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.551% | 0.2R | -1.013% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.551% | 0.2R | -8.165% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.826% | 1.9R | -9.234% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.826% | 1.9R | -9.234% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.826% | 1.9R | -9.234% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.826% | 1.9R | -9.234% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.34 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.48 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.26 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.07 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
choppy 48% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.43 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.24% | -0.20 | 28/10 22:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444755
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.351 | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late 30b -1.0ATR | near -0.2ATR | — | 1.55 | 91% | ↓ -0.45 | above_value | -1.16 | — | #211887 | 0.34 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.93 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
|
|
4h
#444667
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.646 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 30% | early 2b 0.1ATR | — | near -0.7ATR | 1.40 | 66% | ↑ +0.74 | above_value | -1.16 | — | #211887 | 0.48 | range_high | -0.37% | -0.26 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:21
|
|
1h
anchor #445382
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.486 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
45%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid 5b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.49 | 76% | ↔ +0.09 | above_value | -2.39 | — | #212220 | 0.53 | bear_medium | -0.95% | -0.07 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:13
|
|
15m
#445450
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.282 | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
choppy 48% | late 12b -4.9ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.88 | 67% | ↔ +0.15 | above_value | -2.39 | — | #212220 | 0.43 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.24% | -0.20 |
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 22:19
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 30b | — | 6.002×ATR | p89 | -0.986×ATR | p66 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.938×ATR | p0 | +0.084×ATR | p5 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.693×ATR | p60 | -0.974×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 6.757×ATR | p90 | -4.891×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.10138
0.097923
0.0996515
1793131200
1793239200
1.9942
31
0.7759
1793235600
0.097923
0.7419
1
0.9558
1
1
8
6
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (29)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:22 | 0.09626600 | -0.004% |
| 2 | 22:32 | 0.09626600 | -0.004% |
| 3 | 22:42 | 0.09599100 | -0.29% |
| 4 | 22:51 | 0.09599100 | -0.29% |
| 5 | 23:00 | 0.09599100 | -0.29% |
| 6 | 23:12 | 0.09668600 | +0.432% |
| 7 | 23:21 | 0.09668600 | +0.432% |
| 8 | 23:31 | 0.09668600 | +0.432% |
| 9 | 23:40 | 0.09664900 | +0.394% |
| 10 | 23:50 | 0.09664900 | +0.394% |
| 11 | 23:59 | 0.09664900 | +0.394% |
| 12 | 00:12 | 0.09675000 | +0.499% |
| 13 | 00:22 | 0.09675000 | +0.499% |
| 14 | 00:31 | 0.09675000 | +0.499% |
| 15 | 00:41 | 0.09647000 | +0.208% |
| 16 | 00:50 | 0.09647000 | +0.208% |
| 17 | 00:59 | 0.09647000 | +0.208% |
| 18 | 01:10 | 0.09669200 | +0.438% |
| 19 | 01:19 | 0.09669200 | +0.438% |
| 20 | 01:29 | 0.09669200 | +0.438% |
| 21 | 01:39 | 0.09702200 | +0.781% |
| 22 | 01:49 | 0.09702200 | +0.781% |
| 23 | 01:58 | 0.09702200 | +0.781% |
| 24 | 02:11 | 0.09630500 | +0.036% |
| 25 | 02:22 | 0.09630500 | +0.036% |
| 26 | 02:32 | 0.09630500 | +0.036% |
| 27 | 02:42 | 0.09604100 | -0.238% |
| 28 | 02:51 | 0.09604100 | -0.238% |
| 29 | 03:01 | 0.09604100 | -0.238% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09627 | 0.09982 | 0.08737 | 2.51 | 0.08021 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09982 - 0.09627 = 0.00355
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09627 - 0.08737 = 0.0089
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.00355 = 2.507
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 216.398 | 100 | 2247.9172 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00355 = 2253.52
Taille de position USD = 2253.52 x 0.09627 = 216.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 2253.52 avec un stoploss a 0.09982
Avec un position size USD de 216.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2253.52 x 0.00355 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2253.52 x 0.0089 = 20.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.24 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.69 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.98 $ | -3.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.7841 % | 102.62 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09627 | 0.09982 | 0.08737 | 2.51 | 0.08021 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.09982 - 0.09627 = 0.00355
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09627 - 0.08737 = 0.0089
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.00355 = 2.507
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -0.688% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -0.812% | 0.2R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.530% | 0.1R | -1.013% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.551% | 0.2R | -1.013% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.551% | 0.2R | -8.165% | 2.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.826% | 1.9R | -9.234% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +6.826% | 1.9R | -9.234% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 432 |
| 48h | +6.826% | 1.9R | -9.234% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.826% | 1.9R | -9.234% | 2.5R | 0.7× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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