28 Oct 2026 at 22:22:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 2247.92 CC at 0.0963$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08737 (9.24 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09982 (3.69 %)

CC SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 28 Oct 2026 22:22 → 08:10 · 9 hours

Position

Entry 0.09627$

Qty 2247.9172 CC

Size 216.398$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.08737 (+9.24%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 0.09982 (-3.69%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 2.51

Status loss PnL -3.69% / -7.98$ MAE -8.16% MFE +0.55% 0.2R expires 29 Oct 10:21

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231586)
#49 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2529

Quality Score
0.474
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#49 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#49 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
78 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.69 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.64×ATR
4h clear 0.81×ATR
1d near -0.23×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 22:18
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

28/10 21:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7201
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

compression

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bear

0.90

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 7.6%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→-0.039
Δ 1h
▼-0.097
Δ 4h
▼-0.694
Δ 12h
▼-0.065
Δ 24h
▼-0.761

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.2%
1h 10.4%
4h 4.2%
24h 12.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 20.8% -0.25%
4h 12.5% -3.76%
24h 16.7% -3.46%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
75.0%
Expansion
75.0%
Tail ↑
+1.00
Tail ↓
+0.35
Dispersion : 0.239
Universe : 48 (-1 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -1 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 28/10 22:16 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2850
Score SMA
0.3178
Rank
#60 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0923
Rank Norm SMA
0.2019
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2164 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.68% · r3d: -1.16% · ema21_slope: -0.7048% · dist_ema21: -6.620%
Force Relative 25% 0.3466 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.15% · rs_3d: -2.67% · beta_24h: 2.019
Volume 20% 0.3859 rvol_20: 1.31× · zscore_50: 0.197 · trend: -17.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.3748 ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 65.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.721% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 22:00
Score brut
0.4735
Score SMA
0.5012
Rank
#49 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2529
Rank Norm SMA
0.4229
Calculé le
28/10/2026 22:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3492 r1h: -2.083% · r4h: -3.375% · r1d: -2.43% · r3d: -3.21% · ema21_slope: 0.0321% · dist_ema21: -2.119%
Force Relative 25% 0.3893 rs_1h: -0.724% · rs_4h: -1.694% · rs_1d: -1.26% · rs_3d: -3.54% · beta_24h: 2.566
Volume 20% 0.2337 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.240 · trend: -12.72%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5405 ADX: 13.6 (weak) · Chop: 47.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5331
Score SMA
0.4920
Rank
#27 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7231
Rank Norm SMA
0.5168
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3972 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.025% · r1d: 1.12% · r3d: -0.73% · ema21_slope: -0.0976% · dist_ema21: 0.231%
Force Relative 25% 0.4317 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.706% · rs_1d: 0.58% · rs_3d: -2.24% · beta_24h: 1.816
Volume 20% 0.5854 rvol_20: 1.40× · zscore_50: 0.752 · trend: 93.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5929 ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 46.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.709% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.688% (0.0036)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.530% 0.1R -0.688% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +0.530% 0.1R -0.812% 0.2R 0.7× 24
4h +0.530% 0.1R -1.013% 0.3R 0.5× 48
8h +0.551% 0.2R -1.013% 0.3R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +0.551% 0.2R -8.165% 2.2R 0.1× 144
24h +6.826% 1.9R -9.234% 2.5R 0.7× 288
36h +6.826% 1.9R -9.234% 2.5R 0.7× 432
48h +6.826% 1.9R -9.234% 2.5R 0.7× 576
72h +6.826% 1.9R -9.234% 2.5R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1332 min MAE in 822 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.8
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 37% late near -0.2ATR — 0.34 bull_high +4.55% -0.93 27/10 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 30% early — near -0.7ATR 0.48 range_high -0.37% -0.26 28/10 16:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high
45%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.53 bear_medium -0.95% -0.07 28/10 21:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high
57%
choppy 48% late near -0.5ATR — 0.43 bear_low_confirmed -1.24% -0.20 28/10 22:00
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444755
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.351 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 37% late 30b -1.0ATR near -0.2ATR — 1.55 91% ↓ -0.45 above_value -1.16 — #211887 0.34 bull_high +4.55% -0.93
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:26
4h
#444667
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.646 expansion_after_compression bear_high
55%
noisy_chop 30% early 2b 0.1ATR — near -0.7ATR 1.40 66% ↑ +0.74 above_value -1.16 — #211887 0.48 range_high -0.37% -0.26
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:21
1h anchor
#445382
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.486 volatile_reversal bear_high
45%
noisy_chop 42% mid 5b -1.0ATR — — 0.49 76% ↔ +0.09 above_value -2.39 — #212220 0.53 bear_medium -0.95% -0.07
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:13
15m
#445450
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.282 normal bear_high
57%
choppy 48% late 12b -4.9ATR near -0.5ATR — 0.88 67% ↔ +0.15 above_value -2.39 — #212220 0.43 bear_low_confirmed -1.24% -0.20
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 22:19
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 30b — 6.002×ATR p89 -0.986×ATR p66
4h ↑ up early 2b — 1.938×ATR p0 +0.084×ATR p5
1h ↓ down mid 5b — 2.693×ATR p60 -0.974×ATR p57
15m ↓ down late 12b — 6.757×ATR p90 -4.891×ATR p100

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.7759
  3. reason: down_bo width=1.99×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.09982485
  5. tp_price: 0.08736887
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.77593506308505
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-29T14:21:59.259034
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.77593506308505
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.0468
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0049
  15. micro_price : 0.09662059
  16. spread_pct : 0.16582
  17. mid_price : 0.09657
  18. bid_wall_price :
  19. bid_wall_size :
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.0982
  22. ask_wall_size : 354340
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.044
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.005
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7220
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.10138
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.097923
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.0996515
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793131200
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793239200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    1.9942
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    31
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7759
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793235600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.097923
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7419
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.9558
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    1
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    1
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    8
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    6
  59. regime : bear_high_confirmed
  60. atr_entry : 0.00173354
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.7419
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.9558

Signaux confirmants (29)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 22:22 0.09626600 -0.004%
2 22:32 0.09626600 -0.004%
3 22:42 0.09599100 -0.29%
4 22:51 0.09599100 -0.29%
5 23:00 0.09599100 -0.29%
6 23:12 0.09668600 +0.432%
7 23:21 0.09668600 +0.432%
8 23:31 0.09668600 +0.432%
9 23:40 0.09664900 +0.394%
10 23:50 0.09664900 +0.394%
11 23:59 0.09664900 +0.394%
12 00:12 0.09675000 +0.499%
13 00:22 0.09675000 +0.499%
14 00:31 0.09675000 +0.499%
15 00:41 0.09647000 +0.208%
16 00:50 0.09647000 +0.208%
17 00:59 0.09647000 +0.208%
18 01:10 0.09669200 +0.438%
19 01:19 0.09669200 +0.438%
20 01:29 0.09669200 +0.438%
21 01:39 0.09702200 +0.781%
22 01:49 0.09702200 +0.781%
23 01:58 0.09702200 +0.781%
24 02:11 0.09630500 +0.036%
25 02:22 0.09630500 +0.036%
26 02:32 0.09630500 +0.036%
27 02:42 0.09604100 -0.238%
28 02:51 0.09604100 -0.238%
29 03:01 0.09604100 -0.238%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7220ms Confidence avant OB : 78% → 78%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.047
avg -0.044 ± 0.005
OBI Top 10 0.005

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0966
Micro Price
0.0966
Spread
0.1658%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.0982
Size
354,340.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09627 0.09982 0.08737 2.51 0.08021
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09627
  • Stop Loss: 0.09982
  • Take Profit: 0.08737

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09982 - 0.09627 = 0.00355

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09627 - 0.08737 = 0.0089

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.00355 = 2.507

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
216.398 100 2247.9172 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00355

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00355 = 2253.52

Taille de position USD = 2253.52 x 0.09627 = 216.95

Donc, tu peux acheter 2253.52 avec un stoploss a 0.09982

Avec un position size USD de 216.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2253.52 x 0.00355 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2253.52 x 0.0089 = 20.06

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.06$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2253.52
  • Taille de position USD 216.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.06
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.507

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
9.24 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.69 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-7.98 $ -3.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.7841 % 102.62 % 20
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09627 0.09982 0.08737 2.51 0.08021
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09627
  • Stop Loss: 0.09982
  • Take Profit: 0.08737

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09982 - 0.09627 = 0.00355

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09627 - 0.08737 = 0.0089

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0089 / 0.00355 = 2.507

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.688% (0.0036)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.530% 0.1R -0.688% 0.2R 0.8× 12
2h +0.530% 0.1R -0.812% 0.2R 0.7× 24
4h +0.530% 0.1R -1.013% 0.3R 0.5× 48
8h +0.551% 0.2R -1.013% 0.3R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +0.551% 0.2R -8.165% 2.2R 0.1× 144
24h +6.826% 1.9R -9.234% 2.5R 0.7× 288
36h +6.826% 1.9R -9.234% 2.5R 0.7× 432
48h +6.826% 1.9R -9.234% 2.5R 0.7× 576
72h +6.826% 1.9R -9.234% 2.5R 0.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1332 min MAE in 822 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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