Short Trade on TIA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 673.25 TIA at 0.527$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4969 (5.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5385 (2.26 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 23:08:15
hyperliquid
TIA
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 23:08
→ 08:30
· 9 hours
Position
Entry 0.5266$
Qty 673.2545 TIA
Size 354.5493$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.4969 (+5.64%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.5385 (-2.26%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.26%
/ -8.01$
MAE -4.30%
MFE +2.61%
1.2R
expires
29 Oct 11:08
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231622)
#44 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 23:00
score du 28/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6871
Quality Score
0.501
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
79 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.26 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.31×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.67×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.50×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 23:00
28/10 23:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 28/10 21:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7204
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
6.7%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
→-0.049
Δ 4h
▼-0.706
Δ 12h
→-0.017
Δ 24h
▼-0.763
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 96.0% |
| 1h | 12.0% |
| 4h | 4.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 96.0% | +0.19% |
| 4h | 10.0% | -4.35% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
80.0%
Expansion
80.0%
Tail ↑
+0.92
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.239
Universe :
50
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 23:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4838
Score SMA
0.4296
Rank
#9
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8769
Rank Norm SMA
0.7715
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6221 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.00% · r3d: 3.96% · ema21_slope: 0.1510% · dist_ema21: 0.215% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6314 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.47% · rs_3d: 2.45% · beta_24h: 1.418 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1888 | rvol_20: 0.29× · zscore_50: -0.367 · trend: -40.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6771 | ADX: 31.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.101% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5007
Score SMA
0.4731
Rank
#44
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6871
Rank Norm SMA
0.2894
Calculé le
28/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4064 | r1h: -0.960% · r4h: -5.211% · r1d: -1.96% · r3d: -1.50% · ema21_slope: 0.0788% · dist_ema21: -2.848% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3616 | rs_1h: -0.910% · rs_4h: -3.588% · rs_1d: -0.73% · rs_3d: -1.99% · beta_24h: 1.777 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4466 | rvol_20: 1.23× · zscore_50: 0.470 · trend: 23.27% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6605 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 33.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.878% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5788
Score SMA
0.3767
Rank
#14
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5692
Rank Norm SMA
0.1305
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4881 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.473% · r1d: 3.00% · r3d: 3.96% · ema21_slope: -0.0403% · dist_ema21: 2.243% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5205 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.155% · rs_1d: 2.47% · rs_3d: 2.45% · beta_24h: 1.213 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6757 | rvol_20: 2.67× · zscore_50: 1.190 · trend: -13.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4608 | ADX: 16.1 (weak) · Chop: 59.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9799 | ATR%: 3.060% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.260%
(0.0119)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.995% | 0.4R | -0.425% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.995% | 0.4R | -1.295% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.609% | 1.2R | -2.165% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.609% | 1.2R | -2.165% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.609% | 1.2R | -4.299% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +16.521% | 7.3R | -5.171% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +16.521% | 7.3R | -5.171% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +16.521% | 7.3R | -5.171% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 575 |
| 72h | +16.521% | 7.3R | -5.171% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1271 min
MAE in 806 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.56
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.77 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.48 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.21 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.29 | bear_medium | -0.95% | +0.07 | 28/10 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.50 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.14% | -0.42 | 28/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444669
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.563 | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early 11b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.29 | 81% | ↓ -0.69 | value | +2.36 | — | #211856 | 0.58 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.77 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:22
|
|
4h
#444552
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.488 | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 25b 0.7ATR | near -0.7ATR | — | 2.67 | 74% | ↔ -0.09 | value | +2.36 | — | #211856 | 0.48 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.21 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor #445351
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.800 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 4b -1.0ATR | near -0.3ATR | — | 0.51 | 37% | ↑ +0.72 | above_value | -0.29 | — | #212189 | 0.29 | bear_medium | -0.95% | +0.07 |
28/10 21:00
upd 28/10 22:11
|
|
15m
#445630
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.299 | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 17b -2.7ATR | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.37 | 47% | ↑ +0.25 | above_value | -0.29 | — | #212189 | 0.50 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.14% | -0.42 |
28/10 22:45
upd 28/10 23:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 3.823×ATR | p44 | +0.019×ATR | p1 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 25b | — | 2.173×ATR | p4 | +0.747×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 4.01×ATR | p88 | -1.049×ATR | p64 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.925×ATR | p97 | -2.655×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7851
- reason: down_bo width=1.85×ATR dur=60b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.53850258
- tp_price: 0.49691356
- atr:
- score: 0.78511223488649
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T15:08:07.714935
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.78511223488649
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0261
- obi_top10 : -0.0018
- micro_price : 0.52498601
- spread_pct : 0.019051
- mid_price : 0.52495
- bid_wall_price : 0.522
- bid_wall_size : 336821.8
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.528
- ask_wall_size : 333951.14
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0199
- obi_top5_std : 0.006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6841
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.54626
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.528865
- balance_zone_mid:
0.5375625
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793030400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793242800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.8504
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
60
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7851
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793239200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.528865
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.65
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.2388
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
14
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00940078 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
60
inside_close_ratio
0.65
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.2388
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:08 | 0.52662000 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 23:18 | 0.52662000 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 23:27 | 0.52662000 | +0.004% |
| 4 | 23:37 | 0.52431000 | -0.435% |
| 5 | 23:46 | 0.52431000 | -0.435% |
| 6 | 23:55 | 0.52431000 | -0.435% |
| 7 | 00:07 | 0.52743000 | +0.158% |
| 8 | 00:18 | 0.52743000 | +0.158% |
| 9 | 00:27 | 0.52743000 | +0.158% |
| 10 | 00:37 | 0.52553000 | -0.203% |
| 11 | 00:46 | 0.52553000 | -0.203% |
| 12 | 00:55 | 0.52553000 | -0.203% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6841ms
Confidence avant OB :
79%
→
79%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.026
avg -0.020
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
-0.002
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.5250
Micro Price
0.5250
Spread
0.0191%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.5220
Size
336,821.80
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.5280
Size
333,951.14
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5266 | 0.5385 | 0.4969 | 2.5 | 0.3469 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5266
- Stop Loss: 0.5385
- Take Profit: 0.4969
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5385 - 0.5266 = 0.0119
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5266 - 0.4969 = 0.0297
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0297 / 0.0119 = 2.4958
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 354.5493 | 100 | 673.2545 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0119
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0119 = 672.27
Taille de position USD = 672.27 x 0.5266 = 354.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 672.27 avec un stoploss a 0.5385
Avec un position size USD de 354.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 672.27 x 0.0119 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 672.27 x 0.0297 = 19.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.97$
Résumé
- Taille de position 672.27
- Taille de position USD 354.02
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.97
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4958
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.64 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.26 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -2.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5788 % | 114.12 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5266 | 0.5385 | 0.4969 | 2.5 | 0.3469 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.5266
- Stop Loss: 0.5385
- Take Profit: 0.4969
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5385 - 0.5266 = 0.0119
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5266 - 0.4969 = 0.0297
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0297 / 0.0119 = 2.4958
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.260%
(0.0119)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.995% | 0.4R | -0.425% | 0.2R | 2.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.995% | 0.4R | -1.295% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.609% | 1.2R | -2.165% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.609% | 1.2R | -2.165% | 1.0R | 1.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.609% | 1.2R | -4.299% | 1.9R | 0.6× | 143 |
| 24h | +16.521% | 7.3R | -5.171% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +16.521% | 7.3R | -5.171% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +16.521% | 7.3R | -5.171% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 575 |
| 72h | +16.521% | 7.3R | -5.171% | 2.3R | 3.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1271 min
MAE in 806 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.