Short Trade on INJ (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 26.5 INJ at 7.606$ per unit. Take profit: 6.8508 (9.92 %) & Stop Loss: 7.9075 (3.97 %)
28 Oct 2026 at 23:14:49
hyperliquid
INJ
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
28 Oct 2026 23:14
→ 06:30
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 7.6056$
Qty 26.4973 INJ
Size 201.528$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 6.8508 (+9.92%)
TP $ 20$
SL 7.9075 (-3.97%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.97%
/ -8$
MAE -7.41%
MFE +1.17%
0.3R
expires
29 Oct 11:14
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231607)
#28 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 28/10/2026 23:00
score du 28/10/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6333
Quality Score
0.544
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#28 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#28 / 66
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.43×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.16×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.97×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
2.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
28/10 23:00
28/10 23:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 28/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 28/10 22:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7204
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
6.7%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
bearish
Leadership
btc_leading
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
stable
Δ 15m
→-0.003
Δ 1h
→-0.049
Δ 4h
▼-0.706
Δ 12h
→-0.017
Δ 24h
▼-0.763
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 96.0% |
| 1h | 12.0% |
| 4h | 4.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 96.0% | +0.19% |
| 4h | 10.0% | -4.35% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.86% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
80.0%
Expansion
80.0%
Tail ↑
+0.92
Tail ↓
+0.51
Dispersion :
0.239
Universe :
50
(+2 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+2 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
28/10 23:01
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4319
Score SMA
0.4078
Rank
#13
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8154
Rank Norm SMA
0.7218
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6087 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.30% · r3d: 3.57% · ema21_slope: 0.2212% · dist_ema21: 1.921% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5770 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 1.77% · rs_3d: 2.05% · beta_24h: 3.065 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1578 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.855 · trend: -38.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4900 | ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 57.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.5439
Score SMA
0.5034
Rank
#28
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6333
Rank Norm SMA
0.4272
Calculé le
28/10/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3600 | r1h: -2.347% · r4h: -7.296% · r1d: -4.41% · r3d: -1.28% · ema21_slope: -0.0074% · dist_ema21: -4.426% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2315 | rs_1h: -2.297% · rs_4h: -5.673% · rs_1d: -3.19% · rs_3d: -1.77% · beta_24h: 2.215 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8703 | rvol_20: 2.98× · zscore_50: 1.709 · trend: 69.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6932 | ADX: 23.2 (weak) · Chop: 31.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.893% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5228
Score SMA
0.4373
Rank
#33
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3462
Rank Norm SMA
0.3382
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6112 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.081% · r1d: 2.30% · r3d: 3.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0776% · dist_ema21: 2.552% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5542 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.400% · rs_1d: 1.77% · rs_3d: 2.05% · beta_24h: 2.686 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2419 | rvol_20: 0.90× · zscore_50: -0.386 · trend: -47.28% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3655 | ADX: 12.9 (weak) · Chop: 68.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9764 | ATR%: 3.071% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.969%
(0.3019)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.166% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.166% | 0.3R | -1.203% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.166% | 0.3R | -1.542% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.166% | 0.3R | -5.439% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.166% | 0.3R | -7.412% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.730% | 2.2R | -7.719% | 1.9R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.730% | 2.2R | -7.719% | 1.9R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +9.830% | 2.5R | -7.719% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.830% | 2.5R | -7.719% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1265 min
MAE in 825 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.98
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.96 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.49 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.44 | 28/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.56 | bear_medium_confirmed | -0.98% | -0.37 | 28/10 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
choppy 54% | late | — | — | 0.62 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.14% | -0.49 | 28/10 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444608
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.475 | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 7b 0.2ATR | — | — | 0.26 | 52% | ↓ -0.37 | above_value | +1.40 | — | #211841 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.96 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:18
|
|
4h
#444522
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.648 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 1b 0.8ATR | — | — | 0.90 | 38% | ↓ -0.50 | above_value | +1.40 | — | #211841 | 0.49 | range_high | -0.37% | +0.44 |
28/10 16:00
upd 28/10 20:13
|
|
1h
anchor #445686
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.516 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
46%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late 3b -2.3ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | 2.98 | 87% | ↑ +0.71 | below_value | -2.76 | — | #212312 | 0.56 | bear_medium_confirmed | -0.98% | -0.37 |
28/10 22:00
upd 28/10 23:09
|
|
15m
#445614
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.277 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
choppy 54% | late 14b -3.9ATR | — | — | 1.11 | 81% | ↑ +0.80 | value | -1.59 | — | #212174 | 0.62 | bear_low_confirmed | -1.14% | -0.49 |
28/10 22:45
upd 28/10 23:00
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.799×ATR | p0 | +0.205×ATR | p13 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 1b | — | 1.811×ATR | p0 | +0.832×ATR | p56 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 4.407×ATR | p81 | -2.343×ATR | p96 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 8.1×ATR | p100 | -3.947×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8094
- reason: down_bo width=2.94×ATR dur=61b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 7.90751742
- tp_price: 6.85080644
- atr:
- score: 0.80938876779162
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T15:14:41.157682
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80938876779162
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1787
- obi_top10 : 0.0103
- micro_price : 7.55110602
- spread_pct : 0.026487
- mid_price : 7.552
- bid_wall_price : 7.53
- bid_wall_size : 28713.02
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 7.58
- ask_wall_size : 35989
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0499
- obi_top5_std : 0.1805
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7050
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
8.09435
- balance_zone_bottom:
7.6934
- balance_zone_mid:
7.893875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793026800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793242800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.939
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
61
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8094
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793239200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
7.6934
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8525
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6436
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
13
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
3
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.13642425 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
61
inside_close_ratio
0.8525
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6436
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:14 | 7.60560000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:24 | 7.60560000 | 0% |
| 3 | 23:34 | 7.55090000 | -0.719% |
| 4 | 23:43 | 7.55090000 | -0.719% |
| 5 | 23:52 | 7.55090000 | -0.719% |
| 6 | 00:03 | 7.55090000 | -0.719% |
| 7 | 00:34 | 7.56580000 | -0.523% |
| 8 | 00:44 | 7.56580000 | -0.523% |
| 9 | 00:52 | 7.56580000 | -0.523% |
| 10 | 01:03 | 7.56580000 | -0.523% |
| 11 | 01:42 | 7.68890000 | +1.095% |
| 12 | 01:51 | 7.68890000 | +1.095% |
| 13 | 02:01 | 7.68890000 | +1.095% |
| 14 | 02:36 | 7.67390000 | +0.898% |
| 15 | 02:44 | 7.67390000 | +0.898% |
| 16 | 02:54 | 7.67390000 | +0.898% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7050ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.179
avg 0.050
± 0.181
OBI Top 10
0.010
Microstructure
Mid Price
7.5520
Micro Price
7.5511
Spread
0.0265%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
7.5300
Size
28,713.02
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
7.5800
Size
35,989.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6056 | 7.9075 | 6.8508 | 2.5 | 6.9479 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 7.6056
- Stop Loss: 7.9075
- Take Profit: 6.8508
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.9075 - 7.6056 = 0.3019
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 7.6056 - 6.8508 = 0.7548
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7548 / 0.3019 = 2.5002
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201.528 | 100 | 26.4973 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.3019
Taille de position = 8 / 0.3019 = 26.5
Taille de position USD = 26.5 x 7.6056 = 201.55
Donc, tu peux acheter 26.5 avec un stoploss a 7.9075
Avec un position size USD de 201.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 26.5 x 0.3019 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 26.5 x 0.7548 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 26.5
- Taille de position USD 201.55
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5002
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.92 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.97 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.97 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.0865 % | 102.95 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6056 | 7.9075 | 6.8508 | 2.5 | 6.9479 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 7.6056
- Stop Loss: 7.9075
- Take Profit: 6.8508
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.9075 - 7.6056 = 0.3019
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 7.6056 - 6.8508 = 0.7548
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7548 / 0.3019 = 2.5002
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.969%
(0.3019)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.166% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.166% | 0.3R | -1.203% | 0.3R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.166% | 0.3R | -1.542% | 0.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.166% | 0.3R | -5.439% | 1.4R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.166% | 0.3R | -7.412% | 1.9R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.730% | 2.2R | -7.719% | 1.9R | 1.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +8.730% | 2.2R | -7.719% | 1.9R | 1.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +9.830% | 2.5R | -7.719% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.830% | 2.5R | -7.719% | 1.9R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1265 min
MAE in 825 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
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