Short Trade on PYTH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2905.7 PYTH at 0.0705$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06365 (9.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07329 (3.91 %)
Short Trade on PYTH (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2905.7 PYTH at 0.0705$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06365 (9.75 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07329 (3.91 %)
Position
Entry 0.07053$
Qty 2905.6992 PYTH
Size 204.9477$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06365 (+9.75%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.07329 (-3.91%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 2.49
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6044
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.44×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.53×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.08×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
bear
0.90 |
expansion
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 78.0% |
| 1h | 74.0% |
| 4h | 6.0% |
| 24h | 10.0% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 76.0% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 14.0% | -3.22% |
| 24h | 16.0% | -3.28% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3962 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.93% · r3d: -1.77% · ema21_slope: -0.3319% · dist_ema21: -2.699% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4293 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.40% · rs_3d: -3.28% · beta_24h: -0.168 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2006 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.246 · trend: -37.25% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6879 | ADX: 29.0 (trend) · Chop: 44.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3277 | r1h: 0.094% · r4h: -4.868% · r1d: -3.63% · r3d: -5.19% · ema21_slope: -0.0111% · dist_ema21: -2.542% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3253 | rs_1h: -0.396% · rs_4h: -3.823% · rs_1d: -2.72% · rs_3d: -5.34% · beta_24h: 1.801 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2935 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.229 · trend: 31.62% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6782 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.619% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2651 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.750% · r1d: -3.90% · r3d: -4.88% · ema21_slope: -0.0832% · dist_ema21: -3.474% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3392 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.929% · rs_1d: -2.33% · rs_3d: -5.22% · beta_24h: 2.147 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6944 | rvol_20: 2.22× · zscore_50: 1.232 · trend: 52.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4086 | ADX: 14.7 (weak) · Chop: 64.7 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9187 | ATR%: 3.244% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.187% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.601% | 0.4R | -1.187% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.645% | 0.4R | -1.187% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.914% | 0.5R | -7.173% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.914% | 0.5R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +16.878% | 4.3R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +16.878% | 4.3R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +16.878% | 4.3R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 2.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +16.878% | 4.3R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 2.0× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.55 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.12 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | range_low | -0.60% | -0.33 | 29/10 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444694
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.702 | normal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 13b -0.3ATR | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.47 | 83% | ↓ -0.55 | above_value | -0.67 | — | #211862 | 0.57 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.73 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:23
|
|
4h
#446107
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.411 | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid 1b -1.2ATR | near -0.5ATR | — | 2.22 | 80% | ↓ -0.29 | below_value | -3.55 | — | #212476 | 0.51 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.55 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #446511
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.400 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 7b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.19 | 34% | ↑ +0.85 | below_value | -3.58 | — | #212689 | 0.58 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.12 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 01:10
|
|
15m
#446439
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | grind | 0.359 | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 51% | mid 5b -1.4ATR | — | — | 0.04 | 17% | ↔ -0.14 | below_value | -3.55 | — | #212476 | 0.62 | range_low | -0.60% | -0.33 |
29/10 00:45
upd 29/10 01:02
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 13b | — | 3.974×ATR | p50 | -0.268×ATR | p15 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.977×ATR | p0 | -1.23×ATR | p69 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.9×ATR | p77 | -1.406×ATR | p67 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 1.123×ATR | p3 | -1.4×ATR | p66 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.07467
0.071687
0.0731785
1793059200
1793250000
2.7693
54
0.7734
1793235600
0.071687
0.7963
4
1.0713
0
2
8
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (21)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:16 | 0.07053300 | +0.004% |
| 2 | 01:25 | 0.07053300 | +0.004% |
| 3 | 01:36 | 0.07109100 | +0.795% |
| 4 | 01:45 | 0.07109100 | +0.795% |
| 5 | 01:54 | 0.07109100 | +0.795% |
| 6 | 02:07 | 0.07109100 | +0.795% |
| 7 | 02:18 | 0.07091100 | +0.54% |
| 8 | 02:28 | 0.07091100 | +0.54% |
| 9 | 02:39 | 0.07060600 | +0.108% |
| 10 | 02:48 | 0.07060600 | +0.108% |
| 11 | 02:57 | 0.07060600 | +0.108% |
| 12 | 03:08 | 0.07018100 | -0.495% |
| 13 | 03:18 | 0.07018100 | -0.495% |
| 14 | 03:28 | 0.07018100 | -0.495% |
| 15 | 04:41 | 0.07017900 | -0.498% |
| 16 | 04:50 | 0.07017900 | -0.498% |
| 17 | 04:59 | 0.07017900 | -0.498% |
| 18 | 06:39 | 0.07023700 | -0.415% |
| 19 | 06:48 | 0.07023700 | -0.415% |
| 20 | 06:57 | 0.07023700 | -0.415% |
| 21 | 07:08 | 0.07044000 | -0.128% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07053 | 0.07329 | 0.06365 | 2.49 | 0.05586 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07329 - 0.07053 = 0.00276
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07053 - 0.06365 = 0.00688
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00688 / 0.00276 = 2.4928
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 204.9477 | 100 | 2905.6992 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00276 = 2898.55
Taille de position USD = 2898.55 x 0.07053 = 204.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 2898.55 avec un stoploss a 0.07329
Avec un position size USD de 204.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2898.55 x 0.00276 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2898.55 x 0.00688 = 19.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.75 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.91 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -3.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -7.1728 % | 183.3 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07053 | 0.07329 | 0.06365 | 2.49 | 0.05586 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07329 - 0.07053 = 0.00276
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07053 - 0.06365 = 0.00688
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00688 / 0.00276 = 2.4928
Array
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)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.187% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.601% | 0.4R | -1.187% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.645% | 0.4R | -1.187% | 0.3R | 1.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.914% | 0.5R | -7.173% | 1.8R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.914% | 0.5R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 0.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +16.878% | 4.3R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +16.878% | 4.3R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +16.878% | 4.3R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 2.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +16.878% | 4.3R | -8.296% | 2.1R | 2.0× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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