Short Trade on ZRO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 125.2 ZRO at 1.661$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5009 (9.62 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7245 (3.85 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 01:34:54
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 01:34
→ 08:30
· 6 hours
Position
Entry 1.6606$
Qty 125.2016 ZRO
Size 207.9097$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5009 (+9.62%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 1.7245 (-3.85%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.85%
/ -8$
MAE -8.39%
MFE +3.36%
0.9R
expires
29 Oct 13:34
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231830)
#34 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2472
Quality Score
0.483
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#34 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#34 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.65×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.29×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
8.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 01:30
29/10 01:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7214
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
41.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.340
Δ 4h
▲+0.240
Δ 12h
▲+0.056
Δ 24h
▼-0.087
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 34.0% |
| 1h | 96.0% |
| 4h | 66.0% |
| 24h | 18.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.0% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 46.0% | +0.32% |
| 24h | 24.0% | -2.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.0%
Tail ↑
+0.32
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion :
0.100
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 01:31
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3512
Score SMA
0.3756
Rank
#31
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5385
Rank Norm SMA
0.6218
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4054 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.33% · r3d: -3.58% · ema21_slope: -0.3856% · dist_ema21: -6.045% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4552 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.80% · rs_3d: -5.09% · beta_24h: 1.832 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1675 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.662 · trend: -41.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5486 | ADX: 24.7 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.610% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.4825
Score SMA
0.4783
Rank
#34
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2472
Rank Norm SMA
0.3064
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3535 | r1h: 0.937% · r4h: -2.664% · r1d: -4.83% · r3d: -3.71% · ema21_slope: -0.1085% · dist_ema21: -2.768% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4036 | rs_1h: 0.448% · rs_4h: -1.620% · rs_1d: -3.92% · rs_3d: -3.87% · beta_24h: 2.368 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3618 | rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: 0.183 · trend: 10.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6878 | ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 37.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.083% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3154
Score SMA
0.3741
Rank
#67
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0371
Rank Norm SMA
0.1144
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1916 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.635% · r1d: -6.98% · r3d: -3.76% · ema21_slope: -0.0544% · dist_ema21: -4.842% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2692 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.813% · rs_1d: -5.42% · rs_3d: -4.10% · beta_24h: 2.647 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3285 | rvol_20: 1.12× · zscore_50: -0.176 · trend: -19.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4410 | ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5877 | ATR%: 4.237% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.848%
(0.0639)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.246% | 0.6R | -0.114% | 0.0R | 19.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.360% | 0.9R | -0.114% | 0.0R | 29.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.360% | 0.9R | -0.114% | 0.0R | 29.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.360% | 0.9R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.360% | 0.9R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.477% | 3.8R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +14.477% | 3.8R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 432 |
| 48h | +14.477% | 3.8R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.477% | 3.8R | -13.911% | 3.6R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1150 min
MAE in 445 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.51
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.89 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | near -1.3ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.69 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.58 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.43 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | -0.43% | -0.14 | 29/10 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444656
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.537 | compression | bull_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 16b -0.5ATR | — | — | 0.44 | 80% | ↓ -0.50 | above_value | +0.35 | — | #211853 | 0.41 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.89 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:21
|
|
4h
#446089
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.656 | expansion | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid 1b -1.3ATR | near -1.3ATR | — | 1.12 | 33% | ↔ +0.09 | below_value | -2.12 | — | #212467 | 0.39 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.69 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:14
|
|
1h
anchor #446502
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.576 | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 8b -1.2ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.93 | 54% | ↑ +0.42 | below_value | -1.49 | inside | #212680 | 0.58 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.43 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 01:09
|
|
15m
#446648
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.343 | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 8b 0.8ATR | — | — | 3.20 | 96% | ↑ +0.42 | below_value | -1.49 | — | #212680 | 0.58 | range_low | -0.43% | -0.14 |
29/10 01:15
upd 29/10 01:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 4×ATR | p28 | -0.538×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 2.287×ATR | p6 | -1.314×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.162×ATR | p82 | -1.223×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.284×ATR | p62 | +0.808×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8158
- reason: down_bo width=2.68×ATR dur=33b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.72449696
- tp_price: 1.50085761
- atr:
- score: 0.8157634473742
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T17:34:46.510587
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8157634473742
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0379
- obi_top10 : 0.0282
- micro_price : 1.65466552
- spread_pct : 0.018132
- mid_price : 1.65465
- bid_wall_price : 1.65
- bid_wall_size : 139675.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.66
- ask_wall_size : 166544.6
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0157
- obi_top5_std : 0.0202
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6890
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.7666
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.6756
- balance_zone_mid:
1.7211
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793134800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793250000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6789
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
33
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8158
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.6756
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8182
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4416
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.03396957 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
33
inside_close_ratio
0.8182
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4416
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:34 | 1.66060000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:44 | 1.66060000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:53 | 1.66060000 | 0% |
| 4 | 02:05 | 1.66060000 | 0% |
| 5 | 02:17 | 1.64080000 | -1.192% |
| 6 | 02:27 | 1.64080000 | -1.192% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6890ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.038
avg 0.016
± 0.020
OBI Top 10
0.028
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.6547
Micro Price
1.6547
Spread
0.0181%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.6500
Size
139,675.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.6600
Size
166,544.60
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6606 | 1.7245 | 1.5009 | 2.5 | 1.4536 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6606
- Stop Loss: 1.7245
- Take Profit: 1.5009
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7245 - 1.6606 = 0.0639
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6606 - 1.5009 = 0.1597
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1597 / 0.0639 = 2.4992
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 207.9097 | 100 | 125.2016 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0639
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0639 = 125.2
Taille de position USD = 125.2 x 1.6606 = 207.91
Donc, tu peux acheter 125.2 avec un stoploss a 1.7245
Avec un position size USD de 207.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 125.2 x 0.0639 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 125.2 x 0.1597 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position 125.2
- Taille de position USD 207.91
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4992
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.62 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.85 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.85 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.7513 % | 123.47 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6606 | 1.7245 | 1.5009 | 2.5 | 1.4536 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.6606
- Stop Loss: 1.7245
- Take Profit: 1.5009
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7245 - 1.6606 = 0.0639
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6606 - 1.5009 = 0.1597
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1597 / 0.0639 = 2.4992
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.848%
(0.0639)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.246% | 0.6R | -0.114% | 0.0R | 19.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +3.360% | 0.9R | -0.114% | 0.0R | 29.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.360% | 0.9R | -0.114% | 0.0R | 29.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.360% | 0.9R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.360% | 0.9R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.477% | 3.8R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +14.477% | 3.8R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 432 |
| 48h | +14.477% | 3.8R | -8.395% | 2.2R | 1.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.477% | 3.8R | -13.911% | 3.6R | 1.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1150 min
MAE in 445 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.