Short Trade on APT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 539.59 APT at 0.675$ per unit. Take profit: 0.6378 (5.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6897 (2.19 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 01:43:24
hyperliquid
APT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 01:43
→ 10:35
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 0.6749$
Qty 539.5875 APT
Size 364.1676$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.6378 (+5.5%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.6897 (-2.19%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-2.19%
/ -7.99$
MAE -4.80%
MFE +3.87%
1.8R
expires
29 Oct 13:43
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231824)
#57 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3373
Quality Score
0.444
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#57 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#57 / 70
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.19 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 4.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.10×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 01:30
29/10 01:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 00:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7214
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
41.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.340
Δ 4h
▲+0.240
Δ 12h
▲+0.056
Δ 24h
▼-0.087
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 34.0% |
| 1h | 96.0% |
| 4h | 66.0% |
| 24h | 18.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.0% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 46.0% | +0.32% |
| 24h | 24.0% | -2.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.0%
Tail ↑
+0.32
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion :
0.100
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 01:31
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2910
Score SMA
0.2957
Rank
#56
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1538
Rank Norm SMA
0.2693
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3299 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.55% · r3d: -0.24% · ema21_slope: -0.5510% · dist_ema21: -7.746% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3598 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: -1.75% · beta_24h: 2.929 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1369 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -1.076 · trend: -43.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4982 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.4438
Score SMA
0.4844
Rank
#57
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3373
Rank Norm SMA
0.3314
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3172 | r1h: 0.393% · r4h: -4.543% · r1d: -4.42% · r3d: -5.51% · ema21_slope: -0.0500% · dist_ema21: -3.138% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3320 | rs_1h: -0.097% · rs_4h: -3.498% · rs_1d: -3.51% · rs_3d: -5.66% · beta_24h: 2.229 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3059 | rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.174 · trend: 5.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6967 | ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 27.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.647% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3920
Score SMA
0.4258
Rank
#58
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2023
Rank Norm SMA
0.2700
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1570 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.501% · r1d: -5.28% · r3d: -4.64% · ema21_slope: -0.1724% · dist_ema21: -5.156% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2539 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.680% · rs_1d: -3.72% · rs_3d: -4.98% · beta_24h: 2.308 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3882 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.090 · trend: -9.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6916 | ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 49.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.990% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.193%
(0.0148)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.134% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.867% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.867% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.867% | 1.8R | -1.259% | 0.6R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.867% | 1.8R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.713% | 6.7R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 3.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +14.713% | 6.7R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 3.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +14.713% | 6.7R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 3.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.713% | 6.7R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 3.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1116 min
MAE in 621 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.93
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.43 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.52 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.70 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.26 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 51% | early | — | — | 0.72 | range_low | -0.43% | -0.26 | 29/10 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444636
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.586 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 17b -1.0ATR | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.45 | 50% | ↓ -0.66 | above_value | +0.35 | — | #211848 | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.43 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#446077
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.749 | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 1b -1.9ATR | — | — | 1.30 | 43% | ↔ +0.04 | above_value | -3.09 | — | #212461 | 0.53 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.52 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #446496
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.389 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 8b -1.7ATR | — | — | 0.77 | 56% | ↑ +0.26 | below_value | -2.92 | inside | #212674 | 0.70 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.26 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 01:09
|
|
15m
#446642
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.358 | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 51% | early 9b 0.3ATR | — | — | 0.27 | 48% | ↓ -0.34 | below_value | -2.92 | — | #212674 | 0.72 | range_low | -0.43% | -0.26 |
29/10 01:15
upd 29/10 01:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 4.273×ATR | p65 | -1.016×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 3.009×ATR | p31 | -1.941×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 5.203×ATR | p94 | -1.668×ATR | p77 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.325×ATR | p20 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8235
- reason: down_bo width=2.42×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.68972614
- tp_price: 0.63783464
- atr:
- score: 0.82352689794272
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T17:43:16.929046
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.82352689794272
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0052
- obi_top10 : 0.1173
- micro_price : 0.6727155
- spread_pct : 0.029731
- mid_price : 0.6728
- bid_wall_price : 0.665
- bid_wall_size : 487351.539
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0113
- obi_top5_std : 0.0038
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7034
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.70195
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.6753
- balance_zone_mid:
0.688625
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793109600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793250000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4202
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8235
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.6753
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.775
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0363
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.01101143 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.775
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0363
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:43 | 0.67490000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:52 | 0.67490000 | 0% |
| 3 | 02:04 | 0.67490000 | 0% |
| 4 | 02:15 | 0.66870000 | -0.919% |
| 5 | 02:26 | 0.66870000 | -0.919% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7034ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.005
avg 0.011
± 0.004
OBI Top 10
0.117
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6728
Micro Price
0.6727
Spread
0.0297%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.6650
Size
487,351.54
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6749 | 0.6897 | 0.6378 | 2.51 | 0.4561 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6749
- Stop Loss: 0.6897
- Take Profit: 0.6378
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6897 - 0.6749 = 0.0148
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6749 - 0.6378 = 0.0371
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0371 / 0.0148 = 2.5068
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 364.1676 | 100 | 539.5875 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0148
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0148 = 540.54
Taille de position USD = 540.54 x 0.6749 = 364.81
Donc, tu peux acheter 540.54 avec un stoploss a 0.6897
Avec un position size USD de 364.81$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 540.54 x 0.0148 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 540.54 x 0.0371 = 20.05
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.05$
Résumé
- Taille de position 540.54
- Taille de position USD 364.81
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.05
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5068
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.5 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.19 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -2.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6226 % | 119.6 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6749 | 0.6897 | 0.6378 | 2.51 | 0.4561 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6749
- Stop Loss: 0.6897
- Take Profit: 0.6378
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6897 - 0.6749 = 0.0148
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6749 - 0.6378 = 0.0371
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0371 / 0.0148 = 2.5068
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.193%
(0.0148)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.134% | 1.0R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +3.867% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +3.867% | 1.8R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +3.867% | 1.8R | -1.259% | 0.6R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.867% | 1.8R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.713% | 6.7R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 3.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +14.713% | 6.7R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 3.1× | 432 |
| 48h | +14.713% | 6.7R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 3.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +14.713% | 6.7R | -4.801% | 2.2R | 3.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1116 min
MAE in 621 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.