Short Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 866.39 CRV at 0.329$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3056 (7.03 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3379 (2.8 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 01:42:44
hyperliquid
CRV
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 01:42
→ 12:05
· 10 hours
Position
Entry 0.3287$
Qty 866.3869 CRV
Size 284.7814$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3056 (+7.03%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.3379 (-2.8%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-2.80%
/ -7.97$
MAE -2.83%
MFE +1.50%
0.5R
expires
29 Oct 13:42
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231820)
#30 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
score du 29/10/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4315
Quality Score
0.494
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#30 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#30 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
81 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.20×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.01×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 01:30
29/10 01:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 29/10 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7214
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
0.55 |
early_expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
41.3%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
balanced
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.340
Δ 4h
▲+0.240
Δ 12h
▲+0.056
Δ 24h
▼-0.087
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 34.0% |
| 1h | 96.0% |
| 4h | 66.0% |
| 24h | 18.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 36.0% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 46.0% | +0.32% |
| 24h | 24.0% | -2.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
4.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
4.0%
Tail ↑
+0.32
Tail ↓
+0.40
Dispersion :
0.100
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 01:31
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2987
Score SMA
0.3738
Rank
#52
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2154
Rank Norm SMA
0.6035
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3848 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.78% · r3d: -1.94% · ema21_slope: 0.0052% · dist_ema21: -4.961% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3377 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.31% · rs_3d: -3.45% · beta_24h: 2.106 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1414 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -1.089 · trend: -43.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4706 | ADX: 11.7 (weak) · Chop: 53.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.738% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.4935
Score SMA
0.4836
Rank
#30
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4315
Rank Norm SMA
0.3408
Calculé le
29/10/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3326 | r1h: 0.538% · r4h: -2.887% · r1d: -4.06% · r3d: -5.04% · ema21_slope: -0.0729% · dist_ema21: -2.574% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3809 | rs_1h: 0.048% · rs_4h: -1.843% · rs_1d: -3.15% · rs_3d: -5.20% · beta_24h: 1.573 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4770 | rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: 0.549 · trend: 61.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6873 | ADX: 22.5 (weak) · Chop: 29.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.339% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4292
Score SMA
0.4632
Rank
#47
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2359
Rank Norm SMA
0.4442
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2072 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.148% · r1d: -4.62% · r3d: -4.88% · ema21_slope: -0.2071% · dist_ema21: -4.898% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2799 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.327% · rs_1d: -3.06% · rs_3d: -5.22% · beta_24h: 1.915 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5809 | rvol_20: 2.14× · zscore_50: 0.654 · trend: 6.66% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5395 | ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 59.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.575% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.799%
(0.0092)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.758% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.241% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.241% | 0.4R | -1.004% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.500% | 0.5R | -1.004% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.500% | 0.5R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.341% | 7.3R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 7.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +20.341% | 7.3R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 7.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +20.341% | 7.3R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 7.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +20.341% | 7.3R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 7.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1222 min
MAE in 622 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.81
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | near 0.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.64 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.10 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late | near 0.2ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.47 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.49 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.24 | 29/10 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | — | 0.69 | range_low | -0.43% | -0.15 | 29/10 01:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444620
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.540 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 6b -0.7ATR | near 0.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.53 | 52% | ↓ -0.27 | above_value | -0.99 | — | #211844 | 0.64 | bull_high | +4.55% | +0.10 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:19
|
|
4h
#446069
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.523 | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 40% | late 42b -2.2ATR | near 0.2ATR | — | 2.14 | 68% | ↔ -0.01 | below_value | -4.04 | — | #212457 | 0.49 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.47 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #446492
|
↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.535 | volatile_reversal | bear_high_confirmed |
43%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 8b -1.7ATR | — | — | 1.07 | 65% | ↑ +0.59 | below_value | -3.62 | inside | #212670 | 0.49 | range_medium | -0.58% | -0.24 |
29/10 00:00
upd 29/10 01:09
|
|
15m
#446638
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.381 | normal | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid 5b 0.4ATR | — | — | 0.30 | 57% | ↔ +0.09 | below_value | -3.62 | — | #212670 | 0.69 | range_low | -0.43% | -0.15 |
29/10 01:15
upd 29/10 01:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.777×ATR | p15 | -0.679×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 42b | — | 10.387×ATR | p100 | -2.248×ATR | p99 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.654×ATR | p89 | -1.738×ATR | p86 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.226×ATR | p74 | +0.396×ATR | p23 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8069
- reason: down_bo width=2.90×ATR dur=54b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.33793375
- tp_price: 0.30561563
- atr:
- score: 0.80691603584299
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T17:42:36.448605
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.80691603584299
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0004
- obi_top10 : -0.0249
- micro_price : 0.32836505
- spread_pct : 0.06092
- mid_price : 0.3284
- bid_wall_price : 0.327
- bid_wall_size : 1209803
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.33
- ask_wall_size : 1062968
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0026
- obi_top5_std : 0.0049
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6885
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.34379
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.33121
- balance_zone_mid:
0.3375
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793059200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793250000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9003
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
54
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8069
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.33121
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8889
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5787
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00433746 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
54
inside_close_ratio
0.8889
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5787
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:42 | 0.32870000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:52 | 0.32870000 | 0% |
| 3 | 02:02 | 0.32870000 | 0% |
| 4 | 02:36 | 0.32714000 | -0.475% |
| 5 | 02:45 | 0.32714000 | -0.475% |
| 6 | 02:54 | 0.32714000 | -0.475% |
| 7 | 05:36 | 0.32650000 | -0.669% |
| 8 | 05:45 | 0.32650000 | -0.669% |
| 9 | 05:54 | 0.32650000 | -0.669% |
| 10 | 07:41 | 0.32646000 | -0.681% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6885ms
Confidence avant OB :
81%
→
81%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.000
avg 0.003
± 0.005
OBI Top 10
-0.025
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.3284
Micro Price
0.3284
Spread
0.0609%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.3270
Size
1,209,803.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3300
Size
1,062,968.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3287 | 0.3379 | 0.3056 | 2.51 | 0.207 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3287
- Stop Loss: 0.3379
- Take Profit: 0.3056
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3379 - 0.3287 = 0.0092
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3287 - 0.3056 = 0.0231
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0231 / 0.0092 = 2.5109
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 284.7814 | 100 | 866.3869 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0092
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0092 = 869.57
Taille de position USD = 869.57 x 0.3287 = 285.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 869.57 avec un stoploss a 0.3379
Avec un position size USD de 285.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 869.57 x 0.0092 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 869.57 x 0.0231 = 20.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.09$
Résumé
- Taille de position 869.57
- Taille de position USD 285.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.09
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5109
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.03 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.8 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -2.80 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8293 % | 101.09 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3287 | 0.3379 | 0.3056 | 2.51 | 0.207 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3287
- Stop Loss: 0.3379
- Take Profit: 0.3056
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3379 - 0.3287 = 0.0092
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3287 - 0.3056 = 0.0231
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0231 / 0.0092 = 2.5109
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.799%
(0.0092)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.758% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.241% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +1.241% | 0.4R | -1.004% | 0.4R | 1.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.500% | 0.5R | -1.004% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.500% | 0.5R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +20.341% | 7.3R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 7.2× | 288 |
| 36h | +20.341% | 7.3R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 7.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +20.341% | 7.3R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 7.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +20.341% | 7.3R | -2.829% | 1.0R | 7.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1222 min
MAE in 622 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.