Short Trade on APT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 306.36 APT at 0.664$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5983 (9.84 %) & Stop Loss: 0.6897 (3.93 %)
29 Oct 2026 at 02:37:22
hyperliquid
APT
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Oct 2026 02:37
→ 10:35
· 7 hours
Position
Entry 0.6636$
Qty 306.3585 APT
Size 203.2995$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.5983 (+9.84%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.6897 (-3.93%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.93%
/ -8$
MAE -6.59%
MFE +2.23%
0.6R
expires
29 Oct 14:37
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 231894)
#52 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 02:00
score du 29/10/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2748
Quality Score
0.473
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#52 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#52 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
80 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 4.08×ATR |
| 1d | near | -2.10×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 02:30
29/10 02:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 27/10 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 28/10 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/10 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #7218
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
0.25 |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.73
Transition risk :
0.27
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
52.0%
Macro
alt_rotation
Local 4h
bullish
Leadership
alts_leading
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.107
Δ 4h
▲+0.444
Δ 12h
→-0.038
Δ 24h
▲+0.070
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 40.0% |
| 1h | 56.0% |
| 4h | 82.0% |
| 24h | 16.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 40.0% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 64.0% | +0.64% |
| 24h | 20.0% | -2.31% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.29
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion :
0.084
Universe :
50
(0 vs prev)
· ≥ $2.0M
+0 added
·
-0 removed
Regime confidence :
0.84
Snapshot évalué :
29/10 02:31
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2910
Score SMA
0.2957
Rank
#56
/ 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1538
Rank Norm SMA
0.2693
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3299 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.55% · r3d: -0.24% · ema21_slope: -0.5510% · dist_ema21: -7.746% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3598 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.01% · rs_3d: -1.75% · beta_24h: 2.929 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1369 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -1.076 · trend: -43.54% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4982 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.891% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4728
Score SMA
0.4846
Rank
#52
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2748
Rank Norm SMA
0.3312
Calculé le
29/10/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3937 | r1h: 0.723% · r4h: -0.239% · r1d: -3.48% · r3d: -4.46% · ema21_slope: -0.0554% · dist_ema21: -2.221% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4502 | rs_1h: 0.750% · rs_4h: -0.530% · rs_1d: -2.65% · rs_3d: -4.42% · beta_24h: 2.232 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1932 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.744 · trend: -17.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6900 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 28.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.646% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3920
Score SMA
0.4258
Rank
#58
/ 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2023
Rank Norm SMA
0.2700
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1570 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.501% · r1d: -5.28% · r3d: -4.64% · ema21_slope: -0.1724% · dist_ema21: -5.156% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2539 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.680% · rs_1d: -3.72% · rs_3d: -4.98% · beta_24h: 2.308 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3882 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.090 · trend: -9.16% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6916 | ADX: 33.9 (trend) · Chop: 49.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.990% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.933%
(0.0261)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.230% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.230% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.230% | 0.6R | -1.160% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.230% | 0.6R | -4.370% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.230% | 0.6R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.261% | 3.4R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.261% | 3.4R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +13.261% | 3.4R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.261% | 3.4R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1062 min
MAE in 567 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.43
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.43 | 27/10 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.52 | 28/10 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.69 | range_medium | -0.60% | -0.25 | 29/10 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | — | 0.72 | range_low | -0.68% | -0.35 | 29/10 02:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#444636
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | grind | 0.586 | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 17b -1.0ATR | near -2.1ATR | — | 0.45 | 50% | ↓ -0.66 | above_value | +0.35 | — | #211848 | 0.69 | bull_high | +4.55% | -0.43 |
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#446077
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.749 | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 1b -1.9ATR | — | — | 1.30 | 43% | ↔ +0.04 | above_value | -3.09 | — | #212461 | 0.53 | bear_high | -2.15% | -0.52 |
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:13
|
|
1h
anchor #446862
|
↓ down | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.423 | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 2b -1.2ATR | — | — | 0.30 | 25% | ↑ +0.20 | above_value | -2.52 | inside | #212816 | 0.69 | range_medium | -0.60% | -0.25 |
29/10 01:00
upd 29/10 02:11
|
|
15m
#447011
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.390 | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late 4b -2.0ATR | — | — | 0.31 | 50% | ↓ -0.79 | above_value | -2.52 | — | #212816 | 0.72 | range_low | -0.68% | -0.35 |
29/10 02:15
upd 29/10 02:31
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 17b | — | 4.273×ATR | p65 | -1.016×ATR | p56 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 3.009×ATR | p31 | -1.941×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.235×ATR | p0 | -1.152×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 2.689×ATR | p47 | -1.953×ATR | p87 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.7962
- reason: down_bo width=2.45×ATR dur=41b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.6897132
- tp_price: 0.59831699
- atr:
- score: 0.79620049775602
- exit_rules:
- expires_at: 2026-10-29T18:37:14.151013
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.79620049775602
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0476
- obi_top10 : 0.0058
- micro_price : 0.6618901
- spread_pct : 0.030225
- mid_price : 0.6618
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.671
- ask_wall_size : 384362.406
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0414
- obi_top5_std : 0.0142
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7181
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.70195
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.6753
- balance_zone_mid:
0.688625
- balance_zone_start_time:
1793109600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1793253600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.449
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
41
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7962
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1793235600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.6753
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7561
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
5
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0752
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
4
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.01088204 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
41
inside_close_ratio
0.7561
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0752
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:37 | 0.66360000 | 0% |
| 2 | 02:46 | 0.66360000 | 0% |
| 3 | 02:55 | 0.66360000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7181ms
Confidence avant OB :
80%
→
80%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.048
avg -0.041
± 0.014
OBI Top 10
0.006
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.6618
Micro Price
0.6619
Spread
0.0302%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.6710
Size
384,362.41
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6636 | 0.6897 | 0.5983 | 2.5 | 0.4452 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6636
- Stop Loss: 0.6897
- Take Profit: 0.5983
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6897 - 0.6636 = 0.0261
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6636 - 0.5983 = 0.0653
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0653 / 0.0261 = 2.5019
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 203.2995 | 100 | 306.3585 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0261
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0261 = 306.51
Taille de position USD = 306.51 x 0.6636 = 203.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 306.51 avec un stoploss a 0.6897
Avec un position size USD de 203.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 306.51 x 0.0261 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 306.51 x 0.0653 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
- Taille de position 306.51
- Taille de position USD 203.4
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.02
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5019
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.84 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.93 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.3701 % | 111.11 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.6636 | 0.6897 | 0.5983 | 2.5 | 0.4452 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.6636
- Stop Loss: 0.6897
- Take Profit: 0.5983
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.6897 - 0.6636 = 0.0261
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.6636 - 0.5983 = 0.0653
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0653 / 0.0261 = 2.5019
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.933%
(0.0261)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.230% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +2.230% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +2.230% | 0.6R | -1.160% | 0.3R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.230% | 0.6R | -4.370% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.230% | 0.6R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +13.261% | 3.4R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.261% | 3.4R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 432 |
| 48h | +13.261% | 3.4R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 576 |
| 72h | +13.261% | 3.4R | -6.585% | 1.7R | 2.0× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1062 min
MAE in 567 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.