29 Oct 2026 at 02:38:20 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ZRO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 85.35 ZRO at 1.631$ per unit. Take profit: 1.3964 (14.37 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7244 (5.75 %)

ZRO SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Oct 2026 02:38 → 08:30 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1.6307$

Qty 85.3483 ZRO

Size 139.1774$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 1.3964 (+14.37%)

TP $ 20$

SL 1.7244 (-5.75%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -5.75% / -8$ MAE -10.38% MFE +1.59% 0.3R expires 29 Oct 14:38

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 231900)
#24 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 29/10/2026 02:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2767

Quality Score
0.526
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#24 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#24 / 70
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.51×ATR
4h near -1.29×ATR
1d clear 3.14×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
8.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/10 02:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

27/10 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

28/10 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/10 01:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7218
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

0.25

compression

0

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.73
Transition risk : 0.27
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 52.0%
Macro alt_rotation
Local 4h bullish Leadership alts_leading
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state recovering
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▲+0.107
Δ 4h
▲+0.444
Δ 12h
→-0.038
Δ 24h
▲+0.070

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 40.0%
1h 56.0%
4h 82.0%
24h 16.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 40.0% -0.01%
4h 64.0% +0.64%
24h 20.0% -2.31%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
0.0%
Expansion
0.0%
Tail ↑
+0.29
Tail ↓
+0.28
Dispersion : 0.084
Universe : 50 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.84
Snapshot évalué : 29/10 02:31 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 28/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3512
Score SMA
0.3756
Rank
#31 / 66
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5385
Rank Norm SMA
0.6218
Calculé le
28/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4054 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.33% · r3d: -3.58% · ema21_slope: -0.3856% · dist_ema21: -6.045%
Force Relative 25% 0.4552 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.80% · rs_3d: -5.09% · beta_24h: 1.832
Volume 20% 0.1675 rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.662 · trend: -41.30%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5486 ADX: 24.7 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.610% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.5260
Score SMA
0.4787
Rank
#24 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2767
Rank Norm SMA
0.3082
Calculé le
29/10/2026 02:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3914 r1h: 0.299% · r4h: 0.972% · r1d: -4.27% · r3d: -3.56% · ema21_slope: -0.1156% · dist_ema21: -2.257%
Force Relative 25% 0.4554 rs_1h: 0.327% · rs_4h: 0.681% · rs_1d: -3.44% · rs_3d: -3.52% · beta_24h: 2.371
Volume 20% 0.4679 rvol_20: 1.29× · zscore_50: 0.753 · trend: 18.69%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6742 ADX: 21.0 (weak) · Chop: 38.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.069% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 29/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3154
Score SMA
0.3741
Rank
#67 / 70
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0371
Rank Norm SMA
0.1144
Calculé le
29/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1916 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.635% · r1d: -6.98% · r3d: -3.76% · ema21_slope: -0.0544% · dist_ema21: -4.842%
Force Relative 25% 0.2692 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.813% · rs_1d: -5.42% · rs_3d: -4.10% · beta_24h: 2.647
Volume 20% 0.3285 rvol_20: 1.12× · zscore_50: -0.176 · trend: -19.05%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4410 ADX: 15.5 (weak) · Chop: 61.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5877 ATR%: 4.237% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.746% (0.0937)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.588% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.588% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +1.588% 0.3R -1.729% 0.3R 0.9× 48
8h +1.588% 0.3R -10.382% 1.8R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +1.588% 0.3R -10.382% 1.8R 0.2× 144
24h +12.909% 2.3R -10.382% 1.8R 1.2× 288
36h +12.909% 2.3R -10.382% 1.8R 1.2× 432
48h +12.909% 2.3R -10.382% 1.8R 1.2× 576
72h +12.909% 2.3R -15.999% 2.8R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1086 min MAE in 381 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.17
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.41 bull_high +4.55% -0.89 27/10 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 41% mid near -1.3ATR — 0.39 bear_high -2.15% -0.69 28/10 20:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate balanced expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% early near -0.5ATR — 0.58 range_medium -0.60% -0.39 29/10 01:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% mid near 0.4ATR — 0.58 range_low -0.68% -0.16 29/10 02:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#444656
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.537 compression bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 38% early 16b -0.5ATR — — 0.44 80% ↓ -0.50 above_value +0.35 — #211853 0.41 bull_high +4.55% -0.89
27/10 20:00
upd 28/10 20:21
4h
#446089
↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.656 expansion bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 41% mid 1b -1.3ATR near -1.3ATR — 1.12 33% ↔ +0.09 below_value -2.12 — #212467 0.39 bear_high -2.15% -0.69
28/10 20:00
upd 29/10 00:14
1h anchor
#446868
↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.431 expansion bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 41% early 2b -1.0ATR near -0.5ATR — 1.29 68% ↑ +0.43 below_value -1.35 inside #212822 0.58 range_medium -0.60% -0.39
29/10 01:00
upd 29/10 02:11
15m
#447017
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.536 compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% mid 4b -1.2ATR near 0.4ATR — 0.66 71% ↓ -0.57 below_value -1.35 — #212822 0.58 range_low -0.68% -0.16
29/10 02:15
upd 29/10 02:31
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 16b — 4×ATR p28 -0.538×ATR p33
4h ↓ down mid 1b — 2.287×ATR p6 -1.314×ATR p72
1h ↑ up early 2b — 0.951×ATR p0 -0.987×ATR p49
15m ↓ down mid 4b — 2.585×ATR p42 -1.16×ATR p66

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8158
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.73×ATR dur=34b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 1.7244336
  5. tp_price: 1.39636599
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.8157634473742
  8. exit_rules:
  9. expires_at: 2026-10-29T18:38:12.650412
  10. max_bars: 12
  11. max_bars_tf: 1h
  12. confidence_pre_ob: 0.8157634473742
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0505
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0558
  15. micro_price : 1.62427967
  16. spread_pct : 0.030784
  17. mid_price : 1.62445
  18. bid_wall_price : 1.62
  19. bid_wall_size : 149099.6
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 1.63
  22. ask_wall_size : 148399
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.05
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0006
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6938
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    1.7666
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    1.6756
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    1.7211
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1793134800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1793253600
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.7298
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    34
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.8158
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1793235600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    1.6756
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.7941
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    5
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.3469
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    2
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    9
  59. regime : bear_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.03333603
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
34
inside_close_ratio
0.7941
bars_since_breakout
5
distance_to_edge_atr
1.3469

Signaux confirmants (9)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 02:38 1.63070000 0%
2 02:47 1.63070000 0%
3 02:56 1.63070000 0%
4 06:08 1.63430000 +0.221%
5 06:19 1.63430000 +0.221%
6 06:28 1.63430000 +0.221%
7 06:38 1.64800000 +1.061%
8 06:47 1.64800000 +1.061%
9 06:55 1.64800000 +1.061%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6938ms Confidence avant OB : 82% → 82%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.051
avg 0.050 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.056

Microstructure

Mid Price
1.6245
Micro Price
1.6243
Spread
0.0308%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
1.6200
Size
149,099.60

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
1.6300
Size
148,399.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.6307 1.7244 1.3964 2.5 1.3958
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.6307
  • Stop Loss: 1.7244
  • Take Profit: 1.3964

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.7244 - 1.6307 = 0.0937

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.6307 - 1.3964 = 0.2343

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2343 / 0.0937 = 2.5005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
139.1774 100 85.3483 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0937

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0937 = 85.38

Taille de position USD = 85.38 x 1.6307 = 139.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 85.38 avec un stoploss a 1.7244

Avec un position size USD de 139.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 85.38 x 0.0937 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 85.38 x 0.2343 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 85.38
  • Taille de position USD 139.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
14.37 % 20 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.75 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -5.75
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.672 % 116.12 % 10
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.6307 1.7244 1.3964 2.5 1.3958
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.6307
  • Stop Loss: 1.7244
  • Take Profit: 1.3964

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.7244 - 1.6307 = 0.0937

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.6307 - 1.3964 = 0.2343

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2343 / 0.0937 = 2.5005

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.3964
            [entry_price] => 1.6307
            [stop_loss] => 1.73377
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.3964
            [entry_price] => 1.6307
            [stop_loss] => 1.74314
            [rr_ratio] => 2.08
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:30:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.3964
            [entry_price] => 1.6307
            [stop_loss] => 1.75251
            [rr_ratio] => 1.92
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.3964
            [entry_price] => 1.6307
            [stop_loss] => 1.77125
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-29 12:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -5.746% (0.0937)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.588% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.588% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 24
4h +1.588% 0.3R -1.729% 0.3R 0.9× 48
8h +1.588% 0.3R -10.382% 1.8R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +1.588% 0.3R -10.382% 1.8R 0.2× 144
24h +12.909% 2.3R -10.382% 1.8R 1.2× 288
36h +12.909% 2.3R -10.382% 1.8R 1.2× 432
48h +12.909% 2.3R -10.382% 1.8R 1.2× 576
72h +12.909% 2.3R -15.999% 2.8R 0.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1086 min MAE in 381 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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